AFL Finals Wk1

Odds as of Sunday 4/9 sportsbet.com.au

Friday.

Geelong ($1.74) Vs Hawthorn ($2.15) @ MCG

Cats -3.5

Saturday.

Collingwood ($1.25) Vs West Coast ($4) @ MCG

Pies -26.5

Saturday Night.

St Kilda ($1.45) Vs Sydney ($2.75) @ Etihad

St Kilda -14.5

Sunday.

Carlton ($1.50) Vs Essendon ($2.60) @ MCG

Carlton -17.5

Finally Week One of the finals has arrived, and some serious football is about to go down!  What are thoughts on these matches.

Personally I think Geelong can taste blood after their destruction of the Pies in Rd 24 and as such am liking the -3.5 on offer.  Hawks of the regular season were a side that destroyed weaker units but struggled against upper echelon teams.  Having said that, the Hawks have a number of big time impact players in the likes of Franklin and Rioli who could turn up and win the game off their own boot.  But I don't think this will happen, and Clarkson's resting of players in Rd 24 will come back to bite him and the Hawks.

WCE-Pies is difficult for me as I am an Eagles supporter.  Are the Eagles a legitimate chance or is this a great spot to hammer the Pies line and their H2H in a multi bet perhaps.  I cannot tell without some level of bias!

Liking the StKilda Head to Head price as I think the Swans have been mediocre for large parts of the season.

These are very preliminary thoughts and I'm yet to really take a look at 1-39's, HT/FT doubles or first qtr lines, but thought I'd get the ball rolling.

 This is the best part of the sporting calendar! Let's get that cash Covers friends!!

Geelong-St Kilda the 'Chip on the Shoulder' Special @ $2.52

Swans have a history of running close to the Saints as both play a similar style of footy.  I would take the Swans and the 14.5, but wouldn't back them outright.

Sydney catching 16.5 now.  19.5 at $1.72.

Yessir.

Don't mind that Headoverheart, and I was waiting to see what the under over is for this match too, but sportsbet havnt got it up yet.

Was considering the tri bet Either Team under 15.5 also.

cats now -5.5

Even though I love my Swannies, Saints v. Swans matches are required therapy for insomniacs.  Works like a charm.  Especially bitter since the Red and White are losing on the wrong end of the outcome too.

actually i retract my call but the 30-50 point win for pies. after seeing th eblokes they have 'rushed' back in (maxwell, shaw, tarrent) i see this being close as the forwards of WCE are very tall. 

I think $4 for the Weagles is a bargain.

Their defence, their midfield is underrated. I think they can upset the Pies or at least cover  

Let's go West Coast, hope it stays dry!
GL

SWANNIES!!!!!!!!!!!!!