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    All Forums | Other

    Stevie Wonders - AFL Round 4

    «First Previous 12
    ecoute
    showmethemoney1
    HeadOverHeart
    gmanea
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    Views: 640
    Posts: 37
    «First Previous 12
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2008 - 3:11 AM ET #26

    Swans -24.5
    $1000 @ $1.67
     
    Wow seeing that total as -30.5 at some places.
     
    Going to the game. These games normally go under but I am thinking this might be a high scoring game due to Weagles errors and the Swans going for the kill on a wounded eagle.
    Reply
    Swans -24.5
    $1000 @ $1.67
     
    Wow seeing that total as -30.5 at some places.
     
    Going to the game. These games normally go under but I am thinking this might be a high scoring game due to Weagles errors and the Swans going for the kill on a wounded eagle.
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2008 - 9:06 AM ET #27

    Weagles scored one goal a quarter for the first 3 quarters then in the last were trying to set the record for behinds in quarter
    Reply
    Weagles scored one goal a quarter for the first 3 quarters then in the last were trying to set the record for behinds in quarter
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2008 - 8:04 PM ET #28

    Chris Judd +26.5
    $1000 @ $1.83
     
    I know this is risky considering how well the Pies are playing. I am hoping they will become complacent (Big win previous week + kids = complacency).
     
    Hopefully Ratten gets that first win
    Reply
    Chris Judd +26.5
    $1000 @ $1.83
     
    I know this is risky considering how well the Pies are playing. I am hoping they will become complacent (Big win previous week + kids = complacency).
     
    Hopefully Ratten gets that first win
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2008 - 11:09 PM ET #29

    Late play with Mitchell and Boyle out. That will hurt the Hawks.

    Crows +17.5

    $1000 @ $1.67

    Reply

    Late play with Mitchell and Boyle out. That will hurt the Hawks.

    Crows +17.5

    $1000 @ $1.67

     
    showmethemoney1
    showmethemoney1
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    Posts: 1995
    Posted: Apr. 12, 2008 - 11:31 PM ET #30

    good luck ecoute on paper blues if they actually turn up determined can win outright against the magies then again they could lose by a hundred
    Reply
    good luck ecoute on paper blues if they actually turn up determined can win outright against the magies then again they could lose by a hundred
     
    HeadOverHeart
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 12:28 AM ET #31

    Stay away from Fremantle is my advice.  Tigers much stronger on paper than one would care to notice.  Too risky IMO.
    Reply
    Stay away from Fremantle is my advice.  Tigers much stronger on paper than one would care to notice.  Too risky IMO.
     
    gmanea
    gmanea
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 12:33 AM ET #32

    Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:

    Stay away from Fremantle is my advice.  Tigers much stronger on paper than one would care to notice.  Too risky IMO.


    I also chose to stay away obviously as I didn't have a pick on this game, but IMO tigers "on paper" is the worst list in the AFL.  So don't agree with you.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:

    Stay away from Fremantle is my advice.  Tigers much stronger on paper than one would care to notice.  Too risky IMO.


    I also chose to stay away obviously as I didn't have a pick on this game, but IMO tigers "on paper" is the worst list in the AFL.  So don't agree with you.
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 2:34 AM ET #33

    Marks - Frem 8th, Rich 15th

    Marks I50 - Frem 9th, Rich 12th  (Frem -1, Rich +3)

    Marks Allowed - Frem 7th, Rich 14th

    Marks I50 Allowed - Frem 12th, Rich 14th  (Frem -5, Rich 0)

    Richmond is not as good with marking, but it is telling that the majority of damage against Fremantle is coming within their own 50 metre.  They drop dramatically in offense and defense when inside the 50.


    Clearances - Frem 13th, Rich 12th

    Clearances Allowed - Frem 14th, Rich 10th

    And this is why....Fremantle has problems sweeping the ball out from danger once it gets into play.

    Goals - Frem 11th, Rich 9th

    Goals Allowed - Frem 9th, Rich 12th

    Even here.

    Handballs - Frem 7th, Rich 3rd

    Disposals - Frem 8th, Rich 6th

    Again, Fremantle showing a lack of agility.

    Now, does this all add up to a 36+-point victory?

    I don't think so.....play is on Richmond +35.5 or OFF.

    I will be happy to watch this one out.
    Reply
    Marks - Frem 8th, Rich 15th

    Marks I50 - Frem 9th, Rich 12th  (Frem -1, Rich +3)

    Marks Allowed - Frem 7th, Rich 14th

    Marks I50 Allowed - Frem 12th, Rich 14th  (Frem -5, Rich 0)

    Richmond is not as good with marking, but it is telling that the majority of damage against Fremantle is coming within their own 50 metre.  They drop dramatically in offense and defense when inside the 50.


    Clearances - Frem 13th, Rich 12th

    Clearances Allowed - Frem 14th, Rich 10th

    And this is why....Fremantle has problems sweeping the ball out from danger once it gets into play.

    Goals - Frem 11th, Rich 9th

    Goals Allowed - Frem 9th, Rich 12th

    Even here.

    Handballs - Frem 7th, Rich 3rd

    Disposals - Frem 8th, Rich 6th

    Again, Fremantle showing a lack of agility.

    Now, does this all add up to a 36+-point victory?

    I don't think so.....play is on Richmond +35.5 or OFF.

    I will be happy to watch this one out.
     
    gmanea
    gmanea
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 3:08 AM ET #34

    I like all your stats, personally I look at stats but they are not the bible.  I watch every game possible and keep up with the news, I have a good read on the games and I win every year.  There are different styles on handicapping I guess.  Good luck.
    Reply
    I like all your stats, personally I look at stats but they are not the bible.  I watch every game possible and keep up with the news, I have a good read on the games and I win every year.  There are different styles on handicapping I guess.  Good luck.
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 3:15 AM ET #35

    Of course gmanea, no doubt.  Just wanted to let those thinking of punting on this match that Richmond is definitely not as bad as the papers show, and most definitely not 36 points off of where the Dockers stand now.  Surely the Dockers can win and cover, but just wanted to throw that out there to those fishing for a wager on this match.   
    Reply
    Of course gmanea, no doubt.  Just wanted to let those thinking of punting on this match that Richmond is definitely not as bad as the papers show, and most definitely not 36 points off of where the Dockers stand now.  Surely the Dockers can win and cover, but just wanted to throw that out there to those fishing for a wager on this match.   
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posts: 7174
    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 6:14 AM ET #36

    The Tigers did that to them last year as well if memory serves.

    Gee I hate Terry Wallace, the cocksucker who bought us Libba

    He headoverheart remember that great pose of Paul Kelly standing over Libba and pointing to the scoreboard taken some years back.
    Reply
    The Tigers did that to them last year as well if memory serves.

    Gee I hate Terry Wallace, the cocksucker who bought us Libba

    He headoverheart remember that great pose of Paul Kelly standing over Libba and pointing to the scoreboard taken some years back.
     
     
    HeadOverHeart
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2008 - 1:03 PM ET #37

    Well, I should have had some and taken Richmond and the points and a dabble on the 5.00 ML as well, seeing how even these two teams were.

    How does a 1-2 team end up being a 1.14 favorite playing against another 1-2 team who has won outright or covered the spread the last eight meetings between the teams....and that team is 5.00 to win? 

    Ack, something to log in for next time...
    Reply
    Well, I should have had some and taken Richmond and the points and a dabble on the 5.00 ML as well, seeing how even these two teams were.

    How does a 1-2 team end up being a 1.14 favorite playing against another 1-2 team who has won outright or covered the spread the last eight meetings between the teams....and that team is 5.00 to win? 

    Ack, something to log in for next time...
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