Looking at putting on some early bets to take opportunity of some tempting lines.
fremantle v essendon bulldogs+7.5 v geelong brisbane v port power +35.5 adelaide v west coast +35.5 st kilda v north mel +48.5
any thoughts on taking early lines?
Personally I think you are not 'on the money' with any of you games this week Oz. Ess game at pick'm with that many injuries and playing at Subi...fishy makes me think the choice is Ess, Geel may be just too physical for Bulldogs as they are yet to handle pressure (i.e. Saints about a month ago), Power really are that bad and when they lose (11 time this year) they go down without a fight...losing by over 50 points on 8 times I believe, West Coast have improved but they got smashed by a weak Port side 4 weeks ago so it seems hard to pick with that many points against an Adel side looking for a top 4 spot (and motivation will increase depending on the Friday night's result) and finally the Saints...not gd here for the Roo's new coach means distractions this week and now we have a interim coach no longer in the race...wonder where his mind is at
GL but again I wouldn't touch any of the above games you highlighted. My pick of the round would be Syd +29.5
Quote Originally Posted by OzFactor:
YTD 38-37-0
-1.5 UNITS
Looking at putting on some early bets to take opportunity of some tempting lines.
fremantle v essendon bulldogs+7.5 v geelong brisbane v port power +35.5 adelaide v west coast +35.5 st kilda v north mel +48.5
any thoughts on taking early lines?
Personally I think you are not 'on the money' with any of you games this week Oz. Ess game at pick'm with that many injuries and playing at Subi...fishy makes me think the choice is Ess, Geel may be just too physical for Bulldogs as they are yet to handle pressure (i.e. Saints about a month ago), Power really are that bad and when they lose (11 time this year) they go down without a fight...losing by over 50 points on 8 times I believe, West Coast have improved but they got smashed by a weak Port side 4 weeks ago so it seems hard to pick with that many points against an Adel side looking for a top 4 spot (and motivation will increase depending on the Friday night's result) and finally the Saints...not gd here for the Roo's new coach means distractions this week and now we have a interim coach no longer in the race...wonder where his mind is at
GL but again I wouldn't touch any of the above games you highlighted. My pick of the round would be Syd +29.5
fremantle v essendon:- Both sides risky @ best. Expecting close game as both have alot to prove here. Maybe " PYOL " either side with plenty.
bulldogs+7.5 v geelong :- Doggies have some huge OUTS. Cats "may" get Ottens back and have 5/6 wins over Dogs. Dogs almost beat Cats R9. Think Cats who just seem to do enough will do just that again. Maybe Cats - 8.5.
brisbane v port power +35.5 :- Agree but would probably take " PYOL " Port +50.5. They are still crap.
adelaide v west coast +35.5 :- I was thinking last year Crows lost the chance for TOP 4 finish in last round. Don't think it happens again. Even with Eagles great record there and this being the end of tough run, the Crows maybe all fired up. ADELAIDE - 36.5 I'll be crapping my pants though.
st kilda v north mel +48.5 :- Kanga caught Saints out last game with a quick beginning. Can't see that happening again. Saints by - 45.5.
Just my thoughts. Good news is I am usually wrong.
All the best again.
Wishing you all the best with your selections.
My humble thoughts:-
fremantle v essendon:- Both sides risky @ best. Expecting close game as both have alot to prove here. Maybe " PYOL " either side with plenty.
bulldogs+7.5 v geelong :- Doggies have some huge OUTS. Cats "may" get Ottens back and have 5/6 wins over Dogs. Dogs almost beat Cats R9. Think Cats who just seem to do enough will do just that again. Maybe Cats - 8.5.
brisbane v port power +35.5 :- Agree but would probably take " PYOL " Port +50.5. They are still crap.
adelaide v west coast +35.5 :- I was thinking last year Crows lost the chance for TOP 4 finish in last round. Don't think it happens again. Even with Eagles great record there and this being the end of tough run, the Crows maybe all fired up. ADELAIDE - 36.5 I'll be crapping my pants though.
st kilda v north mel +48.5 :- Kanga caught Saints out last game with a quick beginning. Can't see that happening again. Saints by - 45.5.
Just my thoughts. Good news is I am usually wrong.
I think Brisbane will cover against Port and this is not bias talking. Brisbane knowing we've got Sydney next week want to try going into the finals on a high. They will be instructed this week to go out as hard as they can and don't stop till they absolutely thrash them. Percentage is going to be the factor for 5th and 6th spot and a home final. Brisbane need to go out and thrash Port this week to have any hope of getting a home final.
I think Brisbane will cover against Port and this is not bias talking. Brisbane knowing we've got Sydney next week want to try going into the finals on a high. They will be instructed this week to go out as hard as they can and don't stop till they absolutely thrash them. Percentage is going to be the factor for 5th and 6th spot and a home final. Brisbane need to go out and thrash Port this week to have any hope of getting a home final.
Good spot for Adel even though there is a slight chance of rain here at the moment...but let's not all forget how bad of a travelling side the Eagles really are....I mean most of us fell in that trap last week with Freo and now we have the Eagles against a side still looking for a top 4 spot.
As for the Hawks...what you get each week nobody knows, even their coaching staff. Love the other two picks, especially the Carl game
Quote Originally Posted by OzFactor:
Playing all games today
CARLTON -41.5(2u) v melbourne
WEST COAST +32.5(2u) v adelaide
BRISBANE -32.5(2u) v port adelaide
HAWTHORN -18.5(2u) v richmond
Good spot for Adel even though there is a slight chance of rain here at the moment...but let's not all forget how bad of a travelling side the Eagles really are....I mean most of us fell in that trap last week with Freo and now we have the Eagles against a side still looking for a top 4 spot.
As for the Hawks...what you get each week nobody knows, even their coaching staff. Love the other two picks, especially the Carl game
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