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    All Forums | Other

    Sheffield Shield Final

    Gun7
    Jive_Turkey
    binomial
    melbourneboy
    rod_steel
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    Gun7
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    Posted: Mar. 17, 2010 - 9:36 AM ET #1

    The Bulls have let it slip..

    Some great seam bowling in the opening session and a half saw them take a commanding position with the Vics at 6 for 65. However, a lower order fight back (and a pitch that lost its life) saw the locals finish the day at 9 for 286.  Dissapointing that the Bulls couldn't kill them off, but the great seam bowling has set up a result - something which sets up good value for us.  In what I see as a 2 horse race we have odds of 2.10 (Vics) and 2.70 (Bulls) (the final is played over 5 days rather than 4, weather outlook promising).

    Yes the Bulls are slightly on top.  However, in a final, runs on the board count and the Bulls batting has been shakey of late.  The pitch should still offer a decent amount for the seamers and there is turn. The Vics may not have Nannes, but they have an experienced arm in Wright, 3 test bowlers in Pattinson, McDonald and McGain, and Hastings. In my opinion this should be enough to ensure that the Bulls do not surmount a large enough first innings lead to take the match. From there, the Vics show a little more patience in their second innings (surely the top order can't fail again) and then turn to McGain et al to rip through the Bulls from the second half of the 4th day onwards.

    Bushrangers ML

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    The Bulls have let it slip..

    Some great seam bowling in the opening session and a half saw them take a commanding position with the Vics at 6 for 65. However, a lower order fight back (and a pitch that lost its life) saw the locals finish the day at 9 for 286.  Dissapointing that the Bulls couldn't kill them off, but the great seam bowling has set up a result - something which sets up good value for us.  In what I see as a 2 horse race we have odds of 2.10 (Vics) and 2.70 (Bulls) (the final is played over 5 days rather than 4, weather outlook promising).

    Yes the Bulls are slightly on top.  However, in a final, runs on the board count and the Bulls batting has been shakey of late.  The pitch should still offer a decent amount for the seamers and there is turn. The Vics may not have Nannes, but they have an experienced arm in Wright, 3 test bowlers in Pattinson, McDonald and McGain, and Hastings. In my opinion this should be enough to ensure that the Bulls do not surmount a large enough first innings lead to take the match. From there, the Vics show a little more patience in their second innings (surely the top order can't fail again) and then turn to McGain et al to rip through the Bulls from the second half of the 4th day onwards.

    Bushrangers ML

     
    Gun7
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2010 - 11:38 AM ET #2

    End of day 2 and the Bulls are 6 for 199.  Vics in a strong position and the prices reflect it: Vics 1.70 / Draw 4.00 / Bulls 4.25.

    Last chance to get the Vics at value in my opinion, they look set for a first innings lead (even if minimal) and can then set a difficult target to chase on the final days. GL

    Reply

    End of day 2 and the Bulls are 6 for 199.  Vics in a strong position and the prices reflect it: Vics 1.70 / Draw 4.00 / Bulls 4.25.

    Last chance to get the Vics at value in my opinion, they look set for a first innings lead (even if minimal) and can then set a difficult target to chase on the final days. GL

     
    Jive_Turkey
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    Posted: Mar. 18, 2010 - 7:49 PM ET #3

    yep, from 6 for 65 they should've rolled the vics for 200 MAX !

    285 or whatever they ended up getting is probably worth about 350 against the Bulls with their top order batting

    Reply

    yep, from 6 for 65 they should've rolled the vics for 200 MAX !

    285 or whatever they ended up getting is probably worth about 350 against the Bulls with their top order batting

     
    binomial
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2010 - 8:40 PM ET #4

    thought about hedging my Vic bet with the draw overnight, think I could regret not doing so.
    Reply
    thought about hedging my Vic bet with the draw overnight, think I could regret not doing so.
     
    Gun7
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2010 - 8:50 PM ET #5

    Good point Bi, I was meaning to check in to see prices last night but had no chance. They could well shut things down, but we're are in with a chance if they do declare at anytime today as the Bulls will play shots on the 5th day wicket - White's intentions do appear clear though
    Reply
    Good point Bi, I was meaning to check in to see prices last night but had no chance. They could well shut things down, but we're are in with a chance if they do declare at anytime today as the Bulls will play shots on the 5th day wicket - White's intentions do appear clear though
     
    binomial
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2010 - 8:55 PM ET #6

    You could get around $3 on betfair, locking in a decent win. 


    Reply
    You could get around $3 on betfair, locking in a decent win. 


     
    melbourneboy
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2010 - 8:59 PM ET #7

    GO BUSHRANGERS.
    Reply
    GO BUSHRANGERS.
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2010 - 11:41 PM ET #8

    Vics just going to bat the QLD'ers to the ground
    Reply
    Vics just going to bat the QLD'ers to the ground
     
    melbourneboy
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2010 - 11:46 PM ET #9

    thats fine, qld have done it to us, so now we return the favor. 1000 runs ahead. lol
    Reply
    thats fine, qld have done it to us, so now we return the favor. 1000 runs ahead. lol
     
    melbourneboy
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2010 - 11:48 PM ET #10

    this will  probably be the last final in sheffield shield as i think there gonna scrap final and award the winner to the team who finishes on top in end of season. due to increasing of t20 and int cricket.
    Reply
    this will  probably be the last final in sheffield shield as i think there gonna scrap final and award the winner to the team who finishes on top in end of season. due to increasing of t20 and int cricket.
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2010 - 12:01 AM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by melbourneboy:

    this will  probably be the last final in sheffield shield as i think there gonna scrap final and award the winner to the team who finishes on top in end of season. due to increasing of t20 and int cricket.

    The first past the post system like the EPL is probably the most fairest. Makes sense if they revert to that concept, I mean how many people would be watching this match in the middle of footy season?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by melbourneboy:

    this will  probably be the last final in sheffield shield as i think there gonna scrap final and award the winner to the team who finishes on top in end of season. due to increasing of t20 and int cricket.

    The first past the post system like the EPL is probably the most fairest. Makes sense if they revert to that concept, I mean how many people would be watching this match in the middle of footy season?

     
    Gun7
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2010 - 7:59 PM ET #12

    McGain strikes early as predicted, need 9 wickets in a days play for the Bushrangers win - largely depends on the removal of Carseldine cheaply and the Bulls attitude - do they play like men and bat aggressively or do they bat out for a draw.

    Interesting days play ahead.

    Reply

    McGain strikes early as predicted, need 9 wickets in a days play for the Bushrangers win - largely depends on the removal of Carseldine cheaply and the Bulls attitude - do they play like men and bat aggressively or do they bat out for a draw.

    Interesting days play ahead.

     
    Gun7
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2010 - 8:13 PM ET #13

    And the second wicket falls, 2 for 45. Plenty of overs left and whilst Qld bat deep these early wickets wil put the outright in the mind of the Vics - go lads, another wicket in the first session.
    Reply
    And the second wicket falls, 2 for 45. Plenty of overs left and whilst Qld bat deep these early wickets wil put the outright in the mind of the Vics - go lads, another wicket in the first session.
     
    Gun7
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2010 - 11:17 PM ET #14

    Finally, Carseldine gone for 75.  5 wickets left with over an hour until tea. Hopes hasn't come to the crease, his wicket will be key.
    Reply
    Finally, Carseldine gone for 75.  5 wickets left with over an hour until tea. Hopes hasn't come to the crease, his wicket will be key.
     
     
    Gun7
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2010 - 11:48 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by Gun7:

    ...and then turn to McGain et al to rip through the Bulls from the second half of the 4th day onwards.

    Bushrangers ML

    And the Vics take no time to finish the tail.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Gun7:

    ...and then turn to McGain et al to rip through the Bulls from the second half of the 4th day onwards.

    Bushrangers ML

    And the Vics take no time to finish the tail.

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