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    All Forums | Other Pro Football

    ARENA FOOTBALL PLAYOFFS..............................2017

    theclaw
    crippler8677
    dcgmt
    monkeebooger
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    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2017 - 8:35 AM ET #1

    Arena football playoffs are back and going down this weekend.

    POWER RATINGS I................................

    1. Philly 14.92
    2. Cleveland 4.01
    3. Tampa (-1.5)
    4. Baltimore (-5.21)

    Philly would be our hands-down favorite to win the title.


    MY LINES....................................

    Philly -23.13 over Baltimore
    Cleveland -2.51 over Tampa

    Teams favored by 6.5 or more are 9-1 SU in the past years.


    Tampa although they have the 2cd best record have been out-played by their opps in every key stat battle but won the TO battle, especially fumbles.

    Not a good indicator going forward for Tampa, they seem to be the product of more luck then anything else.

    Cleveland should be in this game with a very good shot to win SU.



    Cleveland +6 over Tampa --- 3.3 units to win  3 units

    Instead of playing the money line we do this.......................

    Philly VS Cleveland to meet in Arena Bowl +209......... 1 unit


    If the line goes to 7 we will make another play.


    Philly to win the title -365.....................14.6 units to win 4 units

    This would be one of the largest mismatches I've ever seen with Philly be so far superior to the rest of the league, -365 is a steal in price.


    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Arena football playoffs are back and going down this weekend.

    POWER RATINGS I................................

    1. Philly 14.92
    2. Cleveland 4.01
    3. Tampa (-1.5)
    4. Baltimore (-5.21)

    Philly would be our hands-down favorite to win the title.


    MY LINES....................................

    Philly -23.13 over Baltimore
    Cleveland -2.51 over Tampa

    Teams favored by 6.5 or more are 9-1 SU in the past years.


    Tampa although they have the 2cd best record have been out-played by their opps in every key stat battle but won the TO battle, especially fumbles.

    Not a good indicator going forward for Tampa, they seem to be the product of more luck then anything else.

    Cleveland should be in this game with a very good shot to win SU.



    Cleveland +6 over Tampa --- 3.3 units to win  3 units

    Instead of playing the money line we do this.......................

    Philly VS Cleveland to meet in Arena Bowl +209......... 1 unit


    If the line goes to 7 we will make another play.


    Philly to win the title -365.....................14.6 units to win 4 units

    This would be one of the largest mismatches I've ever seen with Philly be so far superior to the rest of the league, -365 is a steal in price.


     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 9, 2017 - 8:38 AM ET #2

    We have a play with a 6 pt diff , at this time we ...................

    Lean Philly -18.5 over Baltimore

    May take some small action later. Let's wait-out the line.
    Reply
    We have a play with a 6 pt diff , at this time we ...................

    Lean Philly -18.5 over Baltimore

    May take some small action later. Let's wait-out the line.
     
    crippler8677
    crippler8677
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2017 - 6:10 PM ET #3

    normally -18.5 seems way to high but i nthis case 18.5 seems way to low...that high number scares me but I just don't see Baltimore keeping it close???
    Reply
    normally -18.5 seems way to high but i nthis case 18.5 seems way to low...that high number scares me but I just don't see Baltimore keeping it close???
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2017 - 10:25 AM ET #4

    Could easily turn into a blowout type game, line is up to 22.5 today.

    Philly is way to strong for this Baltimore team, only matter is how serious they take the game, whether they get complacent and start looking ahead to ArenaBowl thinking it may be a cake-walk.
    Reply
    Could easily turn into a blowout type game, line is up to 22.5 today.

    Philly is way to strong for this Baltimore team, only matter is how serious they take the game, whether they get complacent and start looking ahead to ArenaBowl thinking it may be a cake-walk.
     
    dcgmt
    dcgmt
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2017 - 12:45 PM ET #5

    GL claw
    Reply
    GL claw
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2017 - 2:11 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by dcgmt:

    GL claw

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by dcgmt:

    GL claw

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2017 - 4:54 PM ET #7

    Baltimore is hanging in there VS Philly, just converted a 4th down with a big play, all tied up at 20-20.

    If they continue to hang we may possibly make a 2cd half play on Philly depending on the ,line we get.
    Reply
    Baltimore is hanging in there VS Philly, just converted a 4th down with a big play, all tied up at 20-20.

    If they continue to hang we may possibly make a 2cd half play on Philly depending on the ,line we get.
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2017 - 5:27 PM ET #8

    Philly took control late 2cd quarter for a 34-20 halftime lead.

    Line Philly -7.5 2cd half, that gives us 21.5 on the game, will pass .`
    Reply
    Philly took control late 2cd quarter for a 34-20 halftime lead.

    Line Philly -7.5 2cd half, that gives us 21.5 on the game, will pass .`
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2017 - 7:09 PM ET #9

    Baltimore played tough 2cd half but Philly pulls out 69-54 win, scoring a TD on 4th down with 11 seconds left .

    Was hoping Philly didn't get that last score, a close game may have done us well in the ArenaBowl.

    But Philly now off 2 ATS losses, can't see them losing ATS again in ArenaBowl game.

    We're halfway home on our 2 futures plays, next game is oddly on monday. 
    Reply
    Baltimore played tough 2cd half but Philly pulls out 69-54 win, scoring a TD on 4th down with 11 seconds left .

    Was hoping Philly didn't get that last score, a close game may have done us well in the ArenaBowl.

    But Philly now off 2 ATS losses, can't see them losing ATS again in ArenaBowl game.

    We're halfway home on our 2 futures plays, next game is oddly on monday. 
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2017 - 7:53 AM ET #10

    Line up to 6.5 on tonight's Tampa VS Cleveland game, gets to 7 we put another 2 units on Cleveland.

    ML up to +170 from +155. Looks like public backing Tampa here.

    Tampa easily has better record but is not the better team, classic case of better record not equalling the better team.

    This game should be a down-to-the-wire finish with Cleveland in position to get the SU win`

    If Tampa does win in a blowout that sets-up us to take Philly in ArenaBowl even better.
    Reply
    Line up to 6.5 on tonight's Tampa VS Cleveland game, gets to 7 we put another 2 units on Cleveland.

    ML up to +170 from +155. Looks like public backing Tampa here.

    Tampa easily has better record but is not the better team, classic case of better record not equalling the better team.

    This game should be a down-to-the-wire finish with Cleveland in position to get the SU win`

    If Tampa does win in a blowout that sets-up us to take Philly in ArenaBowl even better.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2017 - 8:29 PM ET #11

    Cleveland up 32-31` at halftime, and +6 2cd half , that gives us +5 on the game,  will pass on that.

    If we can get 7 for the game we take some 2cd half action on Cleveland, the line needs to go to +8.
    Reply
    Cleveland up 32-31` at halftime, and +6 2cd half , that gives us +5 on the game,  will pass on that.

    If we can get 7 for the game we take some 2cd half action on Cleveland, the line needs to go to +8.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2017 - 9:10 AM ET #12

    Son of a gun, Clev hung in there most of the game, up at half, down 44-39 start of 4th. 

    Tampa recovers onside kick and goes up 12, clev comes back but missies extra pt, now down 6, Tampa score and Cleve scores misses extra pt again, now down 7.

    Down 7 was brutal with a +6 line, 4 missed extra pts by Clev I think, it turned-out for the better when Clev failed to score on last possesion as we could not cover anyway so a bigger score may bew better for us In ArenaBowl.
    Reply
    Son of a gun, Clev hung in there most of the game, up at half, down 44-39 start of 4th. 

    Tampa recovers onside kick and goes up 12, clev comes back but missies extra pt, now down 6, Tampa score and Cleve scores misses extra pt again, now down 7.

    Down 7 was brutal with a +6 line, 4 missed extra pts by Clev I think, it turned-out for the better when Clev failed to score on last possesion as we could not cover anyway so a bigger score may bew better for us In ArenaBowl.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2017 - 9:16 AM ET #13

    ArenaBowl..............................2017

    My Lines............

    Philly -19.42 over Tampa

    Actual Line, Philly -11


    Philly off 2 ATS losses, Tampa off 2 ATS wins.

    Top ranked teams in PR off a ATS playoff loss have been nothing but money their next game and we have this spot with a line that is way off.

    The line is a joke guys, we pound this line with a "Best Bet Play"



    Philly -11 (-120) over Tampa ---  12 units to win 10 units


    We also have our "Best Bet Futures Play on Philly, looks like we have very good potenial for another big score in the ArenaBowl.
    Reply
    ArenaBowl..............................2017

    My Lines............

    Philly -19.42 over Tampa

    Actual Line, Philly -11


    Philly off 2 ATS losses, Tampa off 2 ATS wins.

    Top ranked teams in PR off a ATS playoff loss have been nothing but money their next game and we have this spot with a line that is way off.

    The line is a joke guys, we pound this line with a "Best Bet Play"



    Philly -11 (-120) over Tampa ---  12 units to win 10 units


    We also have our "Best Bet Futures Play on Philly, looks like we have very good potenial for another big score in the ArenaBowl.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2017 - 1:32 PM ET #14

    Line is up to 11.5.

    We'll be looking to make a 1st half play if the book gives us one.
    Reply
    Line is up to 11.5.

    We'll be looking to make a 1st half play if the book gives us one.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2017 - 9:05 AM ET #15

    Line now up to Philly -13, still very good value backing Philly.
    Reply
    Line now up to Philly -13, still very good value backing Philly.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2017 - 9:17 AM ET #16

    Gametime tonight guys, 7pm eastern time.

    Philly beat Tampa by 13 at the end of regular season, with all the incentive in that game on Tampa.

    Philly was off their only loss of the year to Baltimore then they pound Washington scoring 68 pts their 2cd most of the year and then they get revenge crushing  Baltimore by 70-21 by 49 pts, their largest win of the season and most pts scored, they clearly brought some big energy and effort for that revenge game.

    The following week they played Tampa in the seasons final game. Philly had the no.1 seed wrapped up by then and had beaten Tampa twice already, there was little incentive for Philly to play that game hard and I did take action on Tampa +14 , but Tampa needed to prove they could hang with and maybe BEAT Philly to at least put some self-doubt in their minds but Philly won by 13.

    Philly was also off a regression period as a fade in that game and still won by 13, I do not see the game being this close, more likely Philly will cover my line of -19.42. 
    Reply
    Gametime tonight guys, 7pm eastern time.

    Philly beat Tampa by 13 at the end of regular season, with all the incentive in that game on Tampa.

    Philly was off their only loss of the year to Baltimore then they pound Washington scoring 68 pts their 2cd most of the year and then they get revenge crushing  Baltimore by 70-21 by 49 pts, their largest win of the season and most pts scored, they clearly brought some big energy and effort for that revenge game.

    The following week they played Tampa in the seasons final game. Philly had the no.1 seed wrapped up by then and had beaten Tampa twice already, there was little incentive for Philly to play that game hard and I did take action on Tampa +14 , but Tampa needed to prove they could hang with and maybe BEAT Philly to at least put some self-doubt in their minds but Philly won by 13.

    Philly was also off a regression period as a fade in that game and still won by 13, I do not see the game being this close, more likely Philly will cover my line of -19.42. 
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2017 - 7:00 PM ET #17

    Line is at -13.5 now just before kickoff with no 1st half line.

    Philly rolls to the title !!....................................
    Reply
    Line is at -13.5 now just before kickoff with no 1st half line.

    Philly rolls to the title !!....................................
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2017 - 8:24 PM ET #18

    Crazy 1st half, lowest scoring 1st half in ArenaBowl history as Philly could not do anything right.

    2 wide open dropped TD passes hit the receiver right in the hands, penalties, dropped other passes and mis-fires on other wide open receivers, unreal, Philly looked like a high school team, good thing the defense held in there holding Tampa's offense to 1 TD in the 1st half.
    Reply
    Crazy 1st half, lowest scoring 1st half in ArenaBowl history as Philly could not do anything right.

    2 wide open dropped TD passes hit the receiver right in the hands, penalties, dropped other passes and mis-fires on other wide open receivers, unreal, Philly looked like a high school team, good thing the defense held in there holding Tampa's offense to 1 TD in the 1st half.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2017 - 8:27 PM ET #19

    Philly down 20-14 by 6 pts in 1st half...............................

    Philly -10 2cd half over Tampa ---    11 units to win 10 units
    Reply
    Philly down 20-14 by 6 pts in 1st half...............................

    Philly -10 2cd half over Tampa ---    11 units to win 10 units
     
    monkeebooger
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2017 - 3:06 AM ET #20

    Fuckk Philly 
    Reply
    Fuckk Philly 
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2017 - 7:25 AM ET #21

    Son of a gun, that had to be one of the most fustrating games to watch, Philly could not do anything right.

    Might be the worst performance of any top team in our PR's I've ever seen.

    It'd be one thing if Tampa played well but they really did not, the game spread was there for the taking but Philly just played horrendous and could not take it.

    Philly rolls back 2cd half goes up 10 with Tampa kicking off after a safety and a great chance to go up 17 but onside kick right to a Philly player with nobody around him and not an overly-wobbly kick, looks like an easy recovery, nope, fumble and Tampa gets the ball.

    The with like 16 seconds left Philly can seal the 2cd half cover for us with a simple wide-open catch hitting the receiver perfectly and he drops the ball.  

    Had he caught it and possibly broke a tackle or 2 maybe he scores and we cover the game as well but the 2cd half cover was in the books.

    Then Tampe completes pass and on the last play in the grasp of a defensive linemen the Tampa QB throws into the endzone for.....you quess it, a TD.

    UNREAL , boy oh boy was that brutal to watch.

    Hey after all that nonsense we finally caught a break when Philly blocked the extra point and we pushed the 2cd half.

    Wow we actually got 1 break.


    However, the PR's did it again with our top rated team winning the title for the 12th time of past 18 tries and making the championship game in a incredible 16 of those past 18 times.

    That was the only bet we won.......................

    Next up is the WNBA Playoffs we'll see if we can do it again.
    Reply
    Son of a gun, that had to be one of the most fustrating games to watch, Philly could not do anything right.

    Might be the worst performance of any top team in our PR's I've ever seen.

    It'd be one thing if Tampa played well but they really did not, the game spread was there for the taking but Philly just played horrendous and could not take it.

    Philly rolls back 2cd half goes up 10 with Tampa kicking off after a safety and a great chance to go up 17 but onside kick right to a Philly player with nobody around him and not an overly-wobbly kick, looks like an easy recovery, nope, fumble and Tampa gets the ball.

    The with like 16 seconds left Philly can seal the 2cd half cover for us with a simple wide-open catch hitting the receiver perfectly and he drops the ball.  

    Had he caught it and possibly broke a tackle or 2 maybe he scores and we cover the game as well but the 2cd half cover was in the books.

    Then Tampe completes pass and on the last play in the grasp of a defensive linemen the Tampa QB throws into the endzone for.....you quess it, a TD.

    UNREAL , boy oh boy was that brutal to watch.

    Hey after all that nonsense we finally caught a break when Philly blocked the extra point and we pushed the 2cd half.

    Wow we actually got 1 break.


    However, the PR's did it again with our top rated team winning the title for the 12th time of past 18 tries and making the championship game in a incredible 16 of those past 18 times.

    That was the only bet we won.......................

    Next up is the WNBA Playoffs we'll see if we can do it again.
     
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2008
    Posts: 12180
    Posted: Sep. 2, 2017 - 7:31 AM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

    Fuckk Philly 

    The same receiver dropped 2 TD passes on possession Philly end-up not scoring  and he dropped the pass on 4th down which would of sealed the 2cd half cover, what a cluster friggin blowjob that was !!!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:

    Fuckk Philly 

    The same receiver dropped 2 TD passes on possession Philly end-up not scoring  and he dropped the pass on 4th down which would of sealed the 2cd half cover, what a cluster friggin blowjob that was !!!
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