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    All Forums | Other

    AFL Round 5

    gmanea
    $CashingItIn$
    binomial
    tozer
    ecoute
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 309
    Posts: 22
     
    gmanea
    gmanea
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2008 - 4:53 AM ET #1

    13-5 YTD

    Adelaide -17.5
    This looks like the strongest bet on the board at the moment.
    Looking into the other games in more detail tomorrow night.

    Going to pass on the Friday night game, initial leans were towards St.Kilda but with Lloyd back in I think it balances it up a bit more and the line is probably about right.  Let's leave that game on the board.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    13-5 YTD

    Adelaide -17.5
    This looks like the strongest bet on the board at the moment.
    Looking into the other games in more detail tomorrow night.

    Going to pass on the Friday night game, initial leans were towards St.Kilda but with Lloyd back in I think it balances it up a bit more and the line is probably about right.  Let's leave that game on the board.
     
    $CashingItIn$
    $CashingItIn$
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2008 - 4:59 AM ET #2

    I'd bet Saints/Essendon OVER the total or nothing. Saints though are strugglers with kicking goals though. Nick used to be good, but now sucks, and that hurts the offense imo. Saints should be so much more of an offensive team than what they are at the moment.
    Reply
    I'd bet Saints/Essendon OVER the total or nothing. Saints though are strugglers with kicking goals though. Nick used to be good, but now sucks, and that hurts the offense imo. Saints should be so much more of an offensive team than what they are at the moment.
     
    gmanea
    gmanea
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2008 - 5:01 AM ET #3

    I agree Saints should be more of an offensive team with their firepower, but I don't agree that Nick sucks... he is just playing too far up the ground.
    Reply
    I agree Saints should be more of an offensive team with their firepower, but I don't agree that Nick sucks... he is just playing too far up the ground.
     
    binomial
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2008 - 7:34 AM ET #4

    I agree with you on Adelaide. Pity Reilley is still out, but they only make one minor change on the bench.
     
    Whereas Fremantle make five changes that I cant see helping, seems like alot of their players are playing out of position as named.
     
    Foll: Aaron Sandilands, Byron Schammer, Shaun McManus
    Don't this would be striking fear in the Adelaide camp.
     
     
    Reply
    I agree with you on Adelaide. Pity Reilley is still out, but they only make one minor change on the bench.
     
    Whereas Fremantle make five changes that I cant see helping, seems like alot of their players are playing out of position as named.
     
    Foll: Aaron Sandilands, Byron Schammer, Shaun McManus
    Don't this would be striking fear in the Adelaide camp.
     
     
     
    tozer
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2008 - 7:37 AM ET #5

    Gman, most likely that will be my main pick for Saturday too

    Good luck!!!!!!!!!!!

    Reply

    Gman, most likely that will be my main pick for Saturday too

    Good luck!!!!!!!!!!!

     
    gmanea
    gmanea
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2008 - 7:52 AM ET #6

    seems like you guys like it, maybe we will all cash in again. good luck all
    Reply
    seems like you guys like it, maybe we will all cash in again. good luck all
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2008 - 1:46 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by $CashingItIn$:

    I'd bet Saints/Essendon OVER the total or nothing. Saints though are strugglers with kicking goals though. Nick used to be good, but now sucks, and that hurts the offense imo. Saints should be so much more of an offensive team than what they are at the moment.


    Same thoughs here. Ross Lyons criticised the team and suggested forward changes. Directly targetted at Gherig. I would not be suprised to see the Saints goo direct to their talls. The only thing about the over however is whether the Saints will slow the play at the end of each quarter which effectively wastes 8-12 or possibly 3-4 goals.  Other considerations against the OVER is Flecther and Michael who have been solid for the Dons.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by $CashingItIn$:

    I'd bet Saints/Essendon OVER the total or nothing. Saints though are strugglers with kicking goals though. Nick used to be good, but now sucks, and that hurts the offense imo. Saints should be so much more of an offensive team than what they are at the moment.


    Same thoughs here. Ross Lyons criticised the team and suggested forward changes. Directly targetted at Gherig. I would not be suprised to see the Saints goo direct to their talls. The only thing about the over however is whether the Saints will slow the play at the end of each quarter which effectively wastes 8-12 or possibly 3-4 goals.  Other considerations against the OVER is Flecther and Michael who have been solid for the Dons.
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2008 - 7:43 PM ET #8

    The mighty adelaide crows. GL gman
    Reply
    The mighty adelaide crows. GL gman
     
    gmanea
    gmanea
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2008 - 4:45 AM ET #9

    oh god I been thinking I had won this bet for the last few hours and just realised it lost by 1/2 point.... kidding me
    Reply
    oh god I been thinking I had won this bet for the last few hours and just realised it lost by 1/2 point.... kidding me
     
    rod_steel
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2008 - 8:03 AM ET #10

    Didn't they win by 18?
    Reply
    Didn't they win by 18?
     
    rod_steel
    rod_steel
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2008 - 8:05 AM ET #11

    Ah sportal reported it incorrectly, lost by the hook. Unlucky.
    Reply
    Ah sportal reported it incorrectly, lost by the hook. Unlucky.
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2008 - 12:24 PM ET #12

    We needed, or I need, 2 more points at -18.5.  Dang....too close.  Got back and then some with the stronger Hawthorn play though.  Very fortunate to get through that wreckage intact.  I leaned the Roos, but stayed off, and it looked like that was a crazy match as well?! 
    Reply
    We needed, or I need, 2 more points at -18.5.  Dang....too close.  Got back and then some with the stronger Hawthorn play though.  Very fortunate to get through that wreckage intact.  I leaned the Roos, but stayed off, and it looked like that was a crazy match as well?! 
     
    gmanea
    gmanea
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2008 - 3:23 PM ET #13

    Adelaide winning by 17 (-17.5) was a disappointing 1/2 pt loss on the hook, I hope you found a better line.  There were a few better lines available but I release and grade my selections usually at the most commonly available line.  Can't win them all :( sigh.

    Anyhow, I thought long and hard about the following game and have decided to go with it.

    Port Adelaide -4.5
    Port are desperate for their first win of the season and are a much better side than their record would indicate.  It's no secret the Eagles midfield is suffering but even the inclusion of Embley and Fletcher will not be enough to help them here.  Port Adelaide have a good track record against the eagles and should have the stronger team on the field.  Port Adelaide were great last week against the Lions for nearly 3/4 of the game before fading out, I think they will use that for motivation this week to make sure they get the win.

    The other two games I don't feel too strongly about so will not force anything, hopefully settling for a 1-1 round.

    Good luck.
    Reply
    Adelaide winning by 17 (-17.5) was a disappointing 1/2 pt loss on the hook, I hope you found a better line.  There were a few better lines available but I release and grade my selections usually at the most commonly available line.  Can't win them all :( sigh.

    Anyhow, I thought long and hard about the following game and have decided to go with it.

    Port Adelaide -4.5
    Port are desperate for their first win of the season and are a much better side than their record would indicate.  It's no secret the Eagles midfield is suffering but even the inclusion of Embley and Fletcher will not be enough to help them here.  Port Adelaide have a good track record against the eagles and should have the stronger team on the field.  Port Adelaide were great last week against the Lions for nearly 3/4 of the game before fading out, I think they will use that for motivation this week to make sure they get the win.

    The other two games I don't feel too strongly about so will not force anything, hopefully settling for a 1-1 round.

    Good luck.
     
    showmethemoney1
    showmethemoney1
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2008 - 3:41 PM ET #14

    good luck ecoute
    Reply
    good luck ecoute
     
    gmanea
    gmanea
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2008 - 3:50 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by showmethemoney1:

    good luck ecoute


    ecoute

    haha wishing him luck because he'll be tailing me
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by showmethemoney1:

    good luck ecoute


    ecoute

    haha wishing him luck because he'll be tailing me
     
    Miracle1976
    Miracle1976
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2008 - 8:58 PM ET #16

    GL g-man.  I have the Port game as my POW so I hope you do go 1-1!  And Adel should never have let Freo back in the game, thus costing you on a
    Reply
    GL g-man.  I have the Port game as my POW so I hope you do go 1-1!  And Adel should never have let Freo back in the game, thus costing you on a
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2008 - 8:33 AM ET #17

    Fuck off Gman I am not trailling............. wish I could do it in the DT though.

    Found an interesting site by accident the other day that lets you determine who will play on who and their effectiveness in terms of DT points. I'll look for it again and post the link......... and try it next round
    Reply
    Fuck off Gman I am not trailling............. wish I could do it in the DT though.

    Found an interesting site by accident the other day that lets you determine who will play on who and their effectiveness in terms of DT points. I'll look for it again and post the link......... and try it next round
     
    gmanea
    gmanea
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2008 - 8:58 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    Fuck off Gman I am not trailling............. wish I could do it in the DT though.

    Found an interesting site by accident the other day that lets you determine who will play on who and their effectiveness in terms of DT points. I'll look for it again and post the link......... and try it next round


    I didn't say trailing, I said tailing :)  haha.

    Sounds like an interesting site, one tip... never have your guy as captain if he will be playing on ling :)
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    Fuck off Gman I am not trailling............. wish I could do it in the DT though.

    Found an interesting site by accident the other day that lets you determine who will play on who and their effectiveness in terms of DT points. I'll look for it again and post the link......... and try it next round


    I didn't say trailing, I said tailing :)  haha.

    Sounds like an interesting site, one tip... never have your guy as captain if he will be playing on ling :)
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2008 - 1:25 PM ET #19

    Post that site ecoute!
    Reply
    Post that site ecoute!
     
    Miracle1976
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2008 - 7:39 PM ET #20

    Yes ecoute, that site sounds great.
    Reply
    Yes ecoute, that site sounds great.
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2008 - 11:33 PM ET #21

    Hi guys, this is it. Found it accidently while looking for stats.
     
    https://www.fanfooty.com.au/
    Reply
    Hi guys, this is it. Found it accidently while looking for stats.
     
    https://www.fanfooty.com.au/
     
     
    Miracle1976
    Miracle1976
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2008 - 11:38 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    Hi guys, this is it. Found it accidently while looking for stats.
     
    https://www.fanfooty.com.au/

    Thankyou, hopefully it helps us

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    Hi guys, this is it. Found it accidently while looking for stats.
     
    https://www.fanfooty.com.au/

    Thankyou, hopefully it helps us

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