Posted:
#226
Bet the Over Hot night n Bmore.....
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are you Hank Cyrax 
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Posted:
#246
@bigred84
Agree Red.....heat line does look high. Read some corresponding stat angles about this earlier.........
Teams coming off a game 7 win are 33-52 since 1988 in the following game 1. that is just SU. ATS is worse
Also, since 2003, same teams are 22-38 SU, 24-35-1 ATS. But the faves in this situation are only 6-13-1 ATS
Heat also have played 42 games this season within a 5 point scoring differential, plus these teams know each other well, and I am sure Spoelstra is not letting them forget how close they were last year to getting to the finals. I was actually at that game 7 when Jimmy Butler missed that 3 pointer at the end after that furious late comeback. Blowouts in this series would really surprise me, but the way the NBA is nowadays who knows.
There is a nice angle on betting the home team in the first half of a game 3 after they go down 2-0 in a 7 game series.....if I remember right that scenario hits in the very high 60% range
I am kind of treating this Heat game 1 like I treated the Warriors game 3 after they lost the first 2 at Sacramento and taking the Heat for 1H and FG. It has a similar feel to me.
Good luck to us.
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