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**AJ's Picks - WGC Bridgestone Invitational**

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Posted: #26
Looking good brother!
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

AJ, $20 sounds risky to you?

Not sure you read my whole post... if you think he will never win another tournament, well, I could be out a good $300 at the end of the day.  Its not about THIS tourny dude.  Anyway, I don't bet futures myself and this is a progression not a future per se... I'm betting he doesn't go O-Fer the rest of his career as many people think he will...good luck.

So let me get this right...your going to throw away $20 this week, because he's not going to win. Then next week in Georgia, your going to put $40 on him to win or stay at $20? 

Either way, I wouldn't do it. But that's just me.   

 
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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by Jarrett75:

3-0 day for you AJ, very nice. Once I finally got my money in I went with Stricker over Watney. FML. Congrats on the nice day.

Thanks bud!  

Tough beat on Stricker...Watney's play surprised me today too.

Let's get em' tomorrow Holmes!!!   

 
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Posted: #29

Quote Originally Posted by Bluefin:

Good deal Texas nice day Congrats

 

Right on BLUE!   

 
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Posted: #30

1st Round Matchups

7114 Day (Ev) over Phil (-130) 

7116 Bubba (-110) over Kaymer (-120)  PUSH

7121 Scott (+110) over Dustin (-140) 

 

Tournament Matchups

7025 P. Hanson (-110) over Karlsson (-120) - 5*    2 Down

7028 Clarke (-110) over Els (-120) - 2*    6 Down   really???

7038 Bubba (-110) over Choi (-120) - 2*    5 Up

7051 Scott (+110) over Sergio (-140) - 2*    6 Up

 

 

 

225-252-51 YTD

-15.75 Units   

 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

So let me get this right...your going to throw away $20 this week, because he's not going to win. Then next week in Georgia, your going to put $40 on him to win or stay at $20? 

Either way, I wouldn't do it. But that's just me.   

No way, not a traditional double down.  My point is the number is so high that one has the opportunity to wait it out, play the $20 every week (barring signs he is NOT coming back into form or fully recovered from injury) each week for dozens of weeks before you are into serious losses (which for me would take me into the hundreds to equal ONE unit).  If I cannot win a single tourny with this alleged has been I will laugh it off.  If I keep playing the 20 bucks a week (when he plays) I'm pretty sure he will win before I hit a unit of loss and at anything more than 15-1 I will be fine with the payout too.

Good work today, beat my system

 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

No way, not a traditional double down.  My point is the number is so high that one has the opportunity to wait it out, play the $20 every week (barring signs he is NOT coming back into form or fully recovered from injury) each week for dozens of weeks before you are into serious losses (which for me would take me into the hundreds to equal ONE unit).  If I cannot win a single tourny with this alleged has been I will laugh it off.  If I keep playing the 20 bucks a week (when he plays) I'm pretty sure he will win before I hit a unit of loss and at anything more than 15-1 I will be fine with the payout too.

Good work today, beat my system

 

To each his own...Good luck Canuck!!  

You may just hit it. Nobody knows with this guy. He'll play what, four or five more offical tournaments this year IF he makes the playoffs. I'm sure FEDEx playoffs is probably extra motivation too.

I really can't wait to see how the next three days pan out....

 
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Posted: #33
I'll probably get bored after 3 tournaments ... or one
 
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Posted: #34
Nice picks AJ

Are you playing any 2nd round matchups?
 
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Posted: #35

2nd Round Matchups

7206 Rose (-125) over Paddy (-105) - 2*

7209 Scott (-105) over Dustin (-125)

7216 Bubba (Ev) over Kaymer (-130)

7224 Schwartzel (+120) over Donald (-150)

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #36

Lean Watney -120 over Stricker, Day -110 over Phil and Glover -140 over Casey...want to see if there will be any movement. May hit one of those in the morning.

 

Good Luck Fellas!!!  

 
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Posted: #37
Wow I have Scott at -113/Dustin +102 (Pinny) that's a good line you got for sure...
 
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Posted: #38

Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

Wow I have Scott at -113/Dustin +102 (Pinny) that's a good line you got for sure...

 

It's -110 now....

 
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Posted: #39
Well played for Rd 1.  I like the Rose pick.  
 
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Posted: #40

Quote Originally Posted by DrtySanchez:

Well played for Rd 1.  I like the Rose pick.  

 

Thanks DRTY!! 

I chaulk it up as a bad round for Rose. He is BY FAR the better ball striker in that matchup.

 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

 

Thanks DRTY!! 

I chaulk it up as a bad round for Rose. He is BY FAR the better ball striker in that matchup.

Def agree I think Rose comes back tomorow.. Couldn't pull the trigger tho so I'll just watch you win money

Also like (and am on) your lean of Glover over Casey..

GL tomorrow AJ

 
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Posted: #42

Nice first day AJ, I went with Rose myself in this matchup today, best of luck.

 
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Posted: #43
with you on Rose, I see most everyone on Scott over DJ. My main concern is that Scott is 11 shots ahead and most of the time the guy who had a great round the previous day returns to earth and the guy who had a bad one improves a little. I am not playing it so for you and others sake I hope Scott wins it. GL
 
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Posted: #44

Quote Originally Posted by Jarrett75:

with you on Rose, I see most everyone on Scott over DJ. My main concern is that Scott is 11 shots ahead and most of the time the guy who had a great round the previous day returns to earth and the guy who had a bad one improves a little. I am not playing it so for you and others sake I hope Scott wins it. GL

Ya, I'm well aware of the scenario. Don't think it's worked out to well this year though. Just got a feeling about Scott this week. I'm going with my gut on that one. Hope I don't get punched either!

Good luck today Jarrett!!  

 
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Posted: #45

WeMoveLines

Oscarxena

  Thanks guys...good luck to you too!!

 
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Posted: #46

2nd Round Matchups

7206 Rose (-125) over Paddy (-105) - 2*   PUSH

7209 Scott (-105) over Dustin (-125) 

7216 Bubba (Ev) over Kaymer (-130)   PUSH

7224 Schwartzel (+120) over Donald (-150) 

 

Tournament Matchups

7025 P. Hanson (-110) over Karlsson (-120) - 5*    4 Down

7028 Clarke (-110) over Els (-120) - 2*    9 Down

7038 Bubba (-110) over Choi (-120) - 2*    6 Up

7051 Scott (+110) over Sergio (-140) - 2*    8 Up

 

 

 

225-254-53 YTD

-17.80 Units

 
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Posted: #47

Moving Day Matchups

7302 Sergio (Ev) over Phil (-130)

7307 Van Pelt (-115) over Kaymer (-115) - 2*

7315 Woodland (-120) over P. Hanson (-110) - 2*

7320 Toms (-105) over Cink (-125) - 2*

7326 Jacobson (-115) over Karlsson (-115) - 2*

7330 Scott (-110) over Fowler (-120)

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #48
go get em tomorrow
 
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Posted: #49
bol
 
 
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Posted: #50
Woodland -120 to the bank for me. My biggest golf match play this season.

  


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