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North -23.5 v. Melbourne
This match has "trick" written all over it. North is much better than they have shown so far, in my opinion, but so is Melbourne. Looking closer at the statistics, we see the Roos at 12th for total marks with the Dees right behind at 13th. Looking further, we see that North is averaging a little over five more I50 marks than the Dees...but North give up a fair share of their I50s as well. The one very disparate statistic is the accuracy of the two teams, with the Roos producing a fine display of percentage: 64% to 51%.
Will that be enough? Hard to tell and I will be laying off of this game. I would like to see how Melbourne respond keeping close to Geelong. ML wagers on the Roos included in parlays are a good shot however.
St. Kilda v. Geelong -24.5
The Cats are best in the League is allowing their opponents to mark in their 50; surely a testament to their speed and pace. The Saints are no slouches either at 4th best. Geelong is a little more accurate with their shots at 59% to 54%. But let's get to the concerning bits. St. Kilda is only challenging 7% of all opponent possessions whereas the Cats are meddling in 10% of their opponent's ball. Add into that the fact that whereas the Saints are known for their defense, their current malaise can be found in the fact that their are allowing their opponents to mark them the most in the League! The Cats will surely exploit this as they are 3rd in the League in marks per game. The kick to handballs are 1.47 to 1.10 to the Cats....showing their quick disposal and readiness at the ball. Geelong is also averaging 10 more scoring shots per game than the Saints. Add in the fact that the Cats have won their last seven games at Telstra by an average of 78 points......all roads point to a Geelong win and cover. Take the Cats minus the points.
This match has "trick" written all over it. North is much better than they have shown so far, in my opinion, but so is Melbourne. Looking closer at the statistics, we see the Roos at 12th for total marks with the Dees right behind at 13th. Looking further, we see that North is averaging a little over five more I50 marks than the Dees...but North give up a fair share of their I50s as well. The one very disparate statistic is the accuracy of the two teams, with the Roos producing a fine display of percentage: 64% to 51%.
Will that be enough? Hard to tell and I will be laying off of this game. I would like to see how Melbourne respond keeping close to Geelong. ML wagers on the Roos included in parlays are a good shot however.
St. Kilda v. Geelong -24.5
The Cats are best in the League is allowing their opponents to mark in their 50; surely a testament to their speed and pace. The Saints are no slouches either at 4th best. Geelong is a little more accurate with their shots at 59% to 54%. But let's get to the concerning bits. St. Kilda is only challenging 7% of all opponent possessions whereas the Cats are meddling in 10% of their opponent's ball. Add into that the fact that whereas the Saints are known for their defense, their current malaise can be found in the fact that their are allowing their opponents to mark them the most in the League! The Cats will surely exploit this as they are 3rd in the League in marks per game. The kick to handballs are 1.47 to 1.10 to the Cats....showing their quick disposal and readiness at the ball. Geelong is also averaging 10 more scoring shots per game than the Saints. Add in the fact that the Cats have won their last seven games at Telstra by an average of 78 points......all roads point to a Geelong win and cover. Take the Cats minus the points.
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