AFL Round 12

Western Bulldogs vs Geelong.

Take the Western Bulldogs -4.5 points. Their midfield will seize control of the game by the last quarter and I expect English to have a massive say in the ruck against Stanley. He is midfielder playing within a 6ft'10 frame and those extra 20 disposals will prove very telling.

I also think Bontempelli is beginning to find his best form. Geelong's forwards will do as they please but the coach of Geelong (Chris Scott) is persistent with his traded-in recruits. They are getting old and unable to finish off games, Geelong are being exposed in this area against youthful sides who love to run and carry the footy.

Also a small lean on the over 166.5 points, Western Bulldogs 95 to Geelong 81.

2nd half live bet, Bulldogs -5.5

Geelong is old and the tsunami will come at some point in the third and fourth quarters

Bulldogs -4.5

Bulldogs 2nd half -5.5

Credit to Geelong. They hung on without their best player getting concussed in the first quarter. Did not think they would hold on as they did.