One glaring fact after watching Philly lately is their lack of quality DB's and a running game. Wash. won by 3 at home earlier this year, it's not easy sweeping a season series in your own division. I can see Philly being super fired up after being humiliated Sun. nite, but emotion alone does not win games. Wash. is playing very solid football the past 3 weeks and needs to win as well. I like Wash to cover, but I'm staying away from a side.... I'm betting the over as I can see a high scoring game in the making. Simply my opinion. ---- THE Myth
One glaring fact after watching Philly lately is their lack of quality DB's and a running game. Wash. won by 3 at home earlier this year, it's not easy sweeping a season series in your own division. I can see Philly being super fired up after being humiliated Sun. nite, but emotion alone does not win games. Wash. is playing very solid football the past 3 weeks and needs to win as well. I like Wash to cover, but I'm staying away from a side.... I'm betting the over as I can see a high scoring game in the making. Simply my opinion. ---- THE Myth
Washington wins the NFC East by winning this game. Philadelphia wins the NFC East by winning its last two games. Needless to say, but this is a huge game for these teams in primetime on Saturday night. Philadelphia has played better recently with Sam Bradford back, winning two of their last three games while the Redskins have now won three of their last four. These teams are similar with below average rush offenses matched up against below average rush defenses so the ground game projects to be about a draw. The Eagles pass offense has been below average this season (6.1 yps against teams that allow 6.5 yps) but they’ll be facing a Washington pass defense that is also below average (6.8 yps allowed to teams that gain 6.5 yps). The Redskin passing offense has been better since DeSean Jackson has returned from injury as Kirk Cousins has passed for 1,888 yards with a 71% completion rate, 13 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Cousins has gotten better as the season has progressed anyway and in the past eight games, he has thrown 16 touchdowns to three interceptions. He’ll face an Eagles pass defense that has played well from an efficiency perspective so far this season – allowing 6.3 yps to teams that average 6.6 yps but they may have a banged up secondary and could be a bit short-handed in this game.
While these teams are similar from a yards-per-play perspective the difference in their results so far this season have a lot to do with their red zone performances as Philly has been terrible – on offense they are converting 50.0% against teams that allow a 58.2% conversion rate and defensively they’ve been even worse – allowing opponents to convert 68.6% of the time. On the other side, Washington has been good in the red zone offensively – converting 64.1% of the time against teams that allow a 57.7% conversion rate. Defensively they have allowed a 51.2% conversion rate against teams that typically convert 56.0% of the time. With differences this significant some regression to the mean might be expected – particularly with teams that don’t have significantly different yards-per-play numbers. That should benefit the Eagles in this game.
Stats give a slight edge towards Eagles but gut says take Wash +3.5 (25). bol!!!
PHILADELPHIA (-3) 28 Washington 27
Washington wins the NFC East by winning this game. Philadelphia wins the NFC East by winning its last two games. Needless to say, but this is a huge game for these teams in primetime on Saturday night. Philadelphia has played better recently with Sam Bradford back, winning two of their last three games while the Redskins have now won three of their last four. These teams are similar with below average rush offenses matched up against below average rush defenses so the ground game projects to be about a draw. The Eagles pass offense has been below average this season (6.1 yps against teams that allow 6.5 yps) but they’ll be facing a Washington pass defense that is also below average (6.8 yps allowed to teams that gain 6.5 yps). The Redskin passing offense has been better since DeSean Jackson has returned from injury as Kirk Cousins has passed for 1,888 yards with a 71% completion rate, 13 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Cousins has gotten better as the season has progressed anyway and in the past eight games, he has thrown 16 touchdowns to three interceptions. He’ll face an Eagles pass defense that has played well from an efficiency perspective so far this season – allowing 6.3 yps to teams that average 6.6 yps but they may have a banged up secondary and could be a bit short-handed in this game.
While these teams are similar from a yards-per-play perspective the difference in their results so far this season have a lot to do with their red zone performances as Philly has been terrible – on offense they are converting 50.0% against teams that allow a 58.2% conversion rate and defensively they’ve been even worse – allowing opponents to convert 68.6% of the time. On the other side, Washington has been good in the red zone offensively – converting 64.1% of the time against teams that allow a 57.7% conversion rate. Defensively they have allowed a 51.2% conversion rate against teams that typically convert 56.0% of the time. With differences this significant some regression to the mean might be expected – particularly with teams that don’t have significantly different yards-per-play numbers. That should benefit the Eagles in this game.
Stats give a slight edge towards Eagles but gut says take Wash +3.5 (25). bol!!!
I been around a while now but im no rookie an i barely pick here or ever im a NEW YORK GIANTS fan however the eagles will showdown at home as THIS IS THE NFC EAST philly -3 .... Monly line if you unsure
I been around a while now but im no rookie an i barely pick here or ever im a NEW YORK GIANTS fan however the eagles will showdown at home as THIS IS THE NFC EAST philly -3 .... Monly line if you unsure
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