Work has kept me away for ages now, but have been dropping in throughout the NBL season. I favour NSW in tonight's match, form means all in this format of the game and the VIC top order hasn't produced much at all lately. 120-130 could win it easily on this pitch.
No play on NSW though, playing a purely statistical angle in this, something which I never usually do. However, the numbers offered by the books are just far too attractive. On a pitch that has averaged approximately 45% of dismissals in the 'bowled' category for this tournament, $5.50 is over the odds imo. For opening batsmen, this percentage increases slightly to 46%. Throw in the fact that both bowling lineups are filled with top opening strike weapons and the NSW lineup has Warner, I'm playing:
MOD - 1st NSW wicket = Bowled @ $5.50 (0.75 unit)
MOD - 1st VIC wicket = Bowled @ $5.50 (0.5 unit)
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Work has kept me away for ages now, but have been dropping in throughout the NBL season. I favour NSW in tonight's match, form means all in this format of the game and the VIC top order hasn't produced much at all lately. 120-130 could win it easily on this pitch.
No play on NSW though, playing a purely statistical angle in this, something which I never usually do. However, the numbers offered by the books are just far too attractive. On a pitch that has averaged approximately 45% of dismissals in the 'bowled' category for this tournament, $5.50 is over the odds imo. For opening batsmen, this percentage increases slightly to 46%. Throw in the fact that both bowling lineups are filled with top opening strike weapons and the NSW lineup has Warner, I'm playing:
Good to see you about Rod. It surprises me they haven't adjusted their usual line, Hyderabad is a much better pitch than this goat track and openers there are much more likely to knick it or sky a catch. Guess the volume of wagers on these props doesn't really justify too much analysis though.
Good to see you about Rod. It surprises me they haven't adjusted their usual line, Hyderabad is a much better pitch than this goat track and openers there are much more likely to knick it or sky a catch. Guess the volume of wagers on these props doesn't really justify too much analysis though.
I'm just going to back under in the runs market. This Delhi pitch is a shocker and it wouldn't suprise me if we see another low scoring match between these 2 teams.
I'm just going to back under in the runs market. This Delhi pitch is a shocker and it wouldn't suprise me if we see another low scoring match between these 2 teams.
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