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    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    Two picks a day keep the doctor away

    1234 Next Last»
    esposito10304
    Krisamons
    Lar1212
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 11281
    Posts: 84
    1234 Next Last»
     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2019
    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 2, 2019 - 8:42 AM ET #1

    Two picks a day, mostly favorites, with some weird custom money management. Wagers are indicated in % of bank involved.

     

    Sabres ML -127 (1.27%)

    Islanders -1 -130 (1.30%)

     

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Two picks a day, mostly favorites, with some weird custom money management. Wagers are indicated in % of bank involved.

     

    Sabres ML -127 (1.27%)

    Islanders -1 -130 (1.30%)

     

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 3, 2019 - 1:33 PM ET #2

    2-0 (+2%)

     

    Bruins -1 108 (0.93%) They gotta lose, one day, wrong?

    Canadiens ML -118 (1.18%) They gotta win, one day, right?

     

    Reply

    2-0 (+2%)

     

    Bruins -1 108 (0.93%) They gotta lose, one day, wrong?

    Canadiens ML -118 (1.18%) They gotta win, one day, right?

     

     
    Krisamons
    Krisamons
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    Joined: Oct, 2016
    Posts: 3603
    Posted: Dec. 3, 2019 - 2:21 PM ET #3

    Like them both 
    BOL
    Reply
    Like them both 
    BOL
     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
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    Joined: May, 2019
    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2019 - 2:02 AM ET #4

    Thanks Krisamons, I like them even more now! 

    Reply

    Thanks Krisamons, I like them even more now! 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2019
    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2019 - 10:18 AM ET #5

    4-0 (+4%)

     

    Oilers -1 -137 (1.37%)

    Avalanche +0.5 Reg -130 (1.30%) 

    Reply

    4-0 (+4%)

     

    Oilers -1 -137 (1.37%)

    Avalanche +0.5 Reg -130 (1.30%) 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2019
    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 5, 2019 - 4:42 AM ET #6

    I will use custom odds from time to time (certainly today), odds that previously existed at my bookie before disappearing, like -0.75 or -1.25 etc.

    Take -1.25 for ex: I bet to win half the expected profit on -1 and half on -1.5. If it wins by 1 goal, I push the first bet and lose the second one, which is necessarily lower. Less juice and less than half-loss if the team doesn't cover. 

    Other ex., -0.75: bet to win half on ML and half on -1. Win by 1 goal, you get a half-win.

    All combinations are possible, including OT and reg for ex., depending on the odds and my feelings about the risk to assume on the particular game.

    However, custom odds will be recorded as 1 single bet (half-loss recorded as a loss for ex.) but I'll show the details FYI (and for those who'd like to tail...).

    Reply

    I will use custom odds from time to time (certainly today), odds that previously existed at my bookie before disappearing, like -0.75 or -1.25 etc.

    Take -1.25 for ex: I bet to win half the expected profit on -1 and half on -1.5. If it wins by 1 goal, I push the first bet and lose the second one, which is necessarily lower. Less juice and less than half-loss if the team doesn't cover. 

    Other ex., -0.75: bet to win half on ML and half on -1. Win by 1 goal, you get a half-win.

    All combinations are possible, including OT and reg for ex., depending on the odds and my feelings about the risk to assume on the particular game.

    However, custom odds will be recorded as 1 single bet (half-loss recorded as a loss for ex.) but I'll show the details FYI (and for those who'd like to tail...).

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2019
    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 5, 2019 - 8:36 AM ET #7

    5-1 (+3.6%)

     

    Bruins -1 -148 (1.38%)

    Bruins -1.5 +113 (0.83%)

     

    Hurricanes -1 -104 (1.04%) 

    Reply

    5-1 (+3.6%)

     

    Bruins -1 -148 (1.38%)

    Bruins -1.5 +113 (0.83%)

     

    Hurricanes -1 -104 (1.04%) 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2019
    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 6, 2019 - 4:11 AM ET #8

    5-2-1 (+1.4%)

     

    Today, all-in Penguins, with a -1.25 on play 1 and single -1 on play 2. 

     

    Play 1:

    Penguins -1 -115 (1.56%)

    Penguins -1.5 +143 (0.95%)

    Play 2: 

    Penguins -1 -115 (1.15%)

    Reply

    5-2-1 (+1.4%)

     

    Today, all-in Penguins, with a -1.25 on play 1 and single -1 on play 2. 

     

    Play 1:

    Penguins -1 -115 (1.56%)

    Penguins -1.5 +143 (0.95%)

    Play 2: 

    Penguins -1 -115 (1.15%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2019
    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2019 - 6:04 AM ET #9

    Tonight, I can't decide between Flyers and Preds. Both opponents are weak but Preds seems more overpriced. If I want a cheap price, I got to go with -1 reg...

    Reply

    Tonight, I can't decide between Flyers and Preds. Both opponents are weak but Preds seems more overpriced. If I want a cheap price, I got to go with -1 reg...

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 7, 2019 - 6:49 AM ET #10

    7-2-1 (+5.1%)

     

    Play 1:

    Predators -1 Reg -114 (1.14%)

    Play 2:

    Stars -1 +119 (0.84%)

    Reply

    7-2-1 (+5.1%)

     

    Play 1:

    Predators -1 Reg -114 (1.14%)

    Play 2:

    Stars -1 +119 (0.84%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 8, 2019 - 4:18 AM ET #11

    an_timeout 

    on the right side, this time... 

    Reply

    an_timeout 

    on the right side, this time... 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2019
    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 8, 2019 - 8:30 AM ET #12

    9-2-1 (+7.1%)

     

    Tonight, double-bet on Vegas. Check it out:

     

    Play 1:

    Vegas -1 -137 (1.37%)

    Play 2:

    Vegas -1 Reg -101 (1.01%)

    Reply

    9-2-1 (+7.1%)

     

    Tonight, double-bet on Vegas. Check it out:

     

    Play 1:

    Vegas -1 -137 (1.37%)

    Play 2:

    Vegas -1 Reg -101 (1.01%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 8, 2019 - 10:15 AM ET #13

    Tonight's bets will be recorded as 1 single bet only (for ex.: 1 push+1 loss= 1 loss)

    Reply

    Tonight's bets will be recorded as 1 single bet only (for ex.: 1 push+1 loss= 1 loss)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 9, 2019 - 1:53 AM ET #14

    Hey, who poisoned Vegas' milk yesterday? 

    Reply

    Hey, who poisoned Vegas' milk yesterday? 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 9, 2019 - 8:32 AM ET #15

    9-3-1 (+4.8%)

     

    Play 1:

    Capitals Reg -135 (1.14%)

    Capitals -1 reg -103 (0.87%)

     

    Play 2:

    Colorado -1 -102 (1.72%)

     

     

    Reply

    9-3-1 (+4.8%)

     

    Play 1:

    Capitals Reg -135 (1.14%)

    Capitals -1 reg -103 (0.87%)

     

    Play 2:

    Colorado -1 -102 (1.72%)

     

     

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
    Prospect
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 9, 2019 - 12:48 PM ET #16

    Avs line moved a lot...too bad, with a -141 ML I would have made a -0.75 instead of -1.

    Reply

    Avs line moved a lot...too bad, with a -141 ML I would have made a -0.75 instead of -1.

     
    Lar1212
    Lar1212
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    Posts: 12908
    Posted: Dec. 9, 2019 - 4:59 PM ET #17

    peace_5

    Reply

    peace_5

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 10, 2019 - 8:35 AM ET #18

    Lar1212 peace_5 (despite the bad night...)

     

    9-5-1 (+1%)

     

    Tonight, one fat double-bet -1.75 on Winnipeg. Why ? Why not?

     

    Jets -1.5 -107 (2.53%)

    Jets -2 +127 (1.86%)

    Reply

    Lar1212 peace_5 (despite the bad night...)

     

    9-5-1 (+1%)

     

    Tonight, one fat double-bet -1.75 on Winnipeg. Why ? Why not?

     

    Jets -1.5 -107 (2.53%)

    Jets -2 +127 (1.86%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 10, 2019 - 8:58 AM ET #19

    Big line movement just after my bet. -1.5 is now +103 an_arsed

    Reply

    Big line movement just after my bet. -1.5 is now +103 an_arsed

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 11, 2019 - 2:47 PM ET #20

    10-5-1 (+5.8%)

     

    Another double-bet tonight

    Colorado  -1 +103 (3.28%)

    Reply

    10-5-1 (+5.8%)

     

    Another double-bet tonight

    Colorado  -1 +103 (3.28%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2019 - 4:12 AM ET #21

    11-5-1 (+9.1%)

     

    Back to smaller bets, to win 1%

     

    Jets -1 -119 (1.19%)

    Penguins -1 -103 (1.03%)

    Reply

    11-5-1 (+9.1%)

     

    Back to smaller bets, to win 1%

     

    Jets -1 -119 (1.19%)

    Penguins -1 -103 (1.03%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2019 - 8:47 AM ET #22

    Updated record : 10-5-1

    Counting penguins bets post #8 as a single win. The only guy here who lowers his record (if it doesn't make sense to you, it does for my own maths) 

    Reply

    Updated record : 10-5-1

    Counting penguins bets post #8 as a single win. The only guy here who lowers his record (if it doesn't make sense to you, it does for my own maths) 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 13, 2019 - 4:57 AM ET #23

    10-6-2 (+7.9%)

     

    No win yesterday, limited casualties though. Tonight, double-bet on Colorado.

    Avs -1 Reg -123 (1.65%)

    Avs -1.5 +106 (1.27%)

    Reply

    10-6-2 (+7.9%)

     

    No win yesterday, limited casualties though. Tonight, double-bet on Colorado.

    Avs -1 Reg -123 (1.65%)

    Avs -1.5 +106 (1.27%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 14, 2019 - 1:24 AM ET #24

    Hit the +10% mark, saved by the empty net an_2drinks

    Reply

    Hit the +10% mark, saved by the empty net an_2drinks

     
     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posts: 321
    Posted: Dec. 14, 2019 - 10:12 AM ET #25

    11-6-2 (+10.6%)

     

    Canadiens -1 reg -125 (1.25%)

    Coyotes -1 -125 (1.25%)

    Reply

    11-6-2 (+10.6%)

     

    Canadiens -1 reg -125 (1.25%)

    Coyotes -1 -125 (1.25%)

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