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    All Forums | Politics

    Obama Drops From -420 to -370 In Minutes

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    promark12
    Otops
    nippzOR
    sportskingpin
    playdough
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 4450
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    promark12
    promark12
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 1:56 PM ET #1

    What's going on?  That's a big drop . . .
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    What's going on?  That's a big drop . . .
     
    Otops
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:00 PM ET #2

    My guess is that people are finally hitting Romney's +.  Personally, I'm beginning to feel like there's some sort of trap being set.  And...  I might have already fallen into it.

    I am not liking Nate Silver's 538 percentages.  Especially, with another slight tilt more to the side of Obama.

    Honestly, for the first time ever, I'm beginning to feel a pit in my stomach.

    All that turnout and enthusiasm talk about Republicans might actually be real.  I guess these "ground games" will truly be the difference.

    Reply
    My guess is that people are finally hitting Romney's +.  Personally, I'm beginning to feel like there's some sort of trap being set.  And...  I might have already fallen into it.

    I am not liking Nate Silver's 538 percentages.  Especially, with another slight tilt more to the side of Obama.

    Honestly, for the first time ever, I'm beginning to feel a pit in my stomach.

    All that turnout and enthusiasm talk about Republicans might actually be real.  I guess these "ground games" will truly be the difference.

     
    nippzOR
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:03 PM ET #3

    down to -310 now.. ohh oh..
    Reply
    down to -310 now.. ohh oh..
     
    promark12
    promark12
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:07 PM ET #4

    I've felt this way for a week.  Some respected people like George Will predicted a Romney landslide.  There was just too much confidence for Romney, despite Obama being a heavy favorite in the betting markets.

    Something strange is going on.

    Reply

    I've felt this way for a week.  Some respected people like George Will predicted a Romney landslide.  There was just too much confidence for Romney, despite Obama being a heavy favorite in the betting markets.

    Something strange is going on.

     
    sportskingpin
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:09 PM ET #5

    some thing is really off -310 for Obama to win election yet Ohio is still at -400, quite fishy if you ask me. 

    Romney can't win without Ohio, so I say the real number is closer to -400 than -310. 
    Reply
    some thing is really off -310 for Obama to win election yet Ohio is still at -400, quite fishy if you ask me. 

    Romney can't win without Ohio, so I say the real number is closer to -400 than -310. 
     
    playdough
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:09 PM ET #6

    Its true here in ohio. Just covered 3 north central counties ( I drive for a living so I was killing time). Went by 6 voting places and lines were winding around the buildings. Don't know what party they were. They seemed to be over 30.

    Reply

    Its true here in ohio. Just covered 3 north central counties ( I drive for a living so I was killing time). Went by 6 voting places and lines were winding around the buildings. Don't know what party they were. They seemed to be over 30.

     
    Sn8w_man
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:10 PM ET #7

    Silent Majority....SHHHHH.

    We all hate obama we just don't need to advertise it, rather we exercise our thoughts with a simple ballot.

    No reason to broadcast it to stir up the dems...show up, vote, and send him back to kenya where he came from
    Reply
    Silent Majority....SHHHHH.

    We all hate obama we just don't need to advertise it, rather we exercise our thoughts with a simple ballot.

    No reason to broadcast it to stir up the dems...show up, vote, and send him back to kenya where he came from
     
    nippzOR
    nippzOR
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:11 PM ET #8

    the line is better now then when i originaly put it in. i dunno if i should pound or be worried :o
    Reply
    the line is better now then when i originaly put it in. i dunno if i should pound or be worried :o
     
    ClubDirt
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:12 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by playdough:

    Its true here in ohio. Just covered 3 north central counties ( I drive for a living so I was killing time). Went by 6 voting places and lines were winding around the buildings. Don't know what party they were. They seemed to be over 30.



    how many teeth did these folks have.  best way to tell if they are rightwingers without talking to them, which i don't advise. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by playdough:

    Its true here in ohio. Just covered 3 north central counties ( I drive for a living so I was killing time). Went by 6 voting places and lines were winding around the buildings. Don't know what party they were. They seemed to be over 30.



    how many teeth did these folks have.  best way to tell if they are rightwingers without talking to them, which i don't advise. 
     
    bigvern1013
    bigvern1013
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:12 PM ET #10

    Otops:

    Sit tight.....I hear you on the butterflies...when there is alot of money down it is only natural.

    Stay the course....there are several guys on here that have some jack on this baby, so lets get the money.

    Never Make A Winner A Loser. Never.
    Reply

    Otops:

    Sit tight.....I hear you on the butterflies...when there is alot of money down it is only natural.

    Stay the course....there are several guys on here that have some jack on this baby, so lets get the money.

     
    TILTOLOGIC
    TILTOLOGIC
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:14 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by promark12:

    I've felt this way for a week.  Some respected people like George Will predicted a Romney landslide.  There was just too much confidence for Romney, despite Obama being a heavy favorite in the betting markets.

    Something strange is going on.


    it does raise an eyebrow, but I wouldn't read too much into it, my book was down to 300 but shot back up to 350 currently

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by promark12:

    I've felt this way for a week.  Some respected people like George Will predicted a Romney landslide.  There was just too much confidence for Romney, despite Obama being a heavy favorite in the betting markets.

    Something strange is going on.


    it does raise an eyebrow, but I wouldn't read too much into it, my book was down to 300 but shot back up to 350 currently

     
    sportskingpin
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:17 PM ET #12

    It could just be some heavy last minute hedging. I'm buying a lil more at -310. 
    Reply
    It could just be some heavy last minute hedging. I'm buying a lil more at -310. 
     
    Cool_Arrow
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:36 PM ET #13

    Stop the panic guys. Look at the 2004 polling averages on real clear politics. Bush was ahead in Ohio, Florida, Iowa and New Mexico. He won all of those. Only state that was wrong was bush narrowly ahead in wi. Kerry narrowly won it. 

    The polling averages are rarely wrong. Obama is ahead in Ohio, va, co, nv, ia, wi and NH. Romney is up in fl and nc. The data isn't all wrong. Obama will win this. Look at the polls not what some party cheerleaders say. I remember thinking in 2004 that the polls were all wrong and that bush would lose. Romney partisans are thinking the same thing but it isn't going to happen in several states that they need.
    Reply
    Stop the panic guys. Look at the 2004 polling averages on real clear politics. Bush was ahead in Ohio, Florida, Iowa and New Mexico. He won all of those. Only state that was wrong was bush narrowly ahead in wi. Kerry narrowly won it. 

    The polling averages are rarely wrong. Obama is ahead in Ohio, va, co, nv, ia, wi and NH. Romney is up in fl and nc. The data isn't all wrong. Obama will win this. Look at the polls not what some party cheerleaders say. I remember thinking in 2004 that the polls were all wrong and that bush would lose. Romney partisans are thinking the same thing but it isn't going to happen in several states that they need.
     
    Lefty_Rosenthal
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:36 PM ET #14

    Sorry, but you'd be a moron to bet Obama. This is AT BEST a coin flip. Resembles Carter/Reagan election. Dismal economy, dismal unemployment, etc.  experts predicted a close race in '80 and Reagan dominated, but the republican base is enthusiastic. They will come out in droves.  Independent voters are breaking Romneys way. Too many factors benefit Romney to think this is anything but a coin flip. And the only reason it will be close is because Obama is a like able guy despite him being a wretched leader. 
    Reply
    Sorry, but you'd be a moron to bet Obama. This is AT BEST a coin flip. Resembles Carter/Reagan election. Dismal economy, dismal unemployment, etc.  experts predicted a close race in '80 and Reagan dominated, but the republican base is enthusiastic. They will come out in droves.  Independent voters are breaking Romneys way. Too many factors benefit Romney to think this is anything but a coin flip. And the only reason it will be close is because Obama is a like able guy despite him being a wretched leader. 
     
    SarasotaSlim
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:46 PM ET #15

    This should pick up spirts of the Obama betting members ..

    John Dima the wichdoctor in Kogelo, Kenya the ancestral village of Obama's father - and the birthplace of the Obama surname...

    Is predicting Obama will trounce Mitt Romney in his bid for the White House.

    "His father was my friend; his grandfather was also my good friend. So I predict that Obama will win the presidency, that's all." said Dima.

    Good vid after ad ...https://www.reuters.com/video/2012/11/06/kenyan-witchdoctor-predicts-obama-victor?videoId=238902306&videoChannel=1

    Reply

    This should pick up spirts of the Obama betting members ..

    John Dima the wichdoctor in Kogelo, Kenya the ancestral village of Obama's father - and the birthplace of the Obama surname...

    Is predicting Obama will trounce Mitt Romney in his bid for the White House.

    "His father was my friend; his grandfather was also my good friend. So I predict that Obama will win the presidency, that's all." said Dima.

    Good vid after ad ...https://www.reuters.com/video/2012/11/06/kenyan-witchdoctor-predicts-obama-victor?videoId=238902306&videoChannel=1

     
    nick69
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:50 PM ET #16

    Just lay the juice whatever the price is. It's free money if you bet on Obama. Romney has no chance to win. Zero. This election has been over for quite some time.

    Reply

    Just lay the juice whatever the price is. It's free money if you bet on Obama. Romney has no chance to win. Zero. This election has been over for quite some time.

     
    Lefty_Rosenthal
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:54 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by nick69:

    Just lay the juice whatever the price is. It's free money if you bet on Obama. Romney has no chance to win. Zero. This election has been over for quite some time.



    lol.  You've been watching too much MSNBC.  This election will be extremely close.  I love guys like you because you're gonna get me paid out 4-1 on a coin flip
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by nick69:

    Just lay the juice whatever the price is. It's free money if you bet on Obama. Romney has no chance to win. Zero. This election has been over for quite some time.



    lol.  You've been watching too much MSNBC.  This election will be extremely close.  I love guys like you because you're gonna get me paid out 4-1 on a coin flip
     
    cbowles1111
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:55 PM ET #18

    Obamaa -400 yeaterday and is -500 now at my book
    Reply
    Obamaa -400 yeaterday and is -500 now at my book
     
    cbowles1111
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:56 PM ET #19

    Sorry about the spelling my keyboard was stuck
    Reply
    Sorry about the spelling my keyboard was stuck
     
    T_Rav1088
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 2:58 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by Lefty_Rosenthal:



    lol.  You've been watching too much MSNBC.  This election will be extremely close.  I love guys like you because you're gonna get me paid out 4-1 on a coin flip

    Coinflip means you're getting good value.  Still doesn't mean you're getting paid. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Lefty_Rosenthal:



    lol.  You've been watching too much MSNBC.  This election will be extremely close.  I love guys like you because you're gonna get me paid out 4-1 on a coin flip

    Coinflip means you're getting good value.  Still doesn't mean you're getting paid. 

     
    sportskingpin
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 3:03 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Lefty_Rosenthal:



    lol.  You've been watching too much MSNBC.  This election will be extremely close.  I love guys like you because you're gonna get me paid out 4-1 on a coin flip

    What makes you think it is a coin flip? The popular vote? Because Romney/Republicans say he is going to win?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Lefty_Rosenthal:



    lol.  You've been watching too much MSNBC.  This election will be extremely close.  I love guys like you because you're gonna get me paid out 4-1 on a coin flip

    What makes you think it is a coin flip? The popular vote? Because Romney/Republicans say he is going to win?
     
    Laroja
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 3:05 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by Lefty_Rosenthal:



    lol.  You've been watching too much MSNBC.  This election will be extremely close.  I love guys like you because you're gonna get me paid out 4-1 on a coin flip


    lol how is Romney going to win Ohio.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Lefty_Rosenthal:



    lol.  You've been watching too much MSNBC.  This election will be extremely close.  I love guys like you because you're gonna get me paid out 4-1 on a coin flip


    lol how is Romney going to win Ohio.
     
    Lefty_Rosenthal
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 3:07 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by T_Rav1088:

    Coinflip means you're getting good value.  Still doesn't mean you're getting paid. 



    I agree.  If you gave me 4-1 to flip a coin for a thousand dollars I'd be an idiot not to take it, but I could easily lose also
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by T_Rav1088:

    Coinflip means you're getting good value.  Still doesn't mean you're getting paid. 



    I agree.  If you gave me 4-1 to flip a coin for a thousand dollars I'd be an idiot not to take it, but I could easily lose also
     
    Lefty_Rosenthal
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 3:09 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by Laroja:



    lol how is Romney going to win Ohio.


    Ohio is still up for grabs despite what the main stream media is telling the sheep.  And I hate to break it to you, but Ohio is not mandatory to win the needed electoral votes.  He could still win a state like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, combination of Virginia and Iowa.  There are other options to the white house that don't include Ohio
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Laroja:



    lol how is Romney going to win Ohio.


    Ohio is still up for grabs despite what the main stream media is telling the sheep.  And I hate to break it to you, but Ohio is not mandatory to win the needed electoral votes.  He could still win a state like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, combination of Virginia and Iowa.  There are other options to the white house that don't include Ohio
     
     
    T_Rav1088
    T_Rav1088
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 847
    Posted: Nov. 6, 2012 - 3:10 PM ET #25

    You legitimately believe this is 50/50?  I'm not arguing, I don't really have an opinion.  I just see odds on individual states, and if they're that off money should be pouring in on Romney.  Which states do you believe are that far off?
    Reply
    You legitimately believe this is 50/50?  I'm not arguing, I don't really have an opinion.  I just see odds on individual states, and if they're that off money should be pouring in on Romney.  Which states do you believe are that far off?
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