CD Newsletter Week 15

Read post #94 again.

This seals it, I'm going ham bone on the Browns, I can feel it in my loins. Honestly, not even concerned about fading KC here not one bit.

Browns d line has the #1 pressure rate in the nfl. If you have watched the Chiefs o line lately, they have been a hot mess.

LFG

If anyone here is scared betting the Browns, leave the PB and don't come back.

@undermysac

 Sac, you have me interested. Would you play both M/L and ATS on the Sipes? Perhaps a split unit.

55-62-6 (-3.92) YTD

5-5 (-0.28) last week

Broncos -3.5(-110) *2.00/1.82

Packers -2.5(-112) *1.12/1.00

Lions 1H ML(-135) *1.35/1.00

Steelers +5(even) *1.00

Steelers ML(+205) *.25/.51

Brown +4(-108) *1.75/1.62

Browns +3(+115) *1.00/1.15

Browns ML(+185) *.75/1.39

It's week 15, I'm due for a big week. Ridiculous 

@undermysac

 Well that answers that!! 

the first game is a BYE....

the Giants are like 11 guys like Starwink  

drunk and clumsy oafs....

 cut'em

Placed a unit on the Incarnate Word Cardinals +19 vs the Jackrabbits. Using the same 2 angles that made Montana a winner last week. Game goes off tomorrow @ noon @ the Dana J Dykhouse Stadium. Don't know who that is but quite the handle. Betting on Catholic Texans I know is always a risk but those private schools in Texas gotta have some stories the pope would be slightly concerned about. Go Cardinals!!

anyone looking for a spot to burn a dolla or three....

I'm gonna look to bet the LIVE UNDER in this Indi game. (Has nothing to do with the lifetime victim kid that preaches about fake ailments/disease and the time someone took his lunch money.) This number has gotten steamed....by the sharps and the public......so you just picked up 3-4 points off the open.....and there's a lot of assuming going on....one of which is that the lines makers missed the boat on this one. All over the net this is being seen as free money.

If they come out blazing.....I'm gonna hope for an addition 5-10 pts off the pre tip line...then go Under

I do a majority of LIVE betting. If I don't get what I like....I just pass. There's more opportunities.

Here is some Info for you Under better  ( Cake, Sac a lot of Biscuit )

Early spread ticket count is just shy of 2/1 and early money 4/1 on the Ravens.

The total opened at 43.5 and has been steady at 42.5 since Wednesday afternoon. Tickets and money are 3/1 on the Over.

It means BR Under  

@IntenseOperator

I'm starting to hear the same narrative about this Broncos team, ad nauseum. It's that Riley Moss missed the Browns game and this ONE particular player will be responsible for the Broncos inevitable downfall. 

Listen, he is a great player I understand that. But he's not even their #1 CB.

From weeks 1 through 12, the Broncos D is #3 in epa per play allowed. #2 in drop back epa.

In week 13, vs Cleveland in a game before their bye(yes players look ahead to these this late in the season), and without Moss:

#9 epa per play, #9 drop back epa. A slight drop, we saw Jeudy go off against his old team, ok understandable. 

Did Nick Bonito not have an interception for a td? Did JaQuan McMillian not have an interception for a td? Was it purely "oh that's just Jameis doing Jameis things"? We gotta give some credit to the defense no?

I think that this is lazy handicapping. Folks just want to find a dog, be against the public, find one reason and it's bet time. A sharp is born.

About the total, I see nothing about this game going over the total. So in Denver's last game we saw 73 total points scored. 49 in the Colts last game. People remember best what they just saw. Let's ask those who bet the over in the 49ers and Rams game and see how they feel. Both those teams were part of high scoring affairs in their previous games.

Here, we have 2 teams off a bye. In my world, that type of thing can only give a defense some juice coming back well rested.

In a nutshell, I think that the Broncos D is still one of the best units in the league, despite missing 1 cornerback. You'd think with 2 weeks off they are making adjustments. To think that Anthony Richardson, who is not a good thrower of the football, all of a sudden shines outdoors in thin air is absurd to me. The Colts are a dome team who play in arguably the worst conference in the nfl.

“I think that this is lazy handicapping. Folks just want to find a dog, be against the public, find one reason and it's bet time. A sharp is born.”

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/42934684/buffalo-bills-cancel-practice-snow-storm

Not good before facing the Lions

I’ll ride with you Sac.  I haven’t looked at anything too deep.  Packers, Lions and Steelers are all quality teams with good coaching.  Browns make me nervous but I know anything can happen in the NFL.

Bigred is on the Broncos though.  That’s an automatic “hell no!”.

under 163-

And under 168-

mow

ill just sit and watch

Live line at half…..

167-

fingers crossed

each team has a chunk of personal fouls

Husker shooting hopefully comes down to earth

Phuck u and the  u deliver the mail on.....

@Biscuiteater1

I always split or lose on a Saturday.

Gots $$ burning from last night's W's

Taking a poke fur action......

3 team 7 pt teas...

Butler +(11-)

UL Mon +(20-)

Kans -(7-)