The Browns finished 11-6, which includes a season ending loss where they rested everyone including the best QB that ever played for the Ravens, Joe Flacco. However, a closer look into their record shows Cle being 8-1 at home, and a pedestrian 3-5 OTR.
Also, the Newsletters adopted teams defense, which is rated as one of the best in the NFL, was dominant at home, yielding 13.9 PPG. OTR they are a different group, allowing 29.6 PPG.
Looking at some of Cle’s road games, they gave up 26 to Pitt, 38 to Indy, 24 to Sea, 31 to Bal, 29 to Den, and 36 to the Rams. This is cause for concern.
Flacco has found the fountain of youth (or steroids) and been on fire the last month. Although I get the feeling that the week he rested could have interrupted his momentum and he might return to his normal level of play.
The Browns play the upstart Texans, with their stud rookie QB. Hou was a competitive 6-3 at home, and come off a riveting ‘win and in’ game at Indy last week.
These 2 teams played in Hou on Dec 24th, and the Browns and Amari Cooper (265 receiving yds, 2 TDs) crushed the Texicans 36-22, in a game that was not competitive from the opening play. Texans 3 TD’s came on a kick return, and 2 garbage time plays. Of MAJOR significance is CJ Stroud did not play in the game for Hou.
bigreds daddy
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Cle -3 @ Hou (44.5) Saturday 4:30pm
The Browns finished 11-6, which includes a season ending loss where they rested everyone including the best QB that ever played for the Ravens, Joe Flacco. However, a closer look into their record shows Cle being 8-1 at home, and a pedestrian 3-5 OTR.
Also, the Newsletters adopted teams defense, which is rated as one of the best in the NFL, was dominant at home, yielding 13.9 PPG. OTR they are a different group, allowing 29.6 PPG.
Looking at some of Cle’s road games, they gave up 26 to Pitt, 38 to Indy, 24 to Sea, 31 to Bal, 29 to Den, and 36 to the Rams. This is cause for concern.
Flacco has found the fountain of youth (or steroids) and been on fire the last month. Although I get the feeling that the week he rested could have interrupted his momentum and he might return to his normal level of play.
The Browns play the upstart Texans, with their stud rookie QB. Hou was a competitive 6-3 at home, and come off a riveting ‘win and in’ game at Indy last week.
These 2 teams played in Hou on Dec 24th, and the Browns and Amari Cooper (265 receiving yds, 2 TDs) crushed the Texicans 36-22, in a game that was not competitive from the opening play. Texans 3 TD’s came on a kick return, and 2 garbage time plays. Of MAJOR significance is CJ Stroud did not play in the game for Hou.
Mia @ KC -4 (43.5) Saturday 8:00pm —- exclusively on Peacock
Who would have guessed that the high octane Phins would travel to play the Swifties and there would only be 1 game with a lower total this weekend???
One of the most important factors in this game will be the temperature, which is expected to have a game-time low of -2F. To translate that into Celsius for my Canadian friends … it’s fucking cold!!!
Obviously Mahomes and friends are used to playing in the cold in January, seemingly having played 38 playoff games in KC in the last 4 years. On the other hand, Tua, and his Hawaii-sun-kissed-ass will never have played in conditions similar to this. Matter of fact, when the temp is below 45 degrees Tua’s record is 0-4, with 4 TDs, 5 INTs, and 55% completion.
This is not the Chiefs we have all known. They will win/lose with their defense, which has been stout all year, while their offense full of dropped passes and miscommunications has not found itself. KC scored 39 TD’s on the season, compared to a league leading 61 for Mia.
Phins should see the return of Mostert and Waddle, who both missed the last game.
Mia was 4-4 OTR this season, giving up 30 PPG.
KC only scored 22.5 PPG at home.
bigreds daddy
Mia @ KC -4 (43.5) Saturday 8:00pm —- exclusively on Peacock
Who would have guessed that the high octane Phins would travel to play the Swifties and there would only be 1 game with a lower total this weekend???
One of the most important factors in this game will be the temperature, which is expected to have a game-time low of -2F. To translate that into Celsius for my Canadian friends … it’s fucking cold!!!
Obviously Mahomes and friends are used to playing in the cold in January, seemingly having played 38 playoff games in KC in the last 4 years. On the other hand, Tua, and his Hawaii-sun-kissed-ass will never have played in conditions similar to this. Matter of fact, when the temp is below 45 degrees Tua’s record is 0-4, with 4 TDs, 5 INTs, and 55% completion.
This is not the Chiefs we have all known. They will win/lose with their defense, which has been stout all year, while their offense full of dropped passes and miscommunications has not found itself. KC scored 39 TD’s on the season, compared to a league leading 61 for Mia.
Phins should see the return of Mostert and Waddle, who both missed the last game.
Steelers bring their bend-don’t-break defense (21st in YPG, yet 6th in PPG) to the town of DoubleUp to face the perplexing Bills. Just how did Pitt sneak into the playoffs? Who the hell knows, besides the fact that they curb stomped and knocked the teeth out of the Ravens last week. Steelers were out-scored OTR and at Home this season. Tomlin is a great coach.
Mason Rudolph will drive the sleigh for the Steelers in this game, against Josh, I-can-make-any-great-throw-and-also-any-horrific-decision-I-want, Allen, who will grab the reigns for the Bills.
Likely DPOY TJ Watt will miss this game, which is a devastating loss, but already factored into the line.
The Bills have had injury woes of their own all season long (I want to thank everyone for not constantly whining about the All-Pros out for Buffalo). Gabe Davis, who was injured last week, is uncertain. That would be a large, yet very underrated loss for the Bills.
Buffalo’s home field advantage is real. 7-2 at home, out scoring their opponents by an avg of more than 12 points per game.
Looking at the spread and total of this game, the line-makers are expecting Pitt to score 14 points. Sounds about right.
bigreds daddy
Pitt @ Buff -10 (36) Sunday 1:00pm
Steelers bring their bend-don’t-break defense (21st in YPG, yet 6th in PPG) to the town of DoubleUp to face the perplexing Bills. Just how did Pitt sneak into the playoffs? Who the hell knows, besides the fact that they curb stomped and knocked the teeth out of the Ravens last week. Steelers were out-scored OTR and at Home this season. Tomlin is a great coach.
Mason Rudolph will drive the sleigh for the Steelers in this game, against Josh, I-can-make-any-great-throw-and-also-any-horrific-decision-I-want, Allen, who will grab the reigns for the Bills.
Likely DPOY TJ Watt will miss this game, which is a devastating loss, but already factored into the line.
The Bills have had injury woes of their own all season long (I want to thank everyone for not constantly whining about the All-Pros out for Buffalo). Gabe Davis, who was injured last week, is uncertain. That would be a large, yet very underrated loss for the Bills.
Buffalo’s home field advantage is real. 7-2 at home, out scoring their opponents by an avg of more than 12 points per game.
Looking at the spread and total of this game, the line-makers are expecting Pitt to score 14 points. Sounds about right.
Packers normally stout rushing D was not the same this year, ranking 28th in YPG. Surprisingly, the Cowboys much maligned rush defense was better this year than GB’s in almost every metric. Prescott will get his passing yds against any team, especially when playing at home. If Dallas has consistent success running the ball, the only thing that can stop the Cowboys offense is penalties and turnovers.
At home, Dallas has won 16 straight, this year averaging more than 37 points per game.
GB somehow found their way into the playoffs, but did they play their way into the playoffs? Looking at GB’s last 5 games: Week 14; Lost to NYG 22-24 Week 15; Lost to TB 20-34 Week 16; Won vs Carolina 33-30 Week 17; Won vs Minny 33-10 (3rd string QB) Week 18; Won vs Chic 17-9
Jordan Love played well this year, and had flashes of being a star. He also had his head-scratching games.
Loves stats in wins; 20 TD’s 1 INT Loves stats in losses; 12 TD’s 10 INT’s
Despite the Cowboys playing more than a few games with huge leads, their defense was still ranked 5th in Passing YPG allowed. They were also ranked 7th in INT’s.
Dallas FG kicker made 13 of 13 FG attempts over 40 yds. GB’s kicker made 7 of 13 kicks from the same distance.
bigreds daddy
GB @ Dal -7.5 (50.5) Sunday 4:30pm
Packers normally stout rushing D was not the same this year, ranking 28th in YPG. Surprisingly, the Cowboys much maligned rush defense was better this year than GB’s in almost every metric. Prescott will get his passing yds against any team, especially when playing at home. If Dallas has consistent success running the ball, the only thing that can stop the Cowboys offense is penalties and turnovers.
At home, Dallas has won 16 straight, this year averaging more than 37 points per game.
GB somehow found their way into the playoffs, but did they play their way into the playoffs? Looking at GB’s last 5 games: Week 14; Lost to NYG 22-24 Week 15; Lost to TB 20-34 Week 16; Won vs Carolina 33-30 Week 17; Won vs Minny 33-10 (3rd string QB) Week 18; Won vs Chic 17-9
Jordan Love played well this year, and had flashes of being a star. He also had his head-scratching games.
Loves stats in wins; 20 TD’s 1 INT Loves stats in losses; 12 TD’s 10 INT’s
Despite the Cowboys playing more than a few games with huge leads, their defense was still ranked 5th in Passing YPG allowed. They were also ranked 7th in INT’s.
Dallas FG kicker made 13 of 13 FG attempts over 40 yds. GB’s kicker made 7 of 13 kicks from the same distance.
Lions enjoy playing on the fast track of their home turf, scoring over 30 PPG in such contests. Rams do not seem to care where they play, as all their stats are similar regardless of venue.
Easy to root for the Lions and their kneecap biting HC. But need to be aware that Detroits pass D is one of the worst in the league, and here comes the red hot Stafford with Puka Shell Nucua and Cooper Athletic Kupp.
Rams clearly earned the right to make the playoffs, starting the season 3-6, before turning it around and winning 7 of their last 8. Their sole loss being at Baltimore in a game that anyone not named bigred would acknowledge the Rams should have won.
bigreds daddy
LAR @ Det -3 (51.5) Sunday 8:00pm
Lions enjoy playing on the fast track of their home turf, scoring over 30 PPG in such contests. Rams do not seem to care where they play, as all their stats are similar regardless of venue.
Easy to root for the Lions and their kneecap biting HC. But need to be aware that Detroits pass D is one of the worst in the league, and here comes the red hot Stafford with Puka Shell Nucua and Cooper Athletic Kupp.
Rams clearly earned the right to make the playoffs, starting the season 3-6, before turning it around and winning 7 of their last 8. Their sole loss being at Baltimore in a game that anyone not named bigred would acknowledge the Rams should have won.
Eagles limp into this game, having lost 5 of 6, the last 2 to the Giants and Cards. Before that stretch they won 4 straight against Buff, KC, Dal & Wash, but probably should have lost at least 3 of them, having been outplayed in all 4.
This team is broken, and their defense stinks. No stats required. After their 13th game, they replaced their DC with Matt Patrica, he of the miserably failed coaching attempt in Detroit, which included an epically bad defense. Since that switch the Philly defense has somehow managed to get worse!
Now the Eagles might have lost AJ Brown to injury. Hurts has been pedestrian all season, and seems hesitant to run with the ball this year.
On the other side we have the Bucs. They only reason they are in the playoffs every year is because they play in the NFL’s laughing stock of a division. They get to play 6 games against the Panthers, Saints and Falcons … every friggin year!!!
In the last 2 weeks, with their playoff hopes on the line, TB has managed to lose to the Saints at home, and squeak by the Panthers OTR, in a game they probably should have lost. Baker Mayfield, who had previously been playing fairly well, has sucked of late. Many say it is due to injuries, I believe it is simply a reality check.
Bucs tend to play lower scoring, close to the vest type games at home. Same holds true for the Eagles on the road.
bigreds daddy
Phi -3 @ TB (43.5) Monday 8:00pm
Eagles limp into this game, having lost 5 of 6, the last 2 to the Giants and Cards. Before that stretch they won 4 straight against Buff, KC, Dal & Wash, but probably should have lost at least 3 of them, having been outplayed in all 4.
This team is broken, and their defense stinks. No stats required. After their 13th game, they replaced their DC with Matt Patrica, he of the miserably failed coaching attempt in Detroit, which included an epically bad defense. Since that switch the Philly defense has somehow managed to get worse!
Now the Eagles might have lost AJ Brown to injury. Hurts has been pedestrian all season, and seems hesitant to run with the ball this year.
On the other side we have the Bucs. They only reason they are in the playoffs every year is because they play in the NFL’s laughing stock of a division. They get to play 6 games against the Panthers, Saints and Falcons … every friggin year!!!
In the last 2 weeks, with their playoff hopes on the line, TB has managed to lose to the Saints at home, and squeak by the Panthers OTR, in a game they probably should have lost. Baker Mayfield, who had previously been playing fairly well, has sucked of late. Many say it is due to injuries, I believe it is simply a reality check.
Bucs tend to play lower scoring, close to the vest type games at home. Same holds true for the Eagles on the road.
The Bucs have won the nfc south the last 2 years with a combined record of 17-17.
Don't be fooled by the Packers defense last week, they only know how to stop the Bears. Since Luke Getsy is from LaFleur's entourage, they look all world against his play calling. Joe Barry is not a good DC. Jordan Love should get his, at least enough to help the total go over. Cause there should be a lot of scoring in this game.
Keep an eye on the health of the Texans defensive line this week. They missed 3 starters last week vs the Colts, and DE Will Anderson Jr played limited snaps as he valiantly gave it a go. The Colts ran buck wild on em, with help from a very good o line. The Browns o line ranks #12 per Joe Bitonti. I feel like if the Texicans get their guys back on the front line, their linebackers can go to work.
The Rams and Lions will be the best game of the first round, how can it not be?
On top of AJ Brown's injury, Jalen Hurts dislocated his middle finger on his throwing hand. It looked gnarly. Has any one else noticed that Nick Sirianni has lost his "smug asshole face" mid way through the season? Yea, they know that they aren't that good.
The Dolphins lost more players, last I read 2 starting linebackers will not play. Tua never gets criticized when he plays like ass. I see the Chiefs putting together the game that they've been wanting to for over 6 weeks now. This should get ugly, and no one will subscribe to Peacock fuck them.
If you don't like the Bills -10, then sell points and try -17 or something for plus odds. Or don't bet it at all.
Those are my thoughts. But I've bookended my season like shit.
You guys are fighting storms and tornado warnings, we got a blizzard in Chicago. Crankin up the snow blower, and it's not my nose.
Nice job Hugh
The Bucs have won the nfc south the last 2 years with a combined record of 17-17.
Don't be fooled by the Packers defense last week, they only know how to stop the Bears. Since Luke Getsy is from LaFleur's entourage, they look all world against his play calling. Joe Barry is not a good DC. Jordan Love should get his, at least enough to help the total go over. Cause there should be a lot of scoring in this game.
Keep an eye on the health of the Texans defensive line this week. They missed 3 starters last week vs the Colts, and DE Will Anderson Jr played limited snaps as he valiantly gave it a go. The Colts ran buck wild on em, with help from a very good o line. The Browns o line ranks #12 per Joe Bitonti. I feel like if the Texicans get their guys back on the front line, their linebackers can go to work.
The Rams and Lions will be the best game of the first round, how can it not be?
On top of AJ Brown's injury, Jalen Hurts dislocated his middle finger on his throwing hand. It looked gnarly. Has any one else noticed that Nick Sirianni has lost his "smug asshole face" mid way through the season? Yea, they know that they aren't that good.
The Dolphins lost more players, last I read 2 starting linebackers will not play. Tua never gets criticized when he plays like ass. I see the Chiefs putting together the game that they've been wanting to for over 6 weeks now. This should get ugly, and no one will subscribe to Peacock fuck them.
If you don't like the Bills -10, then sell points and try -17 or something for plus odds. Or don't bet it at all.
Those are my thoughts. But I've bookended my season like shit.
You guys are fighting storms and tornado warnings, we got a blizzard in Chicago. Crankin up the snow blower, and it's not my nose.
The Eagles enter the playoffs playing like shit and are facing arguably the best possible matchup they could have hoped for.
This Eagles team is fucked...Everyone keeps betting them hoping they should get "right" .....that was 5 games and counting ago. Everytime I bet on Baker he bends me over . But here we are again
Quote Originally Posted by sportschat:
The Eagles enter the playoffs playing like shit and are facing arguably the best possible matchup they could have hoped for.
This Eagles team is fucked...Everyone keeps betting them hoping they should get "right" .....that was 5 games and counting ago. Everytime I bet on Baker he bends me over . But here we are again
I think it's rather simple though, bigger market in the US = more money from advertisers. I was watching Sunday on RTL, a german network, and they had less advertising during the games, fe they had none during the 30 sec TO taken by the teams.
@Hugh_Jorgan
Tremendous effort, fitting for this stage of the competition.
Accomplished time-waster
@trainwreck66
I think it's rather simple though, bigger market in the US = more money from advertisers. I was watching Sunday on RTL, a german network, and they had less advertising during the games, fe they had none during the 30 sec TO taken by the teams.
@Hugh_Jorgan
Tremendous effort, fitting for this stage of the competition.
Quote Originally Posted by sportschat: The Eagles enter the playoffs playing like shit and are facing arguably the best possible matchup they could have hoped for. This Eagles team is fucked...Everyone keeps betting them hoping they should get "right" .....that was 5 games and counting ago. Everytime I bet on Baker he bends me over . But here we are again
In losing 5-6 the Eagles 'experts' on TV (4 of them) are 5-19. They picked them every game (SU) but one wised up and picked the Giants last game
Quote Originally Posted by trainwreck66:
Quote Originally Posted by sportschat: The Eagles enter the playoffs playing like shit and are facing arguably the best possible matchup they could have hoped for. This Eagles team is fucked...Everyone keeps betting them hoping they should get "right" .....that was 5 games and counting ago. Everytime I bet on Baker he bends me over . But here we are again
In losing 5-6 the Eagles 'experts' on TV (4 of them) are 5-19. They picked them every game (SU) but one wised up and picked the Giants last game
Thanks Hugh. Excellent write-up. Agree with Hank. Clear, concise and crisp.
Regarding my friend Jordan Love, my younger brother, who reads the Newsletter and likes to disagree with me, points out that in his last 8 games, Love has thrown 18 touchdowns with only 1 interception. My brother is a rotten little ba$tard.
@Hugh_Jorgan
Thanks Hugh. Excellent write-up. Agree with Hank. Clear, concise and crisp.
Regarding my friend Jordan Love, my younger brother, who reads the Newsletter and likes to disagree with me, points out that in his last 8 games, Love has thrown 18 touchdowns with only 1 interception. My brother is a rotten little ba$tard.
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