Posted:
#326
I need to know who the pillow guy is betting.
CD Super Bowl Newsletter
Posted:
#328
Interesting angle by a writer in the NY Post. As everyone knows, the spread rarely matters in the Super Bowl. It has mattered about 6 times in 55 games. So, if you like the Bengals, statistics suggest you should just take the money line, currently about 1.75-1.00. However, this sportswriter points out that it is unlikely that the Bengals win without Burrow being the MVP. So, his reasoning goes, if you like the Bengals, forget about the points and the money line and just bet Burrow to be MVP at 2.75-1.00. Interesting logic.
This information is brought to you by the first guy eliminated in Hugh's Playoff Pool. I'm on the Rams giving 4.
Good luck everyone.
Posted:
#333
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:
I'm not gonna have a single bet out there.
Turn on FS1 and watch some fishing. Good Luck guys
What kinda commie bullshit is this?!?!?!?
It's the SB ... you be true to your degenerate self and bet the damn game!
If you're undecided just tail bigred and bet the push 
bigreds daddy
Posted:
#344
I immediately put down a 4U bet on CIN +4 right after the line came out. Gotta take the points, right?
But after doing some research on my own and throwing a lot of things out and adding weight to momentum: I still have LAR as a touchdown fav on the point spread and winning by 10.
It was a mistake taking the points I see now but I don't know if I should buy out.
I spoke to a few of my guys who are a mix of squares, sharps, sharp squares etc... and they are all on CIN +4 for the same reason I took them, "Gotta take the points, right?"
Experience matters a lot in these games and Burrow has a lot from NCAAF but the rest of the team does not. There's a lot more pressure on Stafford and LAR overall but I have to go with experience and coaching here.
I may be wrong but I think the house is taking a position on LAR, screw what the line movement says, my gut tells me 70% of the money is on CIN +points and that the books are screwing the CIN bettors out of 3 points because they can. Smart money is on LAR and I just answered my own question typing this. Buying out, laying 4, and may the Lime/Green/Yellow Gatorade be victorious @ +300.
Today Siglo V, Peroni, pizza, wings, ribs, nachos and maybe a Sambuca later and it's still 80 degrees 
The pen is mightier than the pigs
Posted:
#346
@barneybeans
Everyone, and I mean everyone is on Burrow's nut sack.
But is it warranted? Here are some of his stats in the playoffs:
-0.04 EPA per drop back (not good)
43% success
7.7 YPA
4 TD's in 3 games.
6.1 yd aDOT, which is the 3rd lowest of the 14 playoff QB's.
***above stats as per Warren Sharp.
It is comical how much ESPN has manipulated the narrative that the NFL is the ultimate team sport, but QB's should be judged on wins and losses.
This mindset has sunk so deep into the public collective conscious that it has become impossible to discuss any QB without the first argument being wins/losses.
53 teammates on the sideline yet only one person is judged by the outcome of the game.
Everyone else is judged by their individual performance.
Burrow's individual performance in these playoffs has been average ... yet Joe Public is already sizing him up for a gold jacket
bigreds daddy
Posted:
#347
Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:
burrow has been nothing short of fantasic leading up to this point. the guy is paving the way to be the next brady. he's still got 20 more seasons to go, but he's defying all odds early on. with that being said, and i have been riding this gravy train for a bit now, i think they meet their maker for the super bowl. it's gonna come down to two things in my opinion. the first being the experience. the rams are loaded with veterans who know how to work together in super bowl situations. you won't see them bitching at each other with the score up two possessions about who gets the ball more like the chiefs. the second being the coaching. mcvay had some questionable challenges going down the stretch, but i think it's a mismatch here. let's not forget that prior to the bengals, taylor worked under mcvay as a wr coach for the rams. mcvay should have every receiver covered to the tee given their history together. the rams shouldn't have the same issues the chiefs have had on d, the difference is night and day when you don't have sorenson and sneed in the secondary. we most likely will never see sorenson in a chiefs uniform again. the bengals were only 1/4 in the red zone against the chiefs, 1/1 against the titans, and 2/5 against the raiders. the rams will have to limit and contain the explosive plays where the bengals are able to convert to td's. the bengals were also living on third and long situations throughout most of the playoffs. over the last three games, they converted just under 50% of their 3rd down situations. where an issue can come up is over the same three game span, the rams have only allowed 18% of third down plays to be converted, and only 38% on the season. zac taylor is going to have to come up with a better game plan early on in their drives to avoid finding themselves in third and long situations. debates can be made for both teams, but these are the biggest takeaways that i've noticed. as of now, i'll be laying the points with the rams. let's hear some counters
burrow has been nothing short of fantasic leading up to this point. the guy is paving the way to be the next brady. he's still got 20 more seasons to go, but he's defying all odds early on. with that being said, and i have been riding this gravy train for a bit now, i think they meet their maker for the super bowl. it's gonna come down to two things in my opinion. the first being the experience. the rams are loaded with veterans who know how to work together in super bowl situations. you won't see them bitching at each other with the score up two possessions about who gets the ball more like the chiefs. the second being the coaching. mcvay had some questionable challenges going down the stretch, but i think it's a mismatch here. let's not forget that prior to the bengals, taylor worked under mcvay as a wr coach for the rams. mcvay should have every receiver covered to the tee given their history together. the rams shouldn't have the same issues the chiefs have had on d, the difference is night and day when you don't have sorenson and sneed in the secondary. we most likely will never see sorenson in a chiefs uniform again. the bengals were only 1/4 in the red zone against the chiefs, 1/1 against the titans, and 2/5 against the raiders. the rams will have to limit and contain the explosive plays where the bengals are able to convert to td's. the bengals were also living on third and long situations throughout most of the playoffs. over the last three games, they converted just under 50% of their 3rd down situations. where an issue can come up is over the same three game span, the rams have only allowed 18% of third down plays to be converted, and only 38% on the season. zac taylor is going to have to come up with a better game plan early on in their drives to avoid finding themselves in third and long situations. debates can be made for both teams, but these are the biggest takeaways that i've noticed. as of now, i'll be laying the points with the rams. let's hear some counters
rams -4 very big
rams -7.5 +160
burrow not to throw a td +500 small long shot
bengals punt o3.5 -150
mike hilton o4.5 tackles and assists +120
good luck, all! enjoy the game. boneless bourbon chili sriracha wings are calling my name!
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
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