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    All Forums | Other

    Battler's AFL Round 13

    Aussie Battler
    unomysteez
    OzFactor
    Miracle1976
    binomial
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 593
    Posts: 23
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2009 - 7:47 AM ET #1

    YTD (18-36) -31.29 units
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
    A lot of big lines this week. Bombers v Blues should be a cracker on Friday.
     
    As bad as West Coast are, I'm not sure that Hawthorn should be laying 16.5 on the road, the Eagles usually find something at home.
     
    Sydney will lose again.
     
    The rest of the big favourites look pretty safe. Not sure what to make of those games.
     
     
     
    Good luck this week boys
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    YTD (18-36) -31.29 units
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
    A lot of big lines this week. Bombers v Blues should be a cracker on Friday.
     
    As bad as West Coast are, I'm not sure that Hawthorn should be laying 16.5 on the road, the Eagles usually find something at home.
     
    Sydney will lose again.
     
    The rest of the big favourites look pretty safe. Not sure what to make of those games.
     
     
     
    Good luck this week boys
     
    unomysteez
    unomysteez
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2009 - 8:17 AM ET #2

    Im really really liking the price on the bombers, and expect them to drift further. The public really loves the fave's priced from $1.40-$1.50...you see it week in and week out, it will come down to $1.40, Bombers should come to about $3.40 for the win below 40....great value.

    Forgive me, but my money is on Swans <40....$4.75!!!! wow....now before you start dismissing the Swans chances, I'm looking at this from an 'over the odds' position. Swans have their backs against the wall, and the around the ground match ups present well. Take these odds.

    Roll each of these separately into brisbane-saints-geelong all to win by 15.5+ for a really healthy return. If Bombers or Swans get up sit back and enjoy.


    Reply
    Im really really liking the price on the bombers, and expect them to drift further. The public really loves the fave's priced from $1.40-$1.50...you see it week in and week out, it will come down to $1.40, Bombers should come to about $3.40 for the win below 40....great value.

    Forgive me, but my money is on Swans <40....$4.75!!!! wow....now before you start dismissing the Swans chances, I'm looking at this from an 'over the odds' position. Swans have their backs against the wall, and the around the ground match ups present well. Take these odds.

    Roll each of these separately into brisbane-saints-geelong all to win by 15.5+ for a really healthy return. If Bombers or Swans get up sit back and enjoy.


     
    OzFactor
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2009 - 9:12 AM ET #3

    Your not wrong with the big lines.
     
    Always tempting to take the points.
     
    BOL this AB
     
    Reply
    Your not wrong with the big lines.
     
    Always tempting to take the points.
     
    BOL this AB
     
     
    OzFactor
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2009 - 9:15 AM ET #4

    forgot to add 'weekend' AB 
    Reply
    forgot to add 'weekend' AB 
     
    Miracle1976
    Miracle1976
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2009 - 9:17 AM ET #5

    Don't take the Swans here guys. I have 'enough' contact with the Adelaide player's to know how they handle these types of breaks and this is simply not a good spot here for Syd IMO.  Let's also take into consideration that Syd over the past few weeks are 'already' looking for the season to end with the comments that Roo's has been making, and now we see a side piggy backing a plyer to his 300th in Micky O which is fitting for the player but what does this really tell us about the direction of the footy club at the moment
     
    This is a spot where two sides are heading in opposite directions, throw in the fact that Swans age is becoming more of a liability for the speed of today's play, Adelaide has won the last 5 games against them which included 3 games at the SCG and also during their hay days, Adam Goodes is their only play maker which the Crows will look to shut down like they did with Judd and also the fact they have limited options up forward...don't think I need to go any further on which side I will be on come Sat afternoon.
     
    All fav's do look very good, it's just a matter of which one you can really trust to be focused...
    Reply
    Don't take the Swans here guys. I have 'enough' contact with the Adelaide player's to know how they handle these types of breaks and this is simply not a good spot here for Syd IMO.  Let's also take into consideration that Syd over the past few weeks are 'already' looking for the season to end with the comments that Roo's has been making, and now we see a side piggy backing a plyer to his 300th in Micky O which is fitting for the player but what does this really tell us about the direction of the footy club at the moment
     
    This is a spot where two sides are heading in opposite directions, throw in the fact that Swans age is becoming more of a liability for the speed of today's play, Adelaide has won the last 5 games against them which included 3 games at the SCG and also during their hay days, Adam Goodes is their only play maker which the Crows will look to shut down like they did with Judd and also the fact they have limited options up forward...don't think I need to go any further on which side I will be on come Sat afternoon.
     
    All fav's do look very good, it's just a matter of which one you can really trust to be focused...
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2009 - 8:50 PM ET #6

    Miracle, couldn't agree more re the Crows mate
    Reply
    Miracle, couldn't agree more re the Crows mate
     
    unomysteez
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2009 - 11:20 AM ET #7

    As predicted, Bombers under 40 now $3.50....great odds and I will definitely be getting on, 3 units. I feel as though the Dons will get over the line in a tough battle. Also may play the carlton/essendon half/full time double at $8 and c/c/c/e 4 quarters bet paying $34 (dont ask me why, never play these but Dons could get up in a big 4th after trailing the whole game) 
    Reply
    As predicted, Bombers under 40 now $3.50....great odds and I will definitely be getting on, 3 units. I feel as though the Dons will get over the line in a tough battle. Also may play the carlton/essendon half/full time double at $8 and c/c/c/e 4 quarters bet paying $34 (dont ask me why, never play these but Dons could get up in a big 4th after trailing the whole game) 
     
    binomial
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2009 - 11:53 PM ET #8

    mcveigh out for sydney doesn't help them.

    weather could be ordinairy in all outdoor games.
    Perth:

    SATPassing Showers. Mostly Sunny. Cool. Windy.40 km/h
    W
    4mm
    (50%)
    74%12
    17
    Reply
    mcveigh out for sydney doesn't help them.

    weather could be ordinairy in all outdoor games.
    Perth:

    SATPassing Showers. Mostly Sunny. Cool. Windy.40 km/h
    W
    4mm
    (50%)
    74%12
    17
     
    binomial
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2009 - 11:56 PM ET #9

    Brisbane:
    SATNumerous Showers. Morning Clouds. Cool. Breezy.32 km/h
    NNW
    8mm
    (72%)
    81%1321

    Makes it tough to take Brisbane although still difficult to take Melbourne.

    my leans are:
    Carlton 1-39
    Fremantle +39.5
    Adelaide -23.5
    WB -35.5 if weather is ok
    WC +16.5 if weather is poor
    St Kilda -40.5



    Reply
    Brisbane:
    SATNumerous Showers. Morning Clouds. Cool. Breezy.32 km/h
    NNW
    8mm
    (72%)
    81%1321

    Makes it tough to take Brisbane although still difficult to take Melbourne.

    my leans are:
    Carlton 1-39
    Fremantle +39.5
    Adelaide -23.5
    WB -35.5 if weather is ok
    WC +16.5 if weather is poor
    St Kilda -40.5



     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2009 - 12:15 AM ET #10

    Like them all binomial, except for maybe tonights game.
     
    I think Freo keep it closer than most expect, Sydney are lame ducks, WC are worth a couple extra goals at home and the Saints should win in a canter
    Reply
    Like them all binomial, except for maybe tonights game.
     
    I think Freo keep it closer than most expect, Sydney are lame ducks, WC are worth a couple extra goals at home and the Saints should win in a canter
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2009 - 2:19 AM ET #11

    Essendon (+13.5) @ $1.91 (2.5)
     
    Essendon 1-39 @ $3.40 (1)
    Reply
    Essendon (+13.5) @ $1.91 (2.5)
     
    Essendon 1-39 @ $3.40 (1)
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2009 - 2:23 AM ET #12

    Amend above to say:

    Essendon (+13.5) @ $1.91 (2.5)
     
    Essendon 1-39 @ $3.40 (0.5)
     
     
    Reply

    Amend above to say:

    Essendon (+13.5) @ $1.91 (2.5)
     
    Essendon 1-39 @ $3.40 (0.5)
     
     
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2009 - 8:21 AM ET #13

    Essendon (+13.5) @ $1.91 (2.5) =
     
    Essendon 1-39 @ $3.40 (0.5) =
    Reply
    Essendon (+13.5) @ $1.91 (2.5) =
     
    Essendon 1-39 @ $3.40 (0.5) =
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2009 - 7:33 PM ET #14

    Fremantle (+38.5) @ $1.91 (2)
     
    Fremantle (+20.5) @ $3.05 (1)
    Reply
    Fremantle (+38.5) @ $1.91 (2)
     
    Fremantle (+20.5) @ $3.05 (1)
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2009 - 7:36 PM ET #15

    Adelaide (-23.5) @ $1.91 (1.5)
     
    Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.20 (1)
    Reply
    Adelaide (-23.5) @ $1.91 (1.5)
     
    Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.20 (1)
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2009 - 7:42 PM ET #16

    Brisbane by 40 or more @ $1.85 (2)
    Reply
    Brisbane by 40 or more @ $1.85 (2)
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2009 - 7:51 PM ET #17

    Playing all of todays games:
     
     
    West Coast (+17.5) @ $1.91 (2.5)
     
    West Coast ml @ $3.00 (0.5)
    Reply
    Playing all of todays games:
     
     
    West Coast (+17.5) @ $1.91 (2.5)
     
    West Coast ml @ $3.00 (0.5)
     
    jdoobiz
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2009 - 8:24 PM ET #18

    battler
    Reply
    battler
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2009 - 2:38 AM ET #19

    Fremantle (+38.5) @ $1.91 (2) =
     
    Fremantle (+20.5) @ $3.05 (1) =
    Reply
    Fremantle (+38.5) @ $1.91 (2) =
     
    Fremantle (+20.5) @ $3.05 (1) =
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2009 - 3:53 AM ET #20

    Adelaide (-23.5) @ $1.91 (1.5) =
     
    Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.20 (1) =
    Reply
    Adelaide (-23.5) @ $1.91 (1.5) =
     
    Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.20 (1) =
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 27, 2009 - 8:09 PM ET #21

    Brisbane by 40 or more @ $1.85 (2) =
    West Coast (+17.5) @ $1.91 (2.5) =
    West Coast ml @ $3.00 (0.5) =
    Reply
    Brisbane by 40 or more @ $1.85 (2) =
    West Coast (+17.5) @ $1.91 (2.5) =
    West Coast ml @ $3.00 (0.5) =
     
    Aussie Battler
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    Posted: Jun. 30, 2009 - 9:15 PM ET #22

    Round 13 (5-4) +3.45 units
     
    YTD (23-40) -27.84 units
     
     
     
    Fuck me dead, a positive week
    Reply
    Round 13 (5-4) +3.45 units
     
    YTD (23-40) -27.84 units
     
     
     
    Fuck me dead, a positive week
     
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Jul. 1, 2009 - 2:56 PM ET #23

    Reply
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