AFL Rd1

NAB: 3-1

Ending up well for NAB Cup as it was more clear IMO to pick towards the end...

Locked in already are the following:

Rich +16.5

Just love this spot after last year, coaches personal playing styles IMO have a major reflection on the way they want their team to play so I expect this game to stay close and thus I'm more than happy to take the points with the underdogs and besides I'm not a big fan at all of the Blues fab four (obviously minus Judd here) and then you take out Fev.  If it wasn't for him a few years ago then the wooden spoon would have looked even worse.

As for one of the fab four Gibbs =  Hewitt

Adel Pk or -2.5

Either pk or line should be ok here.  I have mentioned many times before that I know my Adel sides and have great knowledge of where they are at as clubs.  Very good spot here for the Crows as this won't be a high scoring game, however fitness and professionalism will nearly always win with the Crows over most clubs

Only other game I like at the moment is Melb +31.5.  Will sit on that one first and see what happens with the Tigers first on Thurs night.

P.S. I will state one other reason for taking the Tigers 'only' if they cover.  Maybe someone can guess the reason...

Not sure on the Hawks still, interesting game here for Melb and the fact that the Hawks play Geel the following week on Easter Monday

As for Freo they will prob not win a game away from WA and then after that they have a chance to only win about 4-5 of these games at home IMO.

Crap players = hard coaching = poor away form = wooden spoon

In the last 5 years (and you wouldn't look any further for sure) Melb would have covered the 31.5 spread on offer this weekend 5 out of the 6 times these sides have faced in that period...interesting even when Melb won the wodden spoon.  The only time the Hawks would have covered was Rd 1 2008.

Some teams just have trouble with others.

And SirG I believe Petrie wasn't going to play anyway due to suspension so the broken foot wouldn't have moved the line   

You are correct Bolar as the Hawks did win that Rd1 game in 2008 by over 100 points but the second time they played them when the Hawks went on the win the GF and Melb won the wooden spoon they would have covered this weeks spread of 31.5

Would love to tell you boys how I know what team Adel is going to field this week but I simply can't.  From what I know I'm more then happy to still take the Croaws this weekend.  I'm breaking one of my golden rules by taking an away side playing interstate but then again the lines almost at pk and we are talking about Freo

Tigers IMO find a way to play a style of football that keeps this game close and from the sides I find one player who'll stand out more then most and keep this game close off his own back, can't say who but he has won a brownlow, been an AFL captain and played in a Flag...just watch and see what it takes to be a champion player tonight and see how someone can carry a side

Tigers +16.5

As good as their first game last year.  My brother will suffer like the rest of Richmond supports this year