CD Newsletter Week 7

All lines from whatever covers says b365 has right now

All lines listed are for the home team

Fill in the injuries i miss . There are a ton of key ones.

TNF

Jax@NO  -1.0  39.5

Check for injury updates. Ton of good players questionable . Especially on NO D

TLaw in a knee brace at practice. Carr still not 100%.

Saints 13 or 14 straight unders.

2 pretty good D

Jax probably runs the ball a little bit better.

Sunday

Atl@TB  -2.5  38.0

Loved the under at 40.0

TB should contain atl run game some what, they have vita vea and good LBs

Still not fully believing in baker...but he does have good weapons around him and a decent OL

Ridder seems like a check down king for the most part

Division matchup 

Always check weather/injuries

LV@Chi  +3.0  37.5

Who is playing QB?? 

LV D better than chi D...LV wins?

Check injuries and weather 

Field goal city if neither team can score in the RZ?? Will either team get to the RZ?

Very hard to cap this game at this point. Even under iffy cause 1 qb could have career day

Cle@Ind  +2.0  39.0

Don't mind the under. Cle D pretty elite

Should be much lower scoring than jax/indy last week

Watson might play?? If he wants?

Both teams have pretty good ground attacks...but you want chubb playing

Huge letdown spot for cle after beating sf

Det@Bal  -3.0  42.0

Biggest test of the season for both teams except det week 1 vs kc

Lean over. Could see both teams getting to 20 points

Detroit run d sneaky good this year if I'm not mistaken

One of the games of the week imo

Det RB room a disaster if Gibbs can't play. Montgomery out

Sunday 

Buf@NE  +8.5  41.5

How many points can NE score? Double digits? NE a disaster

Allen hurt his shoulder...wonder if it same one as last year

Division game. Buff won 4 straight in this matchup

Buff should win...do they cover?

Check weather/injuries

Wsh@NYG  +2.0  40.5

Hard game to cap. Division game

Like howell more than taylor/Jones

Wash has better DL and prob better D

Giants blew their load vs bills

Check weather/injuries

Ari@Sea  -8.0  44.5

Division game

Hawks should win at home...do they cover?

Hawks won last 3 in this matchup

Check injuries/weather 

Pit@LAR  -3.0  43.0

Can pitt get pressure and slow down kupp/Puka? 

See the rams having more success moving the ball on offence 

Debating if I like the over

Injuries here??

LAC@KC  -5.5  48.5

Curious to see where the total goes. Already down from 50...last 5 have gone over 50

Usually auto over bet for me but not sure this year...KC d stingy it seens

Could see both teams get to 20 though....

Kelce not 100% if I not mistaken

Williams out for year

Sac do you have the PFF ratings for KC CBs?

GB@Den  +1.0  44.5

Not sure what to think here....maybe home team?

Initial gut liked under....but I dunno

From what I have heard Love has seemed to regress from his decent start

Does den play for the coach?? Do they like their coach? Do they like their qb??

SNF

Mia@Phi -2.0  52.0

Lean over and Miami 

I'm an eagles fan and we are beat up in the secondary....and everywhere....bad week for Miami to roll in

I think we are like 9-22 or worse without lane Johnson in the lineup...top 3 lineman in the league if not the best...he's probably out this week

Phins game to lose IMO...we will struggle to slow down their aerial attack

One chance we have is if we dominate in the run game and win time of possession by a wide margin

Check weather and injuries

MNF

Sf@Min  -7.0  44.0

Is CMC playing? He is the sf offence . Deebo might be out too and williams their best OL

Minne O might suck without Jefferson.

Bounce back performance from SF after losing in Cle?

Both lines seems pretty spot on

Check injuries

GL this week ya buffoons 

@dubz4dummyz

Nice work dubz ....just curious on your stance regarding weather and injuries ?

@dubz4dummyz

Lajarious Sneed 59.0

Trent McDuffie 84.9

Check weather and injuries 

@undermysac

Got it....thanks 

Alarming line for me was the Lions ...Pinny had this at +3.5 -114 earlier today.....has settled at 3  -111 . 

Windy here on Sunday....

Great ink.....

@trainwreck66

 I hate playing games with weather factoring in. Especially cause I like props. Weather  makes an already fairly unpredictable outcome even more unpredictable...turnovers, sloppy footing, wind affecting pass game, etc...

Injuries are also huge for props...like sauce Gardner out meant AJ brown had a way easier matchup last week

Obviously qb injuries are massive. Look how shitty burrow was first 4-5 weeks of season

@dubz4dummyz

 My fellow canuck .....I was just bustin balls lol 

@undermysac

 Thanks for some reason I thought snead was having a great year.  That McDuffie # top 10 in the league?

Just going over some potential prop plays. 

Thanks

@trainwreck66

 Check weather/injuries

@dubz4dummyz

I gree with your take regardless and thanks for stepping up ....You are now a veteran 

Good work Dubz.  

At 84.9, he's easily a top 5 corner if not better. But keep in mind that pff is just that, a rating. Those guys in particular watch every single snap on tape and rate players. I couldn't imagine the hours it takes, and how many different opinions are figured in.

That kind of rating is more palatable to me than simple #'s.

Also, Keenan Allen is an over rated pos pansy. That's my personal rating.

https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/40200-to-win-138747---sunday-102223-103774734/1

Thoughts fellas?

I don't know much about Twitter, but you can't tell me that screen shots can't be faked there.

People are great

people will do anything for attention.  

nice work Dubz 

@dubz4dummyz

 Concise

How you feeling & whats the weather up there?

Just checking.

@666LES

 Strained a finger typing that. Questionable for GameDay. Good football weather

Cardinals have been outscored 98 - 30 in the 2nd half this year. Avg. temp. 72 Wind south southeast 8 mph precip. 0.8 air quality good.

@Biscuiteater1

 Brick Tamland reporting for duty 

Another circle the wagons game for Bellichick.  Problem is he ain’t got enough wagons to make a circle.  Worst roster in the league.
 Maybe time he picks up a pickle ball racquet and head for the Villages. 

all these lines suck