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    All Forums | Other

    Olympics

    tmoss387
    fija1001
    CoverLane
    txtechpika
    HeadOverHeart
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    Views: 2058
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    tmoss387
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    Posted: Jul. 3, 2012 - 12:33 PM ET #1

    the olympics are just over 3 weeks away..  hopefully we can find some value in either team or individual events and earn some cash...
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    the olympics are just over 3 weeks away..  hopefully we can find some value in either team or individual events and earn some cash...
     
    fija1001
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    Posted: Jul. 10, 2012 - 11:12 PM ET #2

    Ive looked at 5 or so medal predictors and it seems the lines are way off. I have bets on 7 of the top 10 countries att with + money where the predictor being on my side 4 out of 5 times on average.
    Reply
    Ive looked at 5 or so medal predictors and it seems the lines are way off. I have bets on 7 of the top 10 countries att with + money where the predictor being on my side 4 out of 5 times on average.
     
    CoverLane
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    Posted: Jul. 10, 2012 - 11:23 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by fija1001:

    Ive looked at 5 or so medal predictors and it seems the lines are way off. I have bets on 7 of the top 10 countries att with + money where the predictor being on my side 4 out of 5 times on average.

    ?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by fija1001:

    Ive looked at 5 or so medal predictors and it seems the lines are way off. I have bets on 7 of the top 10 countries att with + money where the predictor being on my side 4 out of 5 times on average.

    ?
     
    fija1001
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    Posted: Jul. 10, 2012 - 11:35 PM ET #4

    I messed up spelling but how it that hard to follow. There are lines posted for total gold medals for each nation. Ive looked at a number of olympic medal predictors weather it be a machine or people who have predicted medals in the past and been accurate. Ive seen that almost all the nations o/u for medal is a bit off with most of the odds being in the the + money favor. Being +EV for betting on the lines.
    Reply
    I messed up spelling but how it that hard to follow. There are lines posted for total gold medals for each nation. Ive looked at a number of olympic medal predictors weather it be a machine or people who have predicted medals in the past and been accurate. Ive seen that almost all the nations o/u for medal is a bit off with most of the odds being in the the + money favor. Being +EV for betting on the lines.
     
    txtechpika
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2012 - 12:07 PM ET #5

    I love Russia to have more Gold medals than GB+Northern Ireland at -175... 5 units on that... also love US more Gold Medals than China at -170... 5 units on that...
    Reply
    I love Russia to have more Gold medals than GB+Northern Ireland at -175... 5 units on that... also love US more Gold Medals than China at -170... 5 units on that...
     
    tmoss387
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2012 - 11:47 PM ET #6

    tt, those seem solid..  i dont see how the u.s. could possibly lose the gold medal race to the chinese, and in the grand scheme of things  -170 isnt bad...   waiting for 5dimes to put out individual events
    Reply
    tt, those seem solid..  i dont see how the u.s. could possibly lose the gold medal race to the chinese, and in the grand scheme of things  -170 isnt bad...   waiting for 5dimes to put out individual events
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2012 - 9:25 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by txtechpika:

    I love Russia to have more Gold medals than GB+Northern Ireland at -175... 5 units on that... also love US more Gold Medals than China at -170... 5 units on that...


    That is almost free money.

    Wow.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by txtechpika:

    I love Russia to have more Gold medals than GB+Northern Ireland at -175... 5 units on that... also love US more Gold Medals than China at -170... 5 units on that...


    That is almost free money.

    Wow.
     
    Hirschfelder
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2012 - 9:38 PM ET #8

    -170 is a shit price. Look and you'll find -145 for most golds
    Reply
    -170 is a shit price. Look and you'll find -145 for most golds
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2012 - 10:12 PM ET #9

    Where did you find that Russia over GB + NI bet?
    Reply
    Where did you find that Russia over GB + NI bet?
     
    Hirschfelder
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2012 - 10:18 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by rod_steel:

    Where did you find that Russia over GB + NI bet?


    1.64 sportsbet
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by rod_steel:

    Where did you find that Russia over GB + NI bet?


    1.64 sportsbet
     
    mr_bollox
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2012 - 10:22 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:



    That is almost free money.

    Wow.


    really?

    what do you base that on, population size, russia isnt the USSR anymore .

    dont under estimate homefield advantage, GB has a lot of genuine gold contenders as well
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:



    That is almost free money.

    Wow.


    really?

    what do you base that on, population size, russia isnt the USSR anymore .

    dont under estimate homefield advantage, GB has a lot of genuine gold contenders as well
     
    tmoss387
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2012 - 9:36 AM ET #12

    bovada has lines up on most individual events..

    also  russia is now  -210 on 5dimes

    Reply

    bovada has lines up on most individual events..

    also  russia is now  -210 on 5dimes

     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2012 - 12:16 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by mr_bollox:



    really?

    what do you base that on, population size, russia isnt the USSR anymore .

    dont under estimate homefield advantage, GB has a lot of genuine gold contenders as well


    Homefield isn't enough to matter for GB/NI with regards to this prop.  It's not the same "advantage" a China or a U.S.A. would enjoy, tbh.  If it were GB/NI vs. a country they have historically been even with at the Olympics, then yes, worth a shot, but not against the Russians.  It will take a pretty big collapse on the Russians part to have the British and Northern Irish beat them out in the gold medal count.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by mr_bollox:



    really?

    what do you base that on, population size, russia isnt the USSR anymore .

    dont under estimate homefield advantage, GB has a lot of genuine gold contenders as well


    Homefield isn't enough to matter for GB/NI with regards to this prop.  It's not the same "advantage" a China or a U.S.A. would enjoy, tbh.  If it were GB/NI vs. a country they have historically been even with at the Olympics, then yes, worth a shot, but not against the Russians.  It will take a pretty big collapse on the Russians part to have the British and Northern Irish beat them out in the gold medal count.
     
    tmoss387
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    Posted: Jul. 21, 2012 - 12:16 PM ET #14

    what kind of gold medal threats do poland and greece have ?

    5dimes has   usain bolt golds vs greece golds,  and missy franklin golds vs poland golds

     

    i would favor bolt over greece, and poland over franklin, anybody have any insight on the greeks or poles ?

     

    Reply

    what kind of gold medal threats do poland and greece have ?

    5dimes has   usain bolt golds vs greece golds,  and missy franklin golds vs poland golds

     

    i would favor bolt over greece, and poland over franklin, anybody have any insight on the greeks or poles ?

     

     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jul. 21, 2012 - 5:25 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by tmoss387:

    what kind of gold medal threats do poland and greece have ?

    5dimes has   usain bolt golds vs greece golds,  and missy franklin golds vs poland golds

     

    i would favor bolt over greece, and poland over franklin, anybody have any insight on the greeks or poles ?

     



    Poland had three golds in the last two Summer Olympics.

    Greece had 4 in 2000, 6 in their home 2004 Olympics, 0 in 2008.

    Franklin will be in seven events and she holds the world record in two of them.

    Tough calls on both props.  Good luck!


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by tmoss387:

    what kind of gold medal threats do poland and greece have ?

    5dimes has   usain bolt golds vs greece golds,  and missy franklin golds vs poland golds

     

    i would favor bolt over greece, and poland over franklin, anybody have any insight on the greeks or poles ?

     



    Poland had three golds in the last two Summer Olympics.

    Greece had 4 in 2000, 6 in their home 2004 Olympics, 0 in 2008.

    Franklin will be in seven events and she holds the world record in two of them.

    Tough calls on both props.  Good luck!


     
    clepto
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    Posted: Jul. 21, 2012 - 7:44 PM ET #16

    I wouldn't touch a gold prop against the home side. Look what just happened in Vancouver with Canada setting a country and Olympic record for most golds at a winter games. GB is going to be winning gold(s)in cycling for sure.
    Reply
    I wouldn't touch a gold prop against the home side. Look what just happened in Vancouver with Canada setting a country and Olympic record for most golds at a winter games. GB is going to be winning gold(s)in cycling for sure.
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Jul. 21, 2012 - 8:13 PM ET #17

    Rowing and cycling are GB's strong disciplines
    Reply
    Rowing and cycling are GB's strong disciplines
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jul. 22, 2012 - 11:17 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by clepto:

    I wouldn't touch a gold prop against the home side. Look what just happened in Vancouver with Canada setting a country and Olympic record for most golds at a winter games. GB is going to be winning gold(s)in cycling for sure.


    Bad comparison, imo.  Canada is all about winter sport.  Sure, they have competitors in summer events, but it's not like you're going to see a Canadian in most or any track and field or swimming events.  Like has been said, cycling and rowing.  zzzzz....

    Winter events are different though as the whole country is geared toward winter sport, so homefield advantage in the winter olympics would be much more massive for Canada than if they hosted the summer olympics.

    GB isn't really geared around either summer or winter sport so I don't see their homefield being big enough a factor to overtake Russia.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by clepto:

    I wouldn't touch a gold prop against the home side. Look what just happened in Vancouver with Canada setting a country and Olympic record for most golds at a winter games. GB is going to be winning gold(s)in cycling for sure.


    Bad comparison, imo.  Canada is all about winter sport.  Sure, they have competitors in summer events, but it's not like you're going to see a Canadian in most or any track and field or swimming events.  Like has been said, cycling and rowing.  zzzzz....

    Winter events are different though as the whole country is geared toward winter sport, so homefield advantage in the winter olympics would be much more massive for Canada than if they hosted the summer olympics.

    GB isn't really geared around either summer or winter sport so I don't see their homefield being big enough a factor to overtake Russia.
     
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Jul. 23, 2012 - 10:42 PM ET #19

    I wouldn't discount GB entirely


    Reply
    I wouldn't discount GB entirely


     
    GSP10
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    Posted: Jul. 24, 2012 - 3:47 AM ET #20

    Australia vs France most gold medal h2h Aus 1.85 France 1.95? I like the Aussie's, especially as plenty of chances for medals in the pool
    Reply
    Australia vs France most gold medal h2h Aus 1.85 France 1.95? I like the Aussie's, especially as plenty of chances for medals in the pool
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jul. 24, 2012 - 2:56 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by GSP10:

    Australia vs France most gold medal h2h Aus 1.85 France 1.95? I like the Aussie's, especially as plenty of chances for medals in the pool


    Australia or no play.  Looks solid. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by GSP10:

    Australia vs France most gold medal h2h Aus 1.85 France 1.95? I like the Aussie's, especially as plenty of chances for medals in the pool


    Australia or no play.  Looks solid. 
     
    clepto
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    Posted: Aug. 6, 2012 - 11:40 AM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by txtechpika:

    I love Russia to have more Gold medals than GB+Northern Ireland at -175... 5 units on that... also love US more Gold Medals than China at -170... 5 units on that...

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by txtechpika:

    I love Russia to have more Gold medals than GB+Northern Ireland at -175... 5 units on that... also love US more Gold Medals than China at -170... 5 units on that...

     
    clepto
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    Posted: Aug. 6, 2012 - 11:41 AM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:



    Bad comparison, imo.  Canada is all about winter sport.  Sure, they have competitors in summer events, but it's not like you're going to see a Canadian in most or any track and field or swimming events.  Like has been said, cycling and rowing.  zzzzz....

    Winter events are different though as the whole country is geared toward winter sport, so homefield advantage in the winter olympics would be much more massive for Canada than if they hosted the summer olympics.

    GB isn't really geared around either summer or winter sport so I don't see their homefield being big enough a factor to overtake Russia.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:



    Bad comparison, imo.  Canada is all about winter sport.  Sure, they have competitors in summer events, but it's not like you're going to see a Canadian in most or any track and field or swimming events.  Like has been said, cycling and rowing.  zzzzz....

    Winter events are different though as the whole country is geared toward winter sport, so homefield advantage in the winter olympics would be much more massive for Canada than if they hosted the summer olympics.

    GB isn't really geared around either summer or winter sport so I don't see their homefield being big enough a factor to overtake Russia.

     
     
    clepto
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    Posted: Aug. 6, 2012 - 11:41 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by clepto:

    I wouldn't touch a gold prop against the home side. Look what just happened in Vancouver with Canada setting a country and Olympic record for most golds at a winter games. GB is going to be winning gold(s)in cycling for sure.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by clepto:

    I wouldn't touch a gold prop against the home side. Look what just happened in Vancouver with Canada setting a country and Olympic record for most golds at a winter games. GB is going to be winning gold(s)in cycling for sure.

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