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    All Forums | Other

    AFL Round 9

    peekay89
    Erich777
    HeadOverHeart
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    Views: 705
    Posts: 10
     
    peekay89
    peekay89
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    Posted: May. 16, 2016 - 4:41 AM ET #1

    Despite a 2-2 week we ended up well ahead thanks to both larger plays hitting in Eagles and Pies.

    This week:

    Hawthorn Hawks -12.5 against Sydney Swans

    I'm hoping Rioli comes back this week and like this small line with one of the best sides in history. Sure the loss of Hodge and Roughead from this side are big but Hawks play the MCG very well and often rise above and beyond against strong opposition.

    Think the Hawks forward line is way too quick and damaging for what the Swans will be able to handle.

    GWS Giants -17.5 against Western Bulldogs

    Giants are unstoppable at home; they've already dismantled the Hawks and Cats there and I can see the same against the Dogs. Dogs were very impressive early in the season but I feel they've dropped off slightly, GWS on the other hand have to be the in-form team of the competition. They are just relentless and explosive and their senior players are all performing and their youngsters are all guns.

    Also lean Demons against Lions but not official yet.

    BOL
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Despite a 2-2 week we ended up well ahead thanks to both larger plays hitting in Eagles and Pies.

    This week:

    Hawthorn Hawks -12.5 against Sydney Swans

    I'm hoping Rioli comes back this week and like this small line with one of the best sides in history. Sure the loss of Hodge and Roughead from this side are big but Hawks play the MCG very well and often rise above and beyond against strong opposition.

    Think the Hawks forward line is way too quick and damaging for what the Swans will be able to handle.

    GWS Giants -17.5 against Western Bulldogs

    Giants are unstoppable at home; they've already dismantled the Hawks and Cats there and I can see the same against the Dogs. Dogs were very impressive early in the season but I feel they've dropped off slightly, GWS on the other hand have to be the in-form team of the competition. They are just relentless and explosive and their senior players are all performing and their youngsters are all guns.

    Also lean Demons against Lions but not official yet.

    BOL
     
    Erich777
    Erich777
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    Posted: May. 16, 2016 - 7:22 AM ET #2

    Couldn't agree more on Giants
    Reply
    Couldn't agree more on Giants
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: May. 16, 2016 - 10:53 PM ET #3

    My Swans play the MCG about as good as the United States plays cricket.

    Normally you'd jump at a Sydney side getting so many points, but it's there for a reason.

    If Hawthorn come to play, the Swans will be up against it.

    Only true factor going against the Hawks is the stunning loss against Richmond drilling a hole up the Swans' bums.  That could give them a fire.
    Reply
    My Swans play the MCG about as good as the United States plays cricket.

    Normally you'd jump at a Sydney side getting so many points, but it's there for a reason.

    If Hawthorn come to play, the Swans will be up against it.

    Only true factor going against the Hawks is the stunning loss against Richmond drilling a hole up the Swans' bums.  That could give them a fire.
     
    peekay89
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 12:51 AM ET #4

    Hawks look like a shadow of their former selves to start this season but the loss of Roughead and Hodge leaves a bit of a gap. 

    They are just too well drilled and play the G too well so a line of 2 goals I'm happy to snap up when I know they can beat any good team by 40+ points on their day. 


    Reply
    Hawks look like a shadow of their former selves to start this season but the loss of Roughead and Hodge leaves a bit of a gap. 

    They are just too well drilled and play the G too well so a line of 2 goals I'm happy to snap up when I know they can beat any good team by 40+ points on their day. 


     
    peekay89
    peekay89
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    Posted: May. 18, 2016 - 3:41 AM ET #5

    Adding:

    Saints/Ess OVER 180.5 pts

    Really like this one. Think Worsfold and the coaching staff really need to look at their performance against the Roos and realise that when they play risky, non stop fast footy they can really trouble oppositions. Don't think Saints will mind matching them toe to toe.

    Fast end to end footy under the roof. Points points points!
    Reply
    Adding:

    Saints/Ess OVER 180.5 pts

    Really like this one. Think Worsfold and the coaching staff really need to look at their performance against the Roos and realise that when they play risky, non stop fast footy they can really trouble oppositions. Don't think Saints will mind matching them toe to toe.

    Fast end to end footy under the roof. Points points points!
     
    peekay89
    peekay89
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    Posted: May. 20, 2016 - 5:18 AM ET #6

    Final Card (all singles and multi/parlay)

    Hawthorn Hawks ML @ 1.81
    Adelaide Crows -53.5 @ 1.92
    GWS -17.5 @ 1.92
    Saints/Essendon OVER 180.5 @ 1.88

    4-leg multi pays @ 12.54

    Reply
    Final Card (all singles and multi/parlay)

    Hawthorn Hawks ML @ 1.81
    Adelaide Crows -53.5 @ 1.92
    GWS -17.5 @ 1.92
    Saints/Essendon OVER 180.5 @ 1.88

    4-leg multi pays @ 12.54

     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: May. 20, 2016 - 10:15 PM ET #7

    Do you trust Essendon to help you on that Over?  They only average 8 goals a game.

    If the Saints come out angry from last week with their typical strangling football, the Over might be a stretch. 


    Reply
    Do you trust Essendon to help you on that Over?  They only average 8 goals a game.

    If the Saints come out angry from last week with their typical strangling football, the Over might be a stretch. 


     
    peekay89
    peekay89
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    Posted: May. 21, 2016 - 2:19 AM ET #8

    I trust them enough to hopefully net me anywhere between 65-80
    Reply
    I trust them enough to hopefully net me anywhere between 65-80
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: May. 25, 2016 - 10:31 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by peekay89:

    I trust them enough to hopefully net me anywhere between 65-80


    The Bombers are as consistent as you can get on their team total.

    Just subtract around 65 from the game total and if you think their opposition can score that, go with the Over.

    Bombers have shown me nothing that they will move strongly away from their 8 goals-a-game average.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by peekay89:

    I trust them enough to hopefully net me anywhere between 65-80


    The Bombers are as consistent as you can get on their team total.

    Just subtract around 65 from the game total and if you think their opposition can score that, go with the Over.

    Bombers have shown me nothing that they will move strongly away from their 8 goals-a-game average.
     
     
    peekay89
    peekay89
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    Posted: May. 26, 2016 - 12:37 AM ET #10

    You are correct.

    I was close and whilst not making excuses because a lost bet is a lost bet, it was looking like getting there for a lot of the last quarter.

    What did the Bombers finish on? 62 points?

    Just hard not to imagine how in 4 quarters of football a team can't kick more than 60 points at Etihad Stadium in perfect conditions when you can get the ball from one end of the ground to the other in 3 kicks.
    Reply
    You are correct.

    I was close and whilst not making excuses because a lost bet is a lost bet, it was looking like getting there for a lot of the last quarter.

    What did the Bombers finish on? 62 points?

    Just hard not to imagine how in 4 quarters of football a team can't kick more than 60 points at Etihad Stadium in perfect conditions when you can get the ball from one end of the ground to the other in 3 kicks.
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