Cycling: Ardennes Classics - Amstel Gold (Sun), Fleche (Wed), Leige (Sun)

Amstel Gold.

1 unit Kroon @ $20
3.5 units Kroon to place @ $5.50

2 units Freire over 12.5 @ $1.90
2 units Kroon under 9.5 @ $2

7 units Kroon over Freire @ $1.75

Leaning Gerrans over Albasini @ $1.66 and Sanchez over Evans @ $2.40

This is Kroon's only objective for the year. He doesn't care about any other race. He wants this race bad.

A quarter of the field won't start including Ivanov.

The odds have changed but Kroon's remain high.

Like Gerrans here. Good shot to win. 6th last year.

3 units Gerrans over Albasini @ $1.75
2 units Gerrans over Vaugrenard @ $2.15
4 units Kolobnev over Leukemans @ $1.80

In-Play

4 units Kroon over Horner @ $1.70

3 units Gilbert over Rodriguez @ $1.71

Still 27km to go.

.2 units Gasparotto to win @ $101

1.5 units F Schleck over A Schleck @ $2.10

1.5 unit Kolobnev to win @ $9

1 unit Kroon @ $20 - 9th
3.5 units Kroon to place @ $5.50 - 9th

2 units Freire over 12.5 @ $1.90 - Not top 12
2 units Kroon under 9.5 @ $2 - 9th lol

7 units Kroon over Freire @ $1.75 9th v somewhere back
3 units Gerrans over Albasini @ $1.75
2 units Gerrans over Vaugrenard @ $2.15
4 units Kolobnev over Leukemans @ $1.80
4 units Kroon over Horner @ $1.70 - 9th v 10th
3 units Gilbert over Rodriguez @ $1.71 - easy
1.5 units F Schleck over A Schleck @ $2.10 - easy
1.5 unit Kolobnev @ $9 - attack didn't work. died off.
.3 unit Gasparotto @ $101 - third

I await the Gerrans and Kolobnev matchups.

1 unit Kroon @ $20 - 9th
3.5 units Kroon to place @ $5.50 - 9th

2 units Freire over 12.5 @ $1.90 - Not top 12
2 units Kroon under 9.5 @ $2 - 9th lol

7 units Kroon over Freire @ $1.75 9th v somewhere back
3 units Gerrans over Albasini @ $1.75
2 units Gerrans over Vaugrenard @ $2.15
4 units Kolobnev over Leukemans @ $1.80 22nd v 24th
4 units Kroon over Horner @ $1.70 - 9th v 10th
3 units Gilbert over Rodriguez @ $1.71 - easy
1.5 units F Schleck over A Schleck @ $2.10 - easy
1.5 unit Kolobnev @ $9 - attack didn't work. died off.
.3 unit Gasparotto @ $101 - third

Gerrans must be sick. Strange he finished over 3 minutes behind.

Shades of last year when Gilbert won me a lot of money. Going to stick with him for both Fleche and Leige. The guy's performance on Sunday was sensational. He won 4 one dayers in a row in 2 weeks October/November last year. I'm going to hope he has those legs.

4 units Gilbert to win @ $6
5 units Gilbert to place @ $2.35

.5 unit Kolobnev to win @ $25
.5 unit Kolobnev to place @ $8

.5 unit Kreuziger to win @ $50
.5 unit Kreuziger to palce @ $12

Kolobnev and Kreuziger are going to be great one day riders. They showed excellent stuff the other day. So did Frank Schleck and Cunego for that matter. But these guys are at long odds and better odds than Schleck and Cunego.

Kolobnev is going to break through at some point for a major one day win.

Before I placed the bet, I looked around at Bet365.

So it's adjusted and these are the plays.

2.5 units on the win @ $10 - I won't find better odds anywhere else.
4 units on the place @ $2.35

The other units go:

3 units Gilbert over Rodriguez @ $2.25

I may have a few more head to heads tomorrow but the above bets are placed.

I took Kolobnev at Unibet despite him being at better odds at Bet365 only because I have less money in there than bet365 and it doesn't phase me if I lose from the unibet balance.

2 units Kreuziger over Horner @ $2 (Unibet)
4 units A Schleck over Evans @ $2.10 (Bet365)
4 units Valverde over Rodriguez @ $1.50 (Sportingbet)
3 units Horner over Nibali @ $1.85 (Sportingbet)
4 units A Schleck over F Schleck @ $1.55 (Sportingbet)

Good luck!

In play 25km to go

5 units Kreuziger over Schleck @ $2.50

That is Frank Schleck.

I'll update those after the weekend but only got 2 of those head to heads.

Anyway

3.5 units Gilbert @ $5.75
.3 units Kolobnev @ $41
.3 units Kreuziger @ $29

4 units Andy over Frank @ $1.83
4 units Gerrans over Masciarelli @ $1.65

Good luck!

Pinnacle is offering Matchups for the race, the maximum is quite low right now (70 $) but it should increase by the day of the race.

Anyway, Andy is at 1.917 over Frank, Gerrans @ 1.694

I'm also wondering what you think about theses :

Valverde over Gilbert

Contador over Evans

Is Andy over Frank obvious ?

Thanks