Iowa Caucus Betting Lines

Question

My book just re-opened the Iowa Caucus lines:

Current Lines:
Paul -120 (+300 on Nov 1, +150 mid Dec)
Romey +120
Gingrich +400
Perry +1000
Bachmann +1000
Santorum +1000

I have liked Paul to pull the upset since November. I feel he has the network and support laid out in Iowa and the climate is right for him. Pretty pissed I did not pull the trigger sooner. I am almost hoping the media disses Paul a little more so I can get a better line. I cannot believe it is where its at. Newt was a -120 a little over a week ago.

Thoughts? Do you have lines different than this?

Gambleholic · Answer

My book just re-opened the Iowa Caucus lines:

Current Lines:
Paul -120 (+300 on Nov 1, +150 mid Dec)
Romey +120
Gingrich +400
Perry +1000
Bachmann +1000
Santorum +1000

I have liked Paul to pull the upset since November. I feel he has the network and support laid out in Iowa and the climate is right for him. Pretty pissed I did not pull the trigger sooner. I am almost hoping the media disses Paul a little more so I can get a better line. I cannot believe it is where its at. Newt was a -120 a little over a week ago.

Thoughts? Do you have lines different than this?

Gambleholic · Answer

Oh, and this book always puts out shitty juiced sucker lines. It is hard to bet any of their props or contest type wagers because of this.

depeche2 · Answer

Intrade has the true market odds.  Right now:Romney 36.2%Paul 36.0%Gingrich 13.9%Perry 5.1%Bachman 4.1%

VegasGenius · Answer

If you want the best info, go to fivethirtyeight.com
Paul is #1 with 44% chance to win. He will win Iowa....I'd take it as -120 now...I think as Newt slips more, RP will move to -160 or -180

RP will only get stronger, he has over 500 college students coming from around the country for more ground game now

Gambleholic · Answer

Yep, too late. He is already at -150. I am kicking myself for not pulling the trigger at &#x2B;300 a few months ago.

depeche2 · Answer

If 44% chance is correct then -120 is a terrible bet.

kaponofor3 · Answer

Thank you depeche

captjohn67 · Answer

if i were to play it, and i&#x27;m not, it would be Paul -120

VegasGenius · Answer

It&#x27;s not 44% in the way you see it...it&#x27;s hard to explain.Anyways, he&#x27;s up to 52% chance to win now. Looks like he has Iowa on lock now.The media has already started the "Iowa doesn&#x27;t count if RP wins" propaganda, lol.

KOAJ · Answer

RP winning Iowa is not an upset-----------The media has already started the "Iowa doesn&#x27;t count if RP wins" propaganda, lol.this is ridiculous...next it will be NH.

drJ · Answer

whos the book?

boberts427 · Answer

Ron Paul in a debate vs OB &#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;advantage Ron Paul

Gambleholic · Answer

local

dl36 · Answer

most locals dont offer lines for this type of thing or there is a low limit...  sounds like a good thing you got going

Gambleholic · Answer

I took Perry a few days ago to finish 5th or worse &#x2B;220.My limits are the same as everything else and I can call to place bigger wagers.

Gambleholic · Answer

The lines are currently down. I am thinking they will be put back up in a few days. I still don&#x27;t see anything at the bigger offshore books.

dl36 · Answer

why do you think that perry would be the worst?  hes more experienced and qualified then someone like cain...

promark12 · Answer

If Romney wins Iowa, and I think he will, THE GOP RACE IS OVER, IT&#x27;S ROMNEY vs OBAMA

Gambleholic · Answer

Current lines:Romney -180Paul &#x2B;200Santorum &#x2B;400Gingrich&#x2B;1000Perry &#x2B;1000Bachmann &#x2B;2500Romney wins 1st -1%   -1202nd Place &#x2B;1%    -120

Stiln · Answer

this ron paul nonsense needs to come to an end..

Iowa Caucus Betting Lines

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