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CD Newsletter Week 10

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Participants:

Posts: 181

bigred84

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jan, 2016

Posts: 24576

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 1:42 PM ET #51

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Quote Originally Posted by bigred84: Today even a blind man would choose Jackson over Wilson... Jackson headed for his 3rd MVP trophy Needs to find a way to beat Mahomes.. He didnt fumble on the 1 yard line against the Chiefs in the playoffs last year.. 17-14...1 quarter to play...different ballgame... How many playoff wins does Wilson have, and how many does Lamar have?

Jackson the favorite to win again... win

Wilson 50 th..... an_roll_laugh

bigred84

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jan, 2016

Posts: 24576

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 1:51 PM ET #52

Talk to me about today

Not yesterday.....

He is better than ever..

last week the Broncos dared him

to throw 7 or 8 in the box

he passed them blind..200 yards at halftime..

13 ppg in their previous 5 games Denvers defense...

Ravens had 41 in 3 quarters.... an_shake

IntenseOperator

Banned

Joined: Mar, 2017

Posts: 8613

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 2:43 PM ET #53

a little somethin somethin.......

NFL rookie quarterbacks are 11-0 ATS this season as favorites

This week: Commanders -3 (vs. Steelers) Bears -6 (vs. Patriots)

if anything....

I'd lean Wash here

Unlikely I'd play the Bears. Especially with the line move off the open....and their injuries on both sides of the ball....and their OC & HC suck ass.....and the players are starting to bus toss the HC........ And the old bat that owns the team.

"Got 'em right where I want 'em, surrounded from the inside"

ABooksNightmare

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 26651

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 3:12 PM ET #54

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

@ABooksNightmare Be safe

COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean

Cyrax

Hall of Fame

Joined: Sep, 2008

Posts: 26609

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 3:28 PM ET #55

Quote Originally Posted by ABooksNightmare:

So, I'm surrounded by fire out here...The Camarillo fire is right near me and we are again caught in a backdraft moment...people evacuated and homes lost of friends and family...my folks home was dodging embers all night and multi million dollar homes just left with a foundation and chimney...even the family realtor lost her house....fucking chaos.... Fire has just decimated this area once again just like the Thomas fire did years ago....fucking bullshit....

. I wouldn’t doubt it if there were a fire bug on the loose. Be safe peace

undermysac

Legend

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 52735

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 5:00 PM ET #56

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DCFW6x9JhM4/?igsh=NWRuZDlzNnBtejRz

Getty3

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 25178

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 5:53 PM ET #57

The Chargers defense are only the 6th unit since 1990 to not allow more than 20 points thru the first 8 games. In a cruel twist of fate, none of the other 5 teams made it to the Super Bowl and 2 of them didn't even make the playoffs. But defense wins championships, right?

In more important news Trevor Lawrence is likely done for the season. Incredible that the Jaguars are already at the "clean house" stage after back to back winning seasons. There is a rift between GM Baalke and HC Pederson and another one between TL16 and Pederson. Just like in Philly, Dougie is done in spite of his prior success.

Cranky_Hank

Captain

Joined: Nov, 2017

Posts: 7064

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 6:10 PM ET #58

Quote Originally Posted by ABooksNightmare:

Newsletter Posts will be from BR (unabated to the quarterback version) not from ABN ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,you can shove a coma up your,,, Shit will not die but your flesh will,,,, Lets run this shit back baby!!!!....week 10.......cinncy at baltimore....ravens ...6....53......what can i say i was dead wrong thinking denver could hang around last week with balt, ravens tore apart a very good defense......cinncy did what was expected, cover the number and the game went over the total.....41-38 baltimore when they played a month ago....i feel the same type of game as balt still has a bad pass defense and burrow should exploit it, problem is lamar and the raven offense should get points as well......baltimore 34-.....cinncy,,,,, 30

Okay you bitchass bitch, I’m riding the over 52.5 on your say so. Don’t let me down!!!

an_clap

clover

Keep at it.

iConsciousness

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2015

Posts: 4652

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 6:43 PM ET #59

My best friend lives in Camarillo, and I'm about an hour away. Stay safe, dude!

ABooksNightmare

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 26651

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 6:44 PM ET #60

Off a 2-0 last week in pro

Here is what I am on tonight:

thefootball Cincinnati +6

Thursday Night Potluck Under Jamborre continues today...this is a blind bet with no thought, rhyme or reason so will be looked at all on it's own....

YTD since week 4 NFL: 2-4

thefootball Bengals/Ravens Under 53

Good luck gentleladies clover

COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean

ABooksNightmare

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 26651

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 6:49 PM ET #61

@iConsciousness

peace_5 Damn, we are close...hope your friends house is ok...our friends lost a 3 million dollar home....the guy had a model train collection worth well over a million dollars all up in flames...ya know, those big engine collecting type deals....a fanatic, but quite cool....this fire seems to have taken off into Santa Paula and is just burning like a mutha....hopefully it doesn't end up like the Thomas fire....smokey as all get up...went to my folks place today and could barely breathe....we need flame resistant homes out here as this is getting out of hand...

COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean

undermysac

Legend

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 52735

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 8:25 PM ET #62

The Ravens secondary reminds me of randomly placed Bocci balls. Like a guy with turrets syndrome designed their zone defense

undermysac

Legend

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 52735

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 9:28 PM ET #63

31-37-5 (-3.43) YTD

I've had a weird betting season.

12-12-3(-0.39) weeks 1 through 4.

0-5-1(-4.88) woodshed in week 5.

Took week 6 off.

8-9(-0.30) week 7.

11-11-1(+2.14) weeks 8 and 9.

I had to go through a lot of the old newsletter threads and betting history to track what I posted. Noticed a certain poster who's feedback has been missed the last 2 weeks. Hugh, come back whenever you're ready.

peace_5

Cyrax

Hall of Fame

Joined: Sep, 2008

Posts: 26609

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 9:56 PM ET #64

2H :

Ravens / Bengals Over 27 ( 25u )

Cranky_Hank

Captain

Joined: Nov, 2017

Posts: 7064

Posted: Nov. 7, 2024 - 11:52 PM ET #65

@BR

win

Keep at it.

bigred84

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jan, 2016

Posts: 24576

Posted: Nov. 8, 2024 - 5:59 AM ET #66

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

The Ravens secondary reminds me of randomly placed Bocci balls. Like a guy with turrets syndrome designed their zone defense

Burrow was very slippery last night....

Zone coverages were cool

undermysac

Legend

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 52735

Posted: Nov. 8, 2024 - 8:35 AM ET #67

The best chance for having a game that's "a tale of two halves" is Pittsburgh at Washington. By the PR's:

Pitt 1H #22 -1.8, Wash 1H #3 +6.9

Pitt 2H #1 +8.7, Wash 2H #16 -0.5

Do with this info what you want.

undermysac

Legend

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 52735

Posted: Nov. 8, 2024 - 8:37 AM ET #68

When it comes to strength of schedule, Pitt and Washington are nearly identical. #26 and #27

undermysac

Legend

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 52735

Posted: Nov. 8, 2024 - 8:50 AM ET #69

If you thought that the gmen are laying too many points vs the Panthers, just know that the Panthers are ranked dead last in any metric/ranking you look at. On top of it, their SOS is #32, the easiest schedule to date.

Do we think that they're feeling cheeky after their win against the Saints? Even if they are, not enough for me to back them. Even though those points at home look tempting

lbcake

Hall of Fame

Joined: May, 2005

Posts: 27074

Posted: Nov. 8, 2024 - 10:44 AM ET #70

Going for the 2 is a no brainer. TB on Monday elected not to. Loss.

Your mindset should be if we don't go for it, we lose (especially v elite teams).

ABooksNightmare

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 26651

Posted: Nov. 8, 2024 - 1:02 PM ET #71

Ah, the going for 2 talk to end the game.... an_ref

Very risky indeed and you look like a god when you convert and a putz when you don't....I have mixed reviews on this and it's the same scenario in basketball when a team is down by 2 at the end of the game...do they go for a two point shot to force overtime or try to hit a 3 for the win...tough call...

Situational settings have to be calculated....like, were you down the whole game and made a comeback, are you at home or visiting, is your team gassed, playoff implications or not....variables play a role in the decision making....obviously the Bengals rolled the dice and lost and even if they do convert that and go ahead by 1 there was nothing saying that the Ravens don't go down the field and kick a field to win anyway even with that little time left...

The conundrum of end of game antics peace_5

COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean

bigred84

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jan, 2016

Posts: 24576

Posted: Nov. 8, 2024 - 1:17 PM ET #72

peace_5 peace_5

lbcake

Hall of Fame

Joined: May, 2005

Posts: 27074

Posted: Nov. 8, 2024 - 1:27 PM ET #73

@ABooksNightmare

Gambling on a flip. Lose the flip, high,high probability you lose. Especially v teams like KC and Balt. These teams will go down the field and get TDs. FGs are never on their minds.

As for hoops, it's not first to score and win.

BTW, that play call was fucking atrocious.

kidd22

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2015

Posts: 17105

Posted: Nov. 8, 2024 - 1:30 PM ET #74

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

If you thought that the gmen are laying too many points vs the Panthers, just know that the Panthers are ranked dead last in any metric/ranking you look at. On top of it, their SOS is #32, the easiest schedule to date. Do we think that they're feeling cheeky after their win against the Saints? Even if they are, not enough for me to back them. Even though those points at home look tempting

That is a lot of points but we’ve played well against good teams been in every game except for Minn and Philly I no we will win and I ain’t dreaming but those points,however !we play a clean game,no silly turnovers very few penalties and most importantly finish drives we will cover , I was close to putting them as my survivor pick but chose chargers instead

ABooksNightmare

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 26651

Posted: Nov. 8, 2024 - 2:39 PM ET #75

Quote Originally Posted by lbcake:

@ABooksNightmare Gambling on a flip. Lose the flip, high,high probability you lose. Especially v teams like KC and Balt. These teams will go down the field and get TDs. FGs are never on their minds. As for hoops, it's not first to score and win. BTW, that play call was fucking atrocious.

Oh, no doubt...it's a hindsight now, but always risky...you are right that you are gambling on a coin flip but it's not first score wins anymore so hold them to nothing or a firdl goal and you have a chance...for all we know there was talk by the coach that there defense sucks and was reeling giving up a two TD lead and going down a TD that could have factored into the decision...if so, probably a smart call to try for the 2 points....not getting it is a for sure loss while kicking the extra point puts you into a position of at least having a chance...but, getting the 2 points puts you in a chance to win....this is why sports are so great...

But the Bengals defense was reeling...giving up the 60 yard TD or whatever the heel it was based on at least 2 really bad tackles was embarrassing for not just Cincinnati, but all of Ohio...

COVERS allows u to tell someone they are sexually frustrated so long as ur hands are clean

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