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AFL Rd 5

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Posted: #1
Record 3-2
 
Very simple as I have stated in the discussion thread.
 
Port -5.5 @ Centrebet
 
The above is my POW.  I will only have a few of these a year, but please don't tail blindly.
 
Also adding further comments upon the discussion thread are:
 
- Head-to-Head: West Coast 5, Port 11
- Port has won 11 of the past 13 games against West Coast
- The affects of no Judd or Cousins will be noticed even more after each week
- Don't know where the goals will come from for the Eagles
- Cornes will tag Kerr out of the game
- A very respected player in Lade is playing his 200th game
 
That's enough factors for me, GL everyone 
 
 
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Posted: #2
Embley and Fletcher back in should help the eagles at home versus the port who are yet to win a game this year (0-4)...
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by gmanea:

Embley and Fletcher back in should help the eagles at home versus the port who are yet to win a game this year (0-4)...

Considered that, but still think both are undedone, and still don't think they score any goals.  The Eagles have scored less points then Melb, which is really really bad considering where Melb's side are travelling at the moment!

And l know Port's record at the moment isn't great, but West Coast isn't that good either.  If it wasn't for a good forth quarter against Bris in the first game they would be 0-4 as well.

 
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Posted: #4
GL mate non commital on this game but something to consider.
 
Against the Swans and with a number of their key players sitting on the bench the Weagles kicked 1-10, ie, 11 scoring shots.
 
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Posted: #5
Port is out to -5.5 now?! 

I still have this match at a pick 'em!  Are you getting + money here?
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:

Port is out to -5.5 now?! 

I still have this match at a pick 'em!  Are you getting + money here?

Don't really understand your question, -5.5 isn't +money...

And I'd love to have them at pick'm, but honestly I think they win by about 20-25 points here.

 
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Posted: #7
No, no, sorry, I meant is your -5.5 @ 1.91 or something like 2.3?

I have a pick 'em at 1.83.
 
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Posted: #8

02:40 West Coast v Pt Adelaide  

  •     Price
  •     Price
  • West Coast   1.83
  • Pt Adelaide   1.83
 
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Posted: #9
Apparently there's been big money for Port...
 
 
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Posted: #10
Which one of you guys pushed the line this much
 
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Posted: #11
Wow.  Thanks tozer.  Another great reason why I am using the far inferior, yet beautifully vanilla book for NRL and AFL.  They are waaaay behind the game.

---

And who the hell would taken 1.01 on anything? 

BRISBANE Lions' barnstorming last-quarter win against Port Adelaide really hurt a handful of Betfair clients.

When Port extended its lead to 47 points deep into the third quarter, more than $4000 in bets were matched on Port at the shortest price possible, $1.01.


 
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Posted: #12
Well, truthfully tozer, it was me.....I put .50 cents on Port.............



............combined with Dees to win the flag, Souths to win the GF, and Force India to win Constructors.

Obviously, they ain't taking any chances!







 
 
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Posted: #13
LOL someone put $5k on the Weagles to get the wooden spoon
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:

Wow.  Thanks tozer.  Another great reason why I am using the far inferior, yet beautifully vanilla book for NRL and AFL.  They are waaaay behind the game.

---

And who the hell would taken 1.01 on anything? 

BRISBANE Lions' barnstorming last-quarter win against Port Adelaide really hurt a handful of Betfair clients.

When Port extended its lead to 47 points deep into the third quarter, more than $4000 in bets were matched on Port at the shortest price possible, $1.01.



I would grab it. Interesting stat this year, every line that has moved more than 3 points (that I have seen) has won to the team the way the line was going. Make sense? go port IMO
 
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Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:

No, no, sorry, I meant is your -5.5 @ 1.91 or something like 2.3?

I have a pick 'em at 1.83.

Ok...me understand. $1.91 is what I got at -5.5, but haven't placed the bet yet, but will do after the baseball finishes today, but just got screwed by Bobby Jenks of CWS coughing up a 2 run lead in the 9th to eventually go down in the 10th....my luck continues  

 
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Posted: #16
tozer.....wow, definitely an interesting stat.  I favored Port all the way to begin with, when the head-to-heads came out, as I think they are a very good team that just haven't clicked yet.  Eagles are decent, but cracked and broken right now and will need some cohesion to upstart the Power this round, IMO.  Since it is the late game, I fully expect my book to still have it as a pick 'em, so I will wait a bit...hahaha...

Miracle1976, man, I feel for you there.  I really liked the White Sox today, but hate playing MLB bullpens, so I took the 1st 5 Innings route.  Sorry about your moose.
 
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Posted: #17
One thing I think is ceratin Port will not continue losing (at this rate anyway), I agree they are a good team -  with some of the most talented players going around.
 
They played very good last week but when it started raining Bris killed them (1. fatigue, 2. Bris has better in and under players that get the contested ball out of the packs, which is what you need when its wet, Luke Power & Black are both in the top 5 in the league for contested possesions). So especially if its not going to rain, I think they'll win and win comfortably. Good luck Miracle!!!!!
 
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Posted: #18
Thanks tozer, hopefully the monies right
 
 
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Posted: #19
I thought about taking WC for wooden spoon earlier in the week @ $13. Their home draw is pretty brutal.
 
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However, can't really see Melbourne winning three games they way they are playing.
 
 
Port have looked impressive at times. Round 1 they only lost to Geelong by 9 points, i don't think many teams will get that close this season, the showdown was a great game with both sides playing well and last week they were on fire in the first half before they fell in one of the biggest holes ever.
 
West Coast have looked lacklustre since R1 when they beat Brisbane. I am not sure Embley and Fletcher will help that much. They have struggled for form at least partly due to drawing better quality defenders.
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