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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    CD Newsletter Week 22 *Super Bowl Edition*

    ABooksNightmare
    Interstellar
    kidd22
    1129ken
    Cranky_Hank
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 283
    Posts: 25
     
    ABooksNightmare
    ABooksNightmare
    Hall of Fame
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    Joined: Jul, 2004
    Posts: 26651
    Posted: Feb. 5, 2026 - 9:18 PM ET #1

    an_blowhornBR is ready to deliver the last and final newsletter of the year to all you squashers and bathroom whisperers,,,,,any of you toe tappers need not inquire,,,,,,bout to get real up in here with 12 inches of limp dick across yo face in this final cantstanzya,,,,,you either with it or against it,,,,,,,you vabbing or dabbing,,,,,,get yo helmet son, cause it's game time,,,,,,an_dance

     

     

     

    This weeks sponsor is MANSCAPING,,,,,,cause god knows you fucks are prolly looking like Bigfoot or some kinda Yeti from REI,,,,,,

     

    Let's get it,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,an_boggienightthefootball

    COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    an_blowhornBR is ready to deliver the last and final newsletter of the year to all you squashers and bathroom whisperers,,,,,any of you toe tappers need not inquire,,,,,,bout to get real up in here with 12 inches of limp dick across yo face in this final cantstanzya,,,,,you either with it or against it,,,,,,,you vabbing or dabbing,,,,,,get yo helmet son, cause it's game time,,,,,,an_dance

     

     

     

    This weeks sponsor is MANSCAPING,,,,,,cause god knows you fucks are prolly looking like Bigfoot or some kinda Yeti from REI,,,,,,

     

    Let's get it,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,an_boggienightthefootball

     
    ABooksNightmare
    ABooksNightmare
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    Joined: Jul, 2004
    Posts: 26651
    Posted: Feb. 5, 2026 - 9:21 PM ET #2

    an_speakMessage form BR's Table Max Club: finally at the end, big shoutout to abn for posting for me as I am still banned going on 18 yrs now, so to the mods, one in particular, go fuck yourselves, we have found a way around your arbitrary enforcement of your ridiculous  rules,,,on with it

     

     

     

    COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean
    Reply

    an_speakMessage form BR's Table Max Club: finally at the end, big shoutout to abn for posting for me as I am still banned going on 18 yrs now, so to the mods, one in particular, go fuck yourselves, we have found a way around your arbitrary enforcement of your ridiculous  rules,,,on with it

     

     

     

     
    ABooksNightmare
    ABooksNightmare
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    Posts: 26651
    Posted: Feb. 5, 2026 - 9:21 PM ET #3

    seattle-new england,,,seattle..4.5...45.5,, ,ill get right to it, I hammered the over a week ago so I'm locked in and feel good about it,not coming off it,,,,,pats lost to the raiders, bills and Pitt, ,,sea lost to sf, Tampa and rams,,,,both top 3 in scoring, both top 10 in defense,,,,case can be made and ill make it that pats should have lost to den if Peyton coached correctly, furthermore the fact pats didn't beat the Texans by 30 after 4 first half into is troubling,,,sea crushed sf and beat rams in a tight game,,,,i just see Seattle wining, no huge conviction  but over for sure...sea...30-23....p.s. if anyone is tailing the NHL selections from the letter or in the boiler room thread u should be able to buy urself a new car,,,,good eating good drinking and good luck

    COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean
    Reply

    seattle-new england,,,seattle..4.5...45.5,, ,ill get right to it, I hammered the over a week ago so I'm locked in and feel good about it,not coming off it,,,,,pats lost to the raiders, bills and Pitt, ,,sea lost to sf, Tampa and rams,,,,both top 3 in scoring, both top 10 in defense,,,,case can be made and ill make it that pats should have lost to den if Peyton coached correctly, furthermore the fact pats didn't beat the Texans by 30 after 4 first half into is troubling,,,sea crushed sf and beat rams in a tight game,,,,i just see Seattle wining, no huge conviction  but over for sure...sea...30-23....p.s. if anyone is tailing the NHL selections from the letter or in the boiler room thread u should be able to buy urself a new car,,,,good eating good drinking and good luck

     
    ABooksNightmare
    ABooksNightmare
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2026 - 9:23 PM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by ABooksNightmare:

    Message form BR's Table Max Club: finally at the end, big shoutout to abn for posting for me as I am still banned going on 18 yrs now, so to the mods, one in particular, go fuck yourselves, we have found a way around your arbitrary enforcement of your ridiculous  rules,,,on with it
    Doctor peace_5

    COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by ABooksNightmare:

    Message form BR's Table Max Club: finally at the end, big shoutout to abn for posting for me as I am still banned going on 18 yrs now, so to the mods, one in particular, go fuck yourselves, we have found a way around your arbitrary enforcement of your ridiculous  rules,,,on with it
    Doctor peace_5

     
    Interstellar
    Interstellar
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    Joined: Jan, 2024
    Posts: 3200
    Posted: Feb. 5, 2026 - 9:38 PM ET #5

    peace_5 Is the over table max?

    Reply

    peace_5 Is the over table max?

     
    kidd22
    kidd22
    MVP
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    Joined: Dec, 2015
    Posts: 17105
    Posted: Feb. 5, 2026 - 10:56 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by ABooksNightmare:

    Message form BR's Table Max Club: finally at the end, big shoutout to abn for posting for me as I am still banned going on 18 yrs now, so to the mods, one in particular, go fuck yourselves, we have found a way around your arbitrary enforcement of your ridiculous  rules,,,on with it
    table max,,, club here thumbs_up 

    AB appreciate the time peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by ABooksNightmare:

    Message form BR's Table Max Club: finally at the end, big shoutout to abn for posting for me as I am still banned going on 18 yrs now, so to the mods, one in particular, go fuck yourselves, we have found a way around your arbitrary enforcement of your ridiculous  rules,,,on with it
    table max,,, club here thumbs_up 

    AB appreciate the time peace_5

     
    kidd22
    kidd22
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    Posts: 17105
    Posted: Feb. 5, 2026 - 11:26 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by stanleyroperr:

    Quote Originally Posted by Interstellar: Is the over table max?,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,affirmative,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
    an_clap

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by stanleyroperr:

    Quote Originally Posted by Interstellar: Is the over table max?,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,affirmative,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
    an_clap

     
    1129ken
    1129ken
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    Joined: Dec, 2010
    Posts: 2674
    Posted: Feb. 6, 2026 - 1:39 AM ET #8

    I'm looking for hedging advice and I know this is the best place to find it. But first, thank you ABN and BR for this season. And, to whichever mod banned BR, I'd like to offer her my sincere Chub Feeney. Chub, as most of you know, was a baseball executive who famously offered his middle digit to fans on Fan Appreciation Night.

    I used to be more active on the ClubDirt thread, but I'm old and I got sick. Back then I made decent money observing ( not tailing ) Getty and HughJorgan, two of the most astute players I have ever followed ( I'm guessing we all wish they still posted here ). I don't have a favorite team because I gamble. I've played for a long time, but I haven't found myself in a serious hedging situation before because I rarely bet futures. My question involves a bet I made in advance of the playoffs. I put $500 on New England to win the Super Bowl at 10-1. I wanted to bet NE just to get to the SB because although I thought 10-1 was too high, I didn't think it likely NE would beat the NFC SB representative. However, my book didn't offer that opportunity. I don't want to risk $5K on this or any other game, but I will if it's just stupid to hedge. Obviously, I can get my equity out by just taking the Seattle ML, but it goes against all my gambling instincts to lay 2.25-1 in a contest that either side can win. I am respectfully asking for the thoughts of the ClubDirt community. Thank you. 

     

     

    Reply

    I'm looking for hedging advice and I know this is the best place to find it. But first, thank you ABN and BR for this season. And, to whichever mod banned BR, I'd like to offer her my sincere Chub Feeney. Chub, as most of you know, was a baseball executive who famously offered his middle digit to fans on Fan Appreciation Night.

    I used to be more active on the ClubDirt thread, but I'm old and I got sick. Back then I made decent money observing ( not tailing ) Getty and HughJorgan, two of the most astute players I have ever followed ( I'm guessing we all wish they still posted here ). I don't have a favorite team because I gamble. I've played for a long time, but I haven't found myself in a serious hedging situation before because I rarely bet futures. My question involves a bet I made in advance of the playoffs. I put $500 on New England to win the Super Bowl at 10-1. I wanted to bet NE just to get to the SB because although I thought 10-1 was too high, I didn't think it likely NE would beat the NFC SB representative. However, my book didn't offer that opportunity. I don't want to risk $5K on this or any other game, but I will if it's just stupid to hedge. Obviously, I can get my equity out by just taking the Seattle ML, but it goes against all my gambling instincts to lay 2.25-1 in a contest that either side can win. I am respectfully asking for the thoughts of the ClubDirt community. Thank you. 

     

     

     
    Cranky_Hank
    Cranky_Hank
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2017
    Posts: 7064
    Posted: Feb. 6, 2026 - 6:49 AM ET #9

    You could wager $1500 on the Seattle ml.  That way you wouldn’t lose any money on the game.  You would still be able to cheer for the Patriots to bring you back $3500.

    The line is dropping.  -230 moneyline and +3.5 on NE now.

    clover

    Keep at it.
    Reply

    You could wager $1500 on the Seattle ml.  That way you wouldn’t lose any money on the game.  You would still be able to cheer for the Patriots to bring you back $3500.

    The line is dropping.  -230 moneyline and +3.5 on NE now.

    clover

     
    Brooklyncapper
    Brooklyncapper
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2026 - 11:59 AM ET #10

    Best play is walker over 20.5 yards rec

     

    Success is never final, failure is never fatal, and it's the courage that counts.
    Reply

    Best play is walker over 20.5 yards rec

     

     
    1129ken
    1129ken
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2026 - 1:01 PM ET #11

    @Cranky_Hank

     Appreciate your thoughts, Hank. Glad to see you appear to be well.

    Reply

    @Cranky_Hank

     Appreciate your thoughts, Hank. Glad to see you appear to be well.

     
    kidd22
    kidd22
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2026 - 1:31 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by buunnkmoreland:

    @Brooklyncapper  ,,,,,,you and your political bullshit are not welcome here, and before you call me a trump lover, or trump hater, both of  those being irrelevant, we don't do ANY politics in the newsletter,,,,,,,not to mention you lie your ass off about your baseball record,,,,,,get the fuck out of here
    thumbs_up

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by buunnkmoreland:

    @Brooklyncapper  ,,,,,,you and your political bullshit are not welcome here, and before you call me a trump lover, or trump hater, both of  those being irrelevant, we don't do ANY politics in the newsletter,,,,,,,not to mention you lie your ass off about your baseball record,,,,,,get the fuck out of here
    thumbs_up

     
    Cyrax
    Cyrax
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2026 - 4:44 PM ET #13

    I'll be on the Over 45 for the game as well. I'll probably take the 2H Over also since that's when they usually score more points.  peace_5

    Reply

    I'll be on the Over 45 for the game as well. I'll probably take the 2H Over also since that's when they usually score more points.  peace_5

     
    ABooksNightmare
    ABooksNightmare
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2026 - 7:42 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by 1129ken:

    I'm looking for hedging advice and I know this is the best place to find it. But first, thank you ABN and BR for this season. And, to whichever mod banned BR, I'd like to offer her my sincere Chub Feeney. Chub, as most of you know, was a baseball executive who famously offered his middle digit to fans on Fan Appreciation Night. I used to be more active on the ClubDirt thread, but I'm old and I got sick. Back then I made decent money observing ( not tailing ) Getty and HughJorgan, two of the most astute players I have ever followed ( I'm guessing we all wish they still posted here ). I don't have a favorite team because I gamble. I've played for a long time, but I haven't found myself in a serious hedging situation before because I rarely bet futures. My question involves a bet I made in advance of the playoffs. I put $500 on New England to win the Super Bowl at 10-1. I wanted to bet NE just to get to the SB because although I thought 10-1 was too high, I didn't think it likely NE would beat the NFC SB representative. However, my book didn't offer that opportunity. I don't want to risk $5K on this or any other game, but I will if it's just stupid to hedge. Obviously, I can get my equity out by just taking the Seattle ML, but it goes against all my gambling instincts to lay 2.25-1 in a contest that either side can win. I am respectfully asking for the thoughts of the ClubDirt community. Thank you.
    If you aren't looking to hedge the original investment by taking Seattle ML, which is really the way to hedge with guaranteed profit, then your best is to wait until live game odds and hope that the Patriots can get out in front where the odds for Seattle ML becomes closer to even. The problem is that is a "what if" scenario and is a risk you are hoping takes place. If Seattle gets out in front by any considerable margin, your odds diminish and so does your odds to hedge at that point. If you want to guarantee at least breaking even on you original investment, which is wise, then hedge on Seattle ML to get your initial $500 back. You could even double that Seattle ML hedge and guarantee yourself at minimum a thousand if Seattle wins and around $2700 if Patriots win. At a minimum this would be a smart hedge, but if you got cash to throw around then let it ride. 

     

    In my opinion, I think New England is in trouble here and that Seattle is the more complete overall team with the more seasoned QB. Both QB's are untested in this type of game and this is the biggest game either will have ever played in their life, so nerves will be a concern. I think Seattle wins by double digits and I would take the guaranteed money if I was holding that ticket. I am actually going to be on Seattle ML very large and I'm already in on the over. 

     

    Best of luck to you peace_5

     

    Best of like whatever you decis 

    COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by 1129ken:

    I'm looking for hedging advice and I know this is the best place to find it. But first, thank you ABN and BR for this season. And, to whichever mod banned BR, I'd like to offer her my sincere Chub Feeney. Chub, as most of you know, was a baseball executive who famously offered his middle digit to fans on Fan Appreciation Night. I used to be more active on the ClubDirt thread, but I'm old and I got sick. Back then I made decent money observing ( not tailing ) Getty and HughJorgan, two of the most astute players I have ever followed ( I'm guessing we all wish they still posted here ). I don't have a favorite team because I gamble. I've played for a long time, but I haven't found myself in a serious hedging situation before because I rarely bet futures. My question involves a bet I made in advance of the playoffs. I put $500 on New England to win the Super Bowl at 10-1. I wanted to bet NE just to get to the SB because although I thought 10-1 was too high, I didn't think it likely NE would beat the NFC SB representative. However, my book didn't offer that opportunity. I don't want to risk $5K on this or any other game, but I will if it's just stupid to hedge. Obviously, I can get my equity out by just taking the Seattle ML, but it goes against all my gambling instincts to lay 2.25-1 in a contest that either side can win. I am respectfully asking for the thoughts of the ClubDirt community. Thank you.
    If you aren't looking to hedge the original investment by taking Seattle ML, which is really the way to hedge with guaranteed profit, then your best is to wait until live game odds and hope that the Patriots can get out in front where the odds for Seattle ML becomes closer to even. The problem is that is a "what if" scenario and is a risk you are hoping takes place. If Seattle gets out in front by any considerable margin, your odds diminish and so does your odds to hedge at that point. If you want to guarantee at least breaking even on you original investment, which is wise, then hedge on Seattle ML to get your initial $500 back. You could even double that Seattle ML hedge and guarantee yourself at minimum a thousand if Seattle wins and around $2700 if Patriots win. At a minimum this would be a smart hedge, but if you got cash to throw around then let it ride. 

     

    In my opinion, I think New England is in trouble here and that Seattle is the more complete overall team with the more seasoned QB. Both QB's are untested in this type of game and this is the biggest game either will have ever played in their life, so nerves will be a concern. I think Seattle wins by double digits and I would take the guaranteed money if I was holding that ticket. I am actually going to be on Seattle ML very large and I'm already in on the over. 

     

    Best of luck to you peace_5

     

    Best of like whatever you decis 

     
    Cyrax
    Cyrax
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2026 - 8:14 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by 1129ken:

    I'm looking for hedging advice and I know this is the best place to find it. But first, thank you ABN and BR for this season. And, to whichever mod banned BR, I'd like to offer her my sincere Chub Feeney. Chub, as most of you know, was a baseball executive who famously offered his middle digit to fans on Fan Appreciation Night. I used to be more active on the ClubDirt thread, but I'm old and I got sick. Back then I made decent money observing ( not tailing ) Getty and HughJorgan, two of the most astute players I have ever followed ( I'm guessing we all wish they still posted here ). I don't have a favorite team because I gamble. I've played for a long time, but I haven't found myself in a serious hedging situation before because I rarely bet futures. My question involves a bet I made in advance of the playoffs. I put $500 on New England to win the Super Bowl at 10-1. I wanted to bet NE just to get to the SB because although I thought 10-1 was too high, I didn't think it likely NE would beat the NFC SB representative. However, my book didn't offer that opportunity. I don't want to risk $5K on this or any other game, but I will if it's just stupid to hedge. Obviously, I can get my equity out by just taking the Seattle ML, but it goes against all my gambling instincts to lay 2.25-1 in a contest that either side can win. I am respectfully asking for the thoughts of the ClubDirt community. Thank you.
      Good to see you around ,  Stay Healthy Ken peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by 1129ken:

    I'm looking for hedging advice and I know this is the best place to find it. But first, thank you ABN and BR for this season. And, to whichever mod banned BR, I'd like to offer her my sincere Chub Feeney. Chub, as most of you know, was a baseball executive who famously offered his middle digit to fans on Fan Appreciation Night. I used to be more active on the ClubDirt thread, but I'm old and I got sick. Back then I made decent money observing ( not tailing ) Getty and HughJorgan, two of the most astute players I have ever followed ( I'm guessing we all wish they still posted here ). I don't have a favorite team because I gamble. I've played for a long time, but I haven't found myself in a serious hedging situation before because I rarely bet futures. My question involves a bet I made in advance of the playoffs. I put $500 on New England to win the Super Bowl at 10-1. I wanted to bet NE just to get to the SB because although I thought 10-1 was too high, I didn't think it likely NE would beat the NFC SB representative. However, my book didn't offer that opportunity. I don't want to risk $5K on this or any other game, but I will if it's just stupid to hedge. Obviously, I can get my equity out by just taking the Seattle ML, but it goes against all my gambling instincts to lay 2.25-1 in a contest that either side can win. I am respectfully asking for the thoughts of the ClubDirt community. Thank you.
      Good to see you around ,  Stay Healthy Ken peace_5

     
    1129ken
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2026 - 10:08 PM ET #16

    @Cyrax

     Thanks very much, Cy. Nice season. Good luck on Sunday.

    Reply

    @Cyrax

     Thanks very much, Cy. Nice season. Good luck on Sunday.

     
    1129ken
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2026 - 11:36 PM ET #17

    @ABooksNightmare

    Thank you very much, ABN. Obviously, I knew 10 days ago that I had this issue. I waited in the hope that I would see a thread from you. And, I appreciate your thoughts. It is the thorough analysis I was hoping ( and expecting ) I might see. Also, I agree with your opinion that NE is in trouble here and I see a game that ends up Seattle by about 12. I'm intrigued by the live betting option, but given your obvious ( on display weekly ) healthy sense of humor, I'll share this added complication : Although I'm 75 with significant health issues ( not looking for sympathy; plenty have it worse than me ), I have a genuinely batshitt crazy younger girlfriend. She's a Patriots fan. She wants me to let it ride, which I'd rather not do. If I look to the live betting option, I'll need an early Patriots lead to move the ML down. Anyone with a nuthouse crazy girlfriend knows the likelihood I'll get near a computer to bet Seattle ML with NE in the lead with $5K in play. The Greeks call this a "pleasant headache."

    Thanks again, ABN.

    Reply

    @ABooksNightmare

    Thank you very much, ABN. Obviously, I knew 10 days ago that I had this issue. I waited in the hope that I would see a thread from you. And, I appreciate your thoughts. It is the thorough analysis I was hoping ( and expecting ) I might see. Also, I agree with your opinion that NE is in trouble here and I see a game that ends up Seattle by about 12. I'm intrigued by the live betting option, but given your obvious ( on display weekly ) healthy sense of humor, I'll share this added complication : Although I'm 75 with significant health issues ( not looking for sympathy; plenty have it worse than me ), I have a genuinely batshitt crazy younger girlfriend. She's a Patriots fan. She wants me to let it ride, which I'd rather not do. If I look to the live betting option, I'll need an early Patriots lead to move the ML down. Anyone with a nuthouse crazy girlfriend knows the likelihood I'll get near a computer to bet Seattle ML with NE in the lead with $5K in play. The Greeks call this a "pleasant headache."

    Thanks again, ABN.

     
    Cyrax
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2026 - 8:45 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by 1129ken:

    @Cyrax  Thanks very much, Cy. Nice season. Good luck on Sunday.

     

    Thanks peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by 1129ken:

    @Cyrax  Thanks very much, Cy. Nice season. Good luck on Sunday.

     

    Thanks peace_5

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2026 - 3:12 PM ET #19

    I believe that BR has done every week for the CD Newsletter this year.

    Congrats, good luck, don't drink too much, till next year

    an_cheers

    Reply

    I believe that BR has done every week for the CD Newsletter this year.

    Congrats, good luck, don't drink too much, till next year

    an_cheers

     
    kidd22
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2026 - 4:55 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by northdalllas_40:

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: I believe that BR has done every week for the CD Newsletter this year. Congrats, good luck, don't drink too much, till next year,,,,,,,,it was fun, made me a better handicapper, had my beat year NFL wise in a long time,,,,,,,,,,God willing I'm alive I do it next year, with several off season threads, draft, preseason, March madness,,,,,,,,,,,,don't drink too much?,,like telling the sun not to rise,,,plus the fact it appears cranky hank is only an hour away from me as he said he is heading down here to Orlando,, he is quite a legendary drunk in his own right, ,,,,,,,,,I better put bail money aside,,,,,,,,

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by northdalllas_40:

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: I believe that BR has done every week for the CD Newsletter this year. Congrats, good luck, don't drink too much, till next year,,,,,,,,it was fun, made me a better handicapper, had my beat year NFL wise in a long time,,,,,,,,,,God willing I'm alive I do it next year, with several off season threads, draft, preseason, March madness,,,,,,,,,,,,don't drink too much?,,like telling the sun not to rise,,,plus the fact it appears cranky hank is only an hour away from me as he said he is heading down here to Orlando,, he is quite a legendary drunk in his own right, ,,,,,,,,,I better put bail money aside,,,,,,,,

     
    kidd22
    kidd22
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2026 - 4:55 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by northdalllas_40:

    Quote Originally Posted by 1129ken: I'm looking for hedging advice and I know this is the best place to find it. But first, thank you ABN and BR for this season. And, to whichever mod banned BR, I'd like to offer her my sincere Chub Feeney. Chub, as most of you know, was a baseball executive who famously offered his middle digit to fans on Fan Appreciation Night. I used to be more active on the ClubDirt thread, but I'm old and I got sick. Back then I made decent money observing ( not tailing ) Getty and HughJorgan, two of the most astute players I have ever followed ( I'm guessing we all wish they still posted here ). I don't have a favorite team because I gamble. I've played for a long time, but I haven't found myself in a serious hedging situation before because I rarely bet futures. My question involves a bet I made in advance of the playoffs. I put $500 on New England to win the Super Bowl at 10-1. I wanted to bet NE just to get to the SB because although I thought 10-1 was too high, I didn't think it likely NE would beat the NFC SB representative. However, my book didn't offer that opportunity. I don't want to risk $5K on this or any other game, but I will if it's just stupid to hedge. Obviously, I can get my equity out by just taking the Seattle ML, but it goes against all my gambling instincts to lay 2.25-1 in a contest that either side can win. I am respectfully asking for the thoughts of the ClubDirt community. Thank you.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,depends on ur financial situation,,,if u need the cash , hedge, if not let it ride,,,,,,,,,,if it was even money on sea surely hedge, but laying 2 plus to 1 fuck it,,,,,,,,,,,there used to be an old thread about hedging, the consensus was never hedge,,,,,,,,,again unless u need that loot guaranteed in hand, let that shit ride,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by northdalllas_40:

    Quote Originally Posted by 1129ken: I'm looking for hedging advice and I know this is the best place to find it. But first, thank you ABN and BR for this season. And, to whichever mod banned BR, I'd like to offer her my sincere Chub Feeney. Chub, as most of you know, was a baseball executive who famously offered his middle digit to fans on Fan Appreciation Night. I used to be more active on the ClubDirt thread, but I'm old and I got sick. Back then I made decent money observing ( not tailing ) Getty and HughJorgan, two of the most astute players I have ever followed ( I'm guessing we all wish they still posted here ). I don't have a favorite team because I gamble. I've played for a long time, but I haven't found myself in a serious hedging situation before because I rarely bet futures. My question involves a bet I made in advance of the playoffs. I put $500 on New England to win the Super Bowl at 10-1. I wanted to bet NE just to get to the SB because although I thought 10-1 was too high, I didn't think it likely NE would beat the NFC SB representative. However, my book didn't offer that opportunity. I don't want to risk $5K on this or any other game, but I will if it's just stupid to hedge. Obviously, I can get my equity out by just taking the Seattle ML, but it goes against all my gambling instincts to lay 2.25-1 in a contest that either side can win. I am respectfully asking for the thoughts of the ClubDirt community. Thank you.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,depends on ur financial situation,,,if u need the cash , hedge, if not let it ride,,,,,,,,,,if it was even money on sea surely hedge, but laying 2 plus to 1 fuck it,,,,,,,,,,,there used to be an old thread about hedging, the consensus was never hedge,,,,,,,,,again unless u need that loot guaranteed in hand, let that shit ride,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

     
    kidd22
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2026 - 4:56 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by northdalllas_40:

    by the way north Dallas forty is an outstanding movie for those who know it,,,,,,,,,,,,

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by northdalllas_40:

    by the way north Dallas forty is an outstanding movie for those who know it,,,,,,,,,,,,

     
    kidd22
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2026 - 4:58 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by northdalllas_40:

    what we eating,,,,I got jambalaya, chilli and a Boston butt on the smoker,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,and I believe 12 cases of beer,,,,,not all for me I'm having people over,,,,,,,my kid has hoops practice til 7 if u can believe it, he is taking an Uber home,,,,,that make me a bad parent?,,,,,
    no sir it doesn’t I got 2 30 packs crab and shrimp mix tostada shells chip and dip and stuffed mushrooms devil eggs simple burgers and dogs and shots of padron an_2drinks

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by northdalllas_40:

    what we eating,,,,I got jambalaya, chilli and a Boston butt on the smoker,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,and I believe 12 cases of beer,,,,,not all for me I'm having people over,,,,,,,my kid has hoops practice til 7 if u can believe it, he is taking an Uber home,,,,,that make me a bad parent?,,,,,
    no sir it doesn’t I got 2 30 packs crab and shrimp mix tostada shells chip and dip and stuffed mushrooms devil eggs simple burgers and dogs and shots of padron an_2drinks

     
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2026 - 5:57 PM ET #24

    good luck fellas and enjoy the game .....remember dont drink and operate heavy farm machinery peace_5

    Reply

    good luck fellas and enjoy the game .....remember dont drink and operate heavy farm machinery peace_5

     
     
    1129ken
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2026 - 6:29 PM ET #25

    Thanks again ABR. Letting it ride. Seattle ML too expensive.

    Reply

    Thanks again ABR. Letting it ride. Seattle ML too expensive.

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