Hendy's AFL Round 1 - First half

Bombers @ Crows

The Bummers are at full strength but they still named Kommer. That's either a really good or bad sign. I think that after last year, they are trying not to start the season with too many drugs, I mean to pace themselves a little better.
The Crows left out Crouch, which hurt my dreamteam AND supercoach teams.

The conditions are a bit wet and windy. I think the Bummers side is better suited to dry conditions and they have gone in a bit tall. There is talk about Danger being sick... it's BS apparently. Also, Crouch as a late inclusion... which I guess is fantasy football people being optimistic.

Either way, the home team gets the win. I think by 4-5 goals.

I thought about the total but this early in the season and on a wet track, I expect players to be really tired in the 4th. It could be good or bad so I'm going to stick with the Cows to win.

I watied for the teams before posting. Subs are:
Adelaide - Brodie Martin
Essendon - David Zaharakis

Cows -12.5 for me.

(I've jumped on the Sydney Kings train so hopefully that works for everyone on the forum)

oh and I forgot to mention the game is sold out.

Good news is that I used my same logic to follow with the Wildcats. With the Kings, Cats and Cows, I still am out in front.

Most of the rest of the forum went with the Bummers
...and thanks for the picks on the NBL.

Again, I'm not going to be really popular on this forum. I think the eGirls should beat Freo. I think both teams should show some real fight and the Western Derby is usually spiteful.

WCE are missing NicNat, Kerr, Rosa and Wellingham. The good problem for West Coast is that they have good replacements. Freo are in good form from kicking the doggies in Mandurah... but that wouldn't have been tricky. I think even Peel could have done that.

So I don't make the same mistake as last night, I'm going to go:
OVER 171.5
Dean Cox to win the Glendinning @ 9-1

Cox is clearly the best ruckman on the field. Unless someone gets 35 possies or 6 goals, I think he'll win it. When the eGirls were favourites, he was 5-1. When it changed, Fyfe became the fav.

The conditions in Perth are really great. It's a bit warm with a very slight breeze. One team should kick 100+. I can see LeCras and Ballentyne without good match ups. I can see the midfields and small forwards doing well.

Beware as I read the game totally wrong last night. Apologies to Kommer and anyone who trailed.

Sutcliffe and Embley the subs... I expect Lycett to make way early in the 3rd to give some run.

I really like the over 162.5 you can get live betting. Without the sun in their eyes, the scoring should pick up. There's been some poor skills on show.

Josh Kennedy is my pick for the medal but it wouldn't take much for anyone to stand up and grab the medal.

Hopefully I can salvage something with the Cheetahs... The Force don't win games.

OVER 171.5
Cox for the medal

I should probably stick to the totals. The games are happening how I expect but the teams are totally reversed.

Western Force

Cheetahs (but they did make me wait until the last 5 mins)

Swans will win by 80+... Take the first half - 25 lads. Money for jam. I got 400 on it

agreed Maddog. I got money at the half and plan to rebet it on Sydney at the half.

Lions grabbed that NAB curse.

swans

my footy tipping is 0-4. I am reading the flow of the games but the teams are totally reversed. I can't see GWS winning by 100.

Loading up on the Swans

Sore bum time for GWS

Well this isn't exactly going to plan at the moment

What a crock of shit.. What are Sydney doing letting gws score 5 straight goals.. Fucking cocks

Just scraped in my first half! I am in Canada and the site I use is being a biatch so I was headin to bed... Didn't expect Sydney to cover the 25 FH. That's made me a little happier. Got 200 on em -52... Good luck all. Im out

feck! stress but a good result. should have less stress for the rest of the game.

Sydney look underdone. GWS are first to the ball and the Swans have little structure going foreward. I am still confident but I am glad it is not a different team.

wtf