AFL R11

St.Kilda -37.5
The biggest difference is in the midfield.  Saints have similar bodies to those of Geelong and Richmond couldn''t come close then.  I'm not expecting a blow out to the same proportions but Saints should easily cover 38 points.

Plus didnt they beat Richmond last time by 56?

Yes they did but they probably had Riewoldt in at that time, their game plan has changed a little since then.  Regardless, too much talent compared to Richmond.

GL, do like the Saints here. Richmond had their win last week

wow close

On a bit of a roll fortunately.

Adding:

Fremantle -17.5
Brisbane -11.5
Western Bulldogs +6.5

Still looking into other games.

GL mate

Adding:

Carlton/Melbourne U179.5 @ centrebet
It has just started really pouring here in Melbourne and the MCG is really copping it.  MCG has pretty decent drainage but either way the ground will be wet and slippery, add to that Melbourne games have been typically low scoring plus Carlton's defense has been a little better this year than recent years.  Get on this one before line goes down.

Carlton on a rampage, 4 goals half way into the qtr

31-1 after 16 minutes.
Carlton kicking long and taking some big marks right in front of goal. too easy so far

The under should still be fine. I took it at 201.5 just before.

Carlton are out to an easy early lead and it should pelt down with rain soon.

60 points in the first qtr...
certainly will have to be a lot of scrap.

If Carlton score 130, the under has lost.

Melbourne won't want to be flogged, so they should try and dry up the scoring. Certainly I can't see Melbourne getting more than 50 points today.

The total is at 179.5 if you want to hedge! It's tempting considering I have the under 201.5

176 now.

I hedged.

Under 177.5
Over 176.5
Under 201.5

Should come out of this with a winning day.

nice Job bolar.
Under looks good again now after 3 goal 2nd qtr.

i remember getting second half middles on totals of 20points gap a few times in NBA, usually won.

Yeah, Bet365 totals go all over the place during games. Didn't need to hedge, but thought its better to be safe than sorry.

well a middle is different than a hedge, sometimes can be good

This game will probably turn out to be a score friendly third but a sloppy fourth.

tough night at the office.

Adding:

Sydney -6.5

a close one