NBA MON 031609 early thoughts - value hunting

Well thank you and welcome!  I am a statistical capper first only because that's the method I use to spot funny numbers.  Without going into details and boring the crap out of the regulars that's heard this a million times  I cap games hard with stats, trends and situational only if they are identified as having a questionable number.  Every game is different so the I weigh these factors accordingly.  From there, I post these games in here and have this great group of cappers go at it in a very civilized manner.  We don't ever just agree on everything which is what makes this so great.  I'm just one of the many cappers in here and my opinion is no more important that all the others.  My responsibilty is to start the thread and direct the conversation to finding that gem of a play.  The Under of the Day.  

I'm going to keep my user name's origin to myself for now.  No disrespect to you sir.

Thank you for stopping by...

Love everything said abt Tor/CHA Under. Thing that bothers(Devil's Advo.) me is TOR has been an Over machine 8-1 L9 and I cked them out - not all V bad D teams ( 97 - 107 @ Houst; 98 - 109 @ Dallas; 101- 109 Vs. Utah and 95 - 92 vs Det). Additionally, TOR is 23 -12 O/U Away. Only good stats I like is  History and Home/Away. Tor . Off has increased L5 and CHA 'D' has decreased L5 ( 95 O/A ; 91 H/A and L5 is 99).

 

So my 'self-talk' goin on is:"Why is this pathetic 'Craptor' team soring so many points and just how good is this CHA 'D' - are they the best in the league except for S. Ant"? 

let's play nice now...LOL, I've got nothing pal.  I'm ready to jump in head first with the rest of the crew here but the book isn't cooperating.  the damn number just dropped to 194.  my god, can this day get any worse?  BOL with any play Turc...I have no action at all. 

Jlipp would agree with you 100%.  He's drilled that into my head on numerous occasions.  I'm about ready to hit tomorrow's card since today's just been a sh1tst0rm.

Toronto led 87-80 on Bosh’s dunk with 7:01 remaining, but Bosh missed consecutive jumpers after Okafor’s follow shot, and Augustin scored on a driving layup with 4:23 left to cut it to 87-84, forcing Toronto to call timeout.

Bosh missed again and Graham had an airball before Okafor’s baseline jumper cut it to 87-86. But Bosh responded with a jumper and Graham dunked over Okafor to put the Raptors up, 91-86.

“When you’re down 10, you’ve got to play perfect at the end and we just missed so many easy shots,” Brown said. “We had our opportunities and it didn’t happen.”

Charlotte, the NBA’s lowest-scoring team, has been held below 100 points in all but two of its 14 games.

it looks that they went into a scoring drought the last 7 minutes of that game and the total was 93-86...i don't see that happening today.....i think charlotte breaks 100 today..... the ? is how much does toronto will be able to muster up......like slice said i don't see bosh getting 39 again......

Try this out for size...I was just trying to justify still jumping on board @ 194

line went down to 194......charlotte game

let's bring this one home 

been reading every comment, very interesting, I'm on the total as you guys, and thanks for yesterday, I made up some losses with your picks, I do appreciate it Axman

now let's start turning some profits for ya!!! BOL sir

AX YOUR THREADS ARE.......GREAT JOB,THANKS FOR THE INSIGHT

I'm in 1/2 U myself just in case the line bumps.  I have no problem going full 1U on this @194 but I can wait 30 minutes  BOL PnP

me, you and just about everyone else on this thread!  I love the value of the ticket we have.  BOL to you also 

Thank you, stop by anytime and give us your thoughts, we're all in this together!  

 two back at ya.  BOL

AX, do u buy the hooks?  My book is 194.5 on ur under Tor.........thx   (hate to get beat by the hook!).....

Thanks Ax, BOL