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NBA & NCAA Season Long Hoops Chat - Hosted by The Peoples Champ, Featuring Expert BigD

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Posted: #2176
BigD...last few days is just an anomoly...everything went cray cray when Hornets whooped on Warriors last week in GS...it will be ok after tonight...i see a huge turnaround for us here.

Also....slap Alabama on every ML 2 game parlay you wish between now and Monday...Saban will further cement himself as a college coaching god with yet another win come Monday night...Georgia will be lucky to score more than 14 pts.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #2177
adding:

Oral Roberts +2
 
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Posted: #2178
This Wichita St Over wont end up like Duke Evansville right?
On pace for the over to cash midway thru the 2nd H .

Mental note: Okla home games...bet the over...let that trend be your friend...they look to score and run and push every chance they get...and wow can they ever shoot the 3
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #2179
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

BigD...last few days is just an anomoly...everything went cray cray when Hornets whooped on Warriors last week in GS...it will be ok after tonight...i see a huge turnaround for us here.

Also....slap Alabama on every ML 2 game parlay you wish between now and Monday...Saban will further cement himself as a college coaching god with yet another win come Monday night...Georgia will be lucky to score more than 14 pts.



 
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Posted: #2180
Should’ve made that move on osu. Iowa is such a garbage team. Don’t know why anyone likes them 
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #2181
Is GSW setting up for a classic 3Q move?

Tempted to put some units on here.
 
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Posted: #2182
looks that way Parlay, I'm already on them at -1 for 2 units.......GL to us.
 
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Posted: #2183
Quote Originally Posted by chaloots:

Over Citadel/Furman 81 1st half


UCSB -4
 
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Posted: #2184
Strike my post on GSW. I didn't know this was a TNT game.
 
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Posted: #2185
I am still going for a 1 unit on GSW 3Q -2.5, but TNT games always go screwy.

Wish I could have gotten your -1 BIGDTITLE . It would sure make me feel a lot better.
 
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Posted: #2186
UTSA +8. 

Dubs 3rd  
 
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Posted: #2187
Oral Roberts +2. 
 
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Posted: #2188
D
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #2189
thanks ODB......I thought it was gonna be a bad night on that Houston misread but we swept the rest of the plays.  

I also had under 10.5 assists for Chris Paul that hit as well but forgot to post it here.  I have a rule that when my book posts a prop bet that is -130/EVEN I fade the -130.  It sounds ridiculous but it hits at a ridiculous clip so I continue to do it.  
 
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Posted: #2190
Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

thanks ODB......I thought it was gonna be a bad night on that Houston misread but we swept the rest of the plays.  

I also had under 10.5 assists for Chris Paul that hit as well but forgot to post it here.  I have a rule that when my book posts a prop bet that is -130/EVEN I fade the -130.  It sounds ridiculous but it hits at a ridiculous clip so I continue to do it.  


Someone mentioned in the mains that he either no bets or fades any pre-game lines at -125. I wonder why this juice fails.

Either way, like you say, today was sneaky, because who knew everything would hit after the initial miss.

Good job.

Let's do that again tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #2191
Locked in:

DeRozan to win MVP 80-1....simply cant resist this line....so much can happen over the course of any season...injuries, losing streaks, slumps, whatever...i really think its a 3 horse race...Harden Lebron and DeMar...yes i realize im a homer, but this team is special this year, they are money at home, and offensively can win on the road against practically anyone...so, for pure value here, Harden +130 and Lebron +190 hold none and should never bet considered to be wagered because why even bother??? The Greek Freak wont win because his team is no good and hes simply not worthy of this award yet....who else would be in your top 3 if you remove Harden and Lebron? Kyrie Durant Curry Westbrook all nice players but not what voters are looking for when discussing MVP...i truly believe if the award was voted on today without bias, but based on stats, team record, what the player means to his club, where his career curve is currently...DeMar DeRozan is a legit 3rd right now behind Harden and Lebron....im happy to lock in a quarter unit on this 80-1 and hope for the best.

MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #2192
Quote Originally Posted by ParlayBuster:



Someone mentioned in the mains that he either no bets or fades any pre-game lines at -125. I wonder why this juice fails.

Either way, like you say, today was sneaky, because who knew everything would hit after the initial miss.

Good job.

Let's do that again tomorrow.

Many years ago this practice was very popular for 1st half pointspreads in college hoops...sharps would always look to bet the -105 line and fade the -115 almost exclusively if they liked the overall cap to begin with.
Its all about the books playing with the betting sheeps mentality...most amateurs look at -115 or -125 and truly think they are getting "insurance" or added value for their wager...these same bettors find it very uncomfortable to bet -105 or +100 lines because to them they are betting the "underdog" for that line, and the vast majority of losing lambs tend to bet favorites more often than not.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #2193
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:


Many years ago this practice was very popular for 1st half pointspreads in college hoops...sharps would always look to bet the -105 line and fade the -115 almost exclusively if they liked the overall cap to begin with.
Its all about the books playing with the betting sheeps mentality...most amateurs look at -115 or -125 and truly think they are getting "insurance" or added value for their wager...these same bettors find it very uncomfortable to bet -105 or +100 lines because to them they are betting the "underdog" for that line, and the vast majority of losing lambs tend to bet favorites more often than not.

lmao. yea.. you can learn very quickly by betting second half lines that technique will get you killed. spot on, pb.

locked in wright st -4 but couldn't post at work. juice is only -134 and def some value because detroit is GARBAGE
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #2194
Locked in:

Kotka +15.5    .....classic road team jumps out by 20+pts 1st Q and the following 3 Qs the home team grinds back slowly to the original line, which was +3 in this one...the road team likely wins this by 6-12 pts range.

https://www.flashscore.ca/game/d4P0G1nk/#game-summary
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #2195
Helsinki was also a play after the 1st Q but i missed it...
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #2196
BigD with a BigN(ight) 
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #2197
Heavy lean on Baskonia +9.5...Fener having a down year...this line is scewed to the home side based on name brand recognition...line should be around -6.5 in my opinion....will be tracking it for ingame opportunities
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #2198
i'm gonna slam oregon st. for a couple units. just want to wait to see if i can get a .5 point
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Posted: #2199
Okay... no picks for NBA today, only leans. Going to see how this works.

All LIVE bets.

If NYK gets more than 10 points, then 1 unit on NYK.

If BOS line gets anywhere near ML EVEN, then 1 unit on BOS.

If SAS ML goes hits -150 or better, that is 1 unit.

Leaning DEN laying 6.5 points (1 unit). If the setup is right, going DEN 3Q BIG.
 
 
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Posted: #2200
Oregon state does look like a play tonight.   Gl ODB
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