Penalty Box Special - NFL Week 5

YTD: 5-0

Large: 1-0 (included in the overall YTD)

Regression has to be coming, but...

"There is only one god and his name is Death, and there is only one thing we say to Death: 'Not today'". 

So how about we hold off on that regression. Not today.

Vikings TT o19.5 -115

Under separate cover (i.e., tracking parlays separately), I've got Eagles ML/Colts ML -117  

Let's hope I didn't utilize that Game of Thrones quote for nothing. 

Loves the cock 

...pay no attention to TW he was probably hopped up on something.

@iConsciousness

 Good luck    

 

GL Today   

Thanks, fellas! And thanks for the good luck crank, train. 

Vikings TT o19.5 -115 

 

@iConsciousness

 Nicely done  

I think the Bolts are in for a tussle 

6-0 

Getting Becton back will be huge, assuming he's active. The Chargers weak link is their offensive line. They went in with 4 1st round picks on their starting O-line (Rawshan Slater, Zion Johnson, Mekhi Becton, Joe Alt) to just one last week (Johnson). Herbert was under duress and has been the most pressured QB (along with Flacco, I think?) this season. Even simply bringing back Becton will help a bit.

The Commanders will be without Deebo, and will welcome back a recovering Jayden Daniels. I think you add all of this and it'll be a 1 score outcome either way. It's just a matter of whether either team will cover the field goal spread.

I think the Chargers win but it's one of those games I'd rather just parlay their ML with another game. 

Chargers -3  -110

If I can get ML for less than -150, live I'll play it.

 

The Eagles are fighting for their lives to get me my parlay win. Haha

What's killed the Chargers so far are 2 defining plays. Even if there wasn't a kick return for a TD by McConkey (which was amazing, by the way), the roughing the kicker penalty gave the ball back to the Commanders. They scored a FG off of that.

That was either a 3 or 10 point swing either way you look at it.

And that QJ fumble earlier in the game. Potentially a 14 point swing there since they scored a TD on that drive after the fumble recovery.

Chargers 2H ML is -145

Chargers ML live (in a tie game) is -120 in my book.

I'm thinking this through.

Bills 1H -4.5 -110 LARGE

Apparently I didn't click send on the o22 2H on the Buccs/Seahawks game. 

Chargers ML live -127

I'll count this towards the official record.  

You are doing awesome minus betting on your team!!

@undermysac

Thanks, man.  They looked like the better team after 1 quarter, but we all know football is about playing better than your opponent for the majority of the game.

Can't really defend the Chargers much, but they need to get Mack and Alt back again soon. (Hopefully Mack is fine after his 4-week IR stint.) The Chargers are having trouble generating pressure up front, which leads to a lot of time for receivers to find those soft spots in Jesse Minter's zone defense. That's where Mack comes in. Herbert is playing with way too much pressure in his face due to collapsing pockets. That's where Alt (and, hey, Becton too) come in.

We were supposed to have a 1-2 punch with Omarion Hampton and Najee Harris. Harris has been out, while Hampton has turned into Marshawn Lynch. Now Hampton left the game with a walking boot.

I won't post any Charger plays on here again until much later in the season or maybe if it's a primetime game, if that. It's obvious that emotion plays too much of a factor when capping their games.

I'm going update my record here, but display it differently.

Sides/Totals (Regular): 5-2
Sides/Totals (Large): 1-0
Parlays: 0-1
____________
YTD Overall: 6-3

I wish I got that Bucs/Seahawks 2H total in. It was just sitting there in the text box on a separate Covers browser tab. 

Pending:  Bills 1H -4.5 -110 LARGE 

If this doesn't hit, I may have to stick with team totals, as that's where most of my hits have come from.

Marone! It was a brutal Sunday.