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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    CD Newsletter week # 14

    «First Previous 345 ... 101112 Next Last»
    Biscuiteater1
    Getty3
    djbrow
    bigred84
    undermysac
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 488
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    «First Previous 345 ... 101112 Next Last»
     
    Biscuiteater1
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 10:59 AM ET #51

    I think CD put some voodoo on these Thursday night games, seems for every good match up there are 3 klunkers.With the Raiders showing signs of life, the Rams seemingly waiting for golf and fishing & starting unknown back up qb, hell there might be nearly as many Raider fans as Rams in attendance. But with 6' 7 points you kick off return or a scoop 6 etc etc and next thing you know you're in the game. GLUCK to anyone who plays it.

    Reply

    I think CD put some voodoo on these Thursday night games, seems for every good match up there are 3 klunkers.With the Raiders showing signs of life, the Rams seemingly waiting for golf and fishing & starting unknown back up qb, hell there might be nearly as many Raider fans as Rams in attendance. But with 6' 7 points you kick off return or a scoop 6 etc etc and next thing you know you're in the game. GLUCK to anyone who plays it.

     
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 11:15 AM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by bigred84:

    Giants vanilla offense ,better hope for bad weather in New Jersey....
    If Gints can control t.o.p...if. peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by bigred84:

    Giants vanilla offense ,better hope for bad weather in New Jersey....
    If Gints can control t.o.p...if. peace_5

     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 11:16 AM ET #53

    @undermysac

     Jared Goff has 19 TD passes this year but has also completed 9 throws which resulted in the receiver getting tackled inside the 2 yard line. Only one of those 9 finished with a Goff TD pass. 6 of them finished with a Jamaal Williams TD run.

    The summary is that Goff has actually been unlucky and that JWill has been the beneficiary of his many near misses. 

    Reply

    @undermysac

     Jared Goff has 19 TD passes this year but has also completed 9 throws which resulted in the receiver getting tackled inside the 2 yard line. Only one of those 9 finished with a Goff TD pass. 6 of them finished with a Jamaal Williams TD run.

    The summary is that Goff has actually been unlucky and that JWill has been the beneficiary of his many near misses. 

     
    djbrow
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 11:22 AM ET #54

    I recall a guest CD picker calling for the Giants demise a couple of weeks ago...only to the chorus response of "not so fast my friend..."an_roll_laugh

     

    Two stats to consider this week:

    KC is 10-0 vs. the Broncos last ten. Only twice during the Mahomes/Reid era have they lost two in a row. 

    Cleveland has won last five vs. Cinci and 8/10. 

    Reply

    I recall a guest CD picker calling for the Giants demise a couple of weeks ago...only to the chorus response of "not so fast my friend..."an_roll_laugh

     

    Two stats to consider this week:

    KC is 10-0 vs. the Broncos last ten. Only twice during the Mahomes/Reid era have they lost two in a row. 

    Cleveland has won last five vs. Cinci and 8/10. 

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 11:26 AM ET #55

    @djbrow

    Im not a fan of the Bengals..Shocking I know...

    But think unless Watson gets much better fast ..

    they get trampled....

     

    Reply

    @djbrow

    Im not a fan of the Bengals..Shocking I know...

    But think unless Watson gets much better fast ..

    they get trampled....

     

     
    djbrow
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 12:21 PM ET #56

    I'm not saying that I love the Bengals, only that I've watched this 'rerun' before (team coming off a big win against a team that looked terrible the week before). 

     

    Reply

    I'm not saying that I love the Bengals, only that I've watched this 'rerun' before (team coming off a big win against a team that looked terrible the week before). 

     

     
    djbrow
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 12:34 PM ET #57

    @terapinstattion

     I am thinking Titans too. I'm still in a survivor pool and basically my options are b/w Raiders (such a bad coach), Cincy (see above), and Titans. 

    Reply

    @terapinstattion

     I am thinking Titans too. I'm still in a survivor pool and basically my options are b/w Raiders (such a bad coach), Cincy (see above), and Titans. 

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 12:50 PM ET #58

    I agree that it's Browns or no play at all. Just because of that #. The Bengals could blow them out if Watson is lifeless again, which is highly likely. 

    I believe the Bengals were without Reager, that stud DT on Halloween. 

    If Titans hit -3, I'm all over them like a fly on shit.

    Reply

    I agree that it's Browns or no play at all. Just because of that #. The Bengals could blow them out if Watson is lifeless again, which is highly likely. 

    I believe the Bengals were without Reager, that stud DT on Halloween. 

    If Titans hit -3, I'm all over them like a fly on shit.

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 12:51 PM ET #59

    @Getty3

     Very well. I can't dispute that.

    Is that enough for Detroit to lose this bet though?

    Now you got me nervous 

    Reply

    @Getty3

     Very well. I can't dispute that.

    Is that enough for Detroit to lose this bet though?

    Now you got me nervous 

     
    JDD
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 1:04 PM ET #60

    Bad night yesterday.  Unit wise it was small.  That's what she said.  

     

    Back at it.  Just half units.

    Cleveland +8 and +270 (half and sprinkle)

    Indy State +4 and +157 (split bet)

    Mastadons -1.5

    Detroit +5 and +182 (split)

    a cleveland/indy/detroit ML parlay pays about 27 to 1.  Might toy with this idea.  I have a cushion of money at one of my books that I have not collected to play with, I am not recommending this to anyone, so please do not blame me for losses......  just spitballing...  always bet responsibly......

    Leaning Denver, Robert Morris, and N. Kentucky.  Hofstra looks like a big number even against Purdue.  

    A friend of my cousin's used to make book and bet himself, and years ago we would always talk shop, He has since passed on to the great sportsbook in the sky......but he was a good guy, way too soft for a street bookie in the 70s-80s-90s.....but he was well liked and connected.....I remember one day he said to me....."Man I got my ass kicked last night.......that last time I lost that many units was in a car chase with the police....."

    Anytime I have a tilty kind of night with sports or poker I always think of him saying that to me....puts me in a better mood......an_roll_laugh

    Reply

    Bad night yesterday.  Unit wise it was small.  That's what she said.  

     

    Back at it.  Just half units.

    Cleveland +8 and +270 (half and sprinkle)

    Indy State +4 and +157 (split bet)

    Mastadons -1.5

    Detroit +5 and +182 (split)

    a cleveland/indy/detroit ML parlay pays about 27 to 1.  Might toy with this idea.  I have a cushion of money at one of my books that I have not collected to play with, I am not recommending this to anyone, so please do not blame me for losses......  just spitballing...  always bet responsibly......

    Leaning Denver, Robert Morris, and N. Kentucky.  Hofstra looks like a big number even against Purdue.  

    A friend of my cousin's used to make book and bet himself, and years ago we would always talk shop, He has since passed on to the great sportsbook in the sky......but he was a good guy, way too soft for a street bookie in the 70s-80s-90s.....but he was well liked and connected.....I remember one day he said to me....."Man I got my ass kicked last night.......that last time I lost that many units was in a car chase with the police....."

    Anytime I have a tilty kind of night with sports or poker I always think of him saying that to me....puts me in a better mood......an_roll_laugh

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 1:37 PM ET #61

    Quote Originally Posted by terapinstattion:

    @undermysac  now u got me nervous on cinncy,,,,,,,,,,

    Look ahead was -3.5.  The movement to 6 was probably warranted, as Cleveland didn't score an offensive td, and Bengals beat KC.

    I'm just curious as to why it's not -7, thinking a lot of people will think under a td no problem Bengals.

    For some reason this shitty Browns team gives Burrow problems.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by terapinstattion:

    @undermysac  now u got me nervous on cinncy,,,,,,,,,,

    Look ahead was -3.5.  The movement to 6 was probably warranted, as Cleveland didn't score an offensive td, and Bengals beat KC.

    I'm just curious as to why it's not -7, thinking a lot of people will think under a td no problem Bengals.

    For some reason this shitty Browns team gives Burrow problems.

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 1:39 PM ET #62

    @terapinstattion

    Think the Browns get beat so bad they 

    turn into Burnt Brownies...peace_5

    Reply

    @terapinstattion

    Think the Browns get beat so bad they 

    turn into Burnt Brownies...peace_5

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 1:39 PM ET #63

    @terapinstattion

    Think the Browns get beat so bad they 

    turn into Burnt Brownies...peace_5

    Reply

    @terapinstattion

    Think the Browns get beat so bad they 

    turn into Burnt Brownies...peace_5

     
    JDD
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 1:41 PM ET #64

    added chargers +3.5 @ -109 and ML  +153 1/2 unit each

    and fresno -1.5

    Reply

    added chargers +3.5 @ -109 and ML  +153 1/2 unit each

    and fresno -1.5

     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 1:52 PM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Quote Originally Posted by terapinstattion: @undermysac  now u got me nervous on cinncy,,,,,,,,,, Look ahead was -3.5.  The movement to 6 was probably warranted, as Cleveland didn't score an offensive td, and Bengals beat KC. I'm just curious as to why it's not -7, thinking a lot of people will think under a td no problem Bengals. For some reason this shitty Browns team gives Burrow problems.

    The Browns bring an above average defense, a highly ranked offensive line and a solid running game to the table every week. It's enough to be competitive and win a few games against superior teams. However when healthy Burrow and that receiving corps are always going to be a mismatch. Big stayaway game for me unless the Browns locker room is laughing out loud at beating Houston by double digits despite getting 2 field goals out of the offense. Have no idea if they like Watson or not. I do think that Watson will be a polarizing target for other teams based on his contract as much as his transgressions. Cinci's defense has been underrated for quite some time. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Quote Originally Posted by terapinstattion: @undermysac  now u got me nervous on cinncy,,,,,,,,,, Look ahead was -3.5.  The movement to 6 was probably warranted, as Cleveland didn't score an offensive td, and Bengals beat KC. I'm just curious as to why it's not -7, thinking a lot of people will think under a td no problem Bengals. For some reason this shitty Browns team gives Burrow problems.

    The Browns bring an above average defense, a highly ranked offensive line and a solid running game to the table every week. It's enough to be competitive and win a few games against superior teams. However when healthy Burrow and that receiving corps are always going to be a mismatch. Big stayaway game for me unless the Browns locker room is laughing out loud at beating Houston by double digits despite getting 2 field goals out of the offense. Have no idea if they like Watson or not. I do think that Watson will be a polarizing target for other teams based on his contract as much as his transgressions. Cinci's defense has been underrated for quite some time. 

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 2:35 PM ET #66

    https://titanswire.usatoday.com/2022/12/06/titans-mike-vrabel-jon-robinson-aj-brown-trade-julio-jones-brett-kern/

    This is good news for the Titans. They are backing their coach. The timing of the firing caught me off guard at first, but now it makes perfect sense. AJ Brown tore them a new asshole, and I love that they fired the gm shortly thereafter. 

    If Vrabel has "greater power" in personal decisions moving forward, this can only be good for the organization. 

    Reply

    https://titanswire.usatoday.com/2022/12/06/titans-mike-vrabel-jon-robinson-aj-brown-trade-julio-jones-brett-kern/

    This is good news for the Titans. They are backing their coach. The timing of the firing caught me off guard at first, but now it makes perfect sense. AJ Brown tore them a new asshole, and I love that they fired the gm shortly thereafter. 

    If Vrabel has "greater power" in personal decisions moving forward, this can only be good for the organization. 

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 3:48 PM ET #67

    It's getting hard to obtain injury reports. Usually going to every team's website is a solid go to. Just to see who's limited, dnp or full.

    I can't find shit except rams/raiders, Pitt, Bills, and Panthers.

    It's as if no one practiced on Tuesday, on any team. That can't be right.

    The .46% of my brain which is reserved for conspiracy theories is triggered. I do not like when information is withheld from my degenerate ass.

    I haven't had a problem all year obtaining injury/practice info on a Wednesday all year, till this week.

    Reply

    It's getting hard to obtain injury reports. Usually going to every team's website is a solid go to. Just to see who's limited, dnp or full.

    I can't find shit except rams/raiders, Pitt, Bills, and Panthers.

    It's as if no one practiced on Tuesday, on any team. That can't be right.

    The .46% of my brain which is reserved for conspiracy theories is triggered. I do not like when information is withheld from my degenerate ass.

    I haven't had a problem all year obtaining injury/practice info on a Wednesday all year, till this week.

     
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 4:27 PM ET #68

    @undermysac

     I dont agree at all about the GM if you know the real story

     

    Reply

    @undermysac

     I dont agree at all about the GM if you know the real story

     

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 4:35 PM ET #69

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    @undermysac  I dont agree at all about the GM if you know the real story

    What's the real story?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:

    @undermysac  I dont agree at all about the GM if you know the real story

    What's the real story?

     
    trainwreck66
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 4:44 PM ET #70

    @undermysac

     From what I understood is that Brown wanted out regardless . The GM was forced to get something for him rather than nothing . I think he has done a tremendous job building this team the last 3 years . Vrabel is a C.unt

    Reply

    @undermysac

     From what I understood is that Brown wanted out regardless . The GM was forced to get something for him rather than nothing . I think he has done a tremendous job building this team the last 3 years . Vrabel is a C.unt

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 5:43 PM ET #71

    @trainwreck66

     True n Burks WR  is a talented rookie from the Hogs....peace_5

    Reply

    @trainwreck66

     True n Burks WR  is a talented rookie from the Hogs....peace_5

     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 5:56 PM ET #72

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66: @undermysac  I dont agree at all about the GM if you know the real story What's the real story?

    Does this have anything to do when the GM had a few too many drinks and spent the night at TW's igloo?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66: @undermysac  I dont agree at all about the GM if you know the real story What's the real story?

    Does this have anything to do when the GM had a few too many drinks and spent the night at TW's igloo?

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 5:59 PM ET #73

    The Ravens and Steelers have 8 common opponents this year. The pt diff looks like this...

    Ravens +43

    Steelers -52

    Ravens 6-2, Steelers 3-6

    Reply

    The Ravens and Steelers have 8 common opponents this year. The pt diff looks like this...

    Ravens +43

    Steelers -52

    Ravens 6-2, Steelers 3-6

     
    trainwreck66
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 6:05 PM ET #74

    @bigred84

     peace_5

    Reply

    @bigred84

     peace_5

     
     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2022 - 6:34 PM ET #75

    In John Harbaugh's last 30 games as an underdog, during the regular season, of 1 to 3 points, 19-8-3 ats, 16-14 su

    This dates back to 2010, he's been the Ravens HC since 2008. I can't look back further with what I'm using. I'm no sdql expert, but these #'s are correct.

    What's interesting is that the W's are front loaded within this trend. Since Nov 24, 2014, he is 15-1-2 ats, 13-5 su.

    A lot of people talk about Tomlin in the under dog roll, what about Harbaugh?

    Reply

    In John Harbaugh's last 30 games as an underdog, during the regular season, of 1 to 3 points, 19-8-3 ats, 16-14 su

    This dates back to 2010, he's been the Ravens HC since 2008. I can't look back further with what I'm using. I'm no sdql expert, but these #'s are correct.

    What's interesting is that the W's are front loaded within this trend. Since Nov 24, 2014, he is 15-1-2 ats, 13-5 su.

    A lot of people talk about Tomlin in the under dog roll, what about Harbaugh?

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