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    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    Two picks a day keep the doctor away

    1234 Next Last»
    esposito10304
    Krisamons
    Lar1212
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    1234 Next Last»
     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 2, 2019 - 8:42 AM ET #1

    Two picks a day, mostly favorites, with some weird custom money management. Wagers are indicated in % of bank involved.

     

    Sabres ML -127 (1.27%)

    Islanders -1 -130 (1.30%)

     

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Two picks a day, mostly favorites, with some weird custom money management. Wagers are indicated in % of bank involved.

     

    Sabres ML -127 (1.27%)

    Islanders -1 -130 (1.30%)

     

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 3, 2019 - 1:33 PM ET #2

    2-0 (+2%)

     

    Bruins -1 108 (0.93%) They gotta lose, one day, wrong?

    Canadiens ML -118 (1.18%) They gotta win, one day, right?

     

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    2-0 (+2%)

     

    Bruins -1 108 (0.93%) They gotta lose, one day, wrong?

    Canadiens ML -118 (1.18%) They gotta win, one day, right?

     

     
    Krisamons
    Krisamons
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    Posted: Dec. 3, 2019 - 2:21 PM ET #3

    Like them both 
    BOL
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    Like them both 
    BOL
     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 4, 2019 - 2:02 AM ET #4

    Thanks Krisamons, I like them even more now! 

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    Thanks Krisamons, I like them even more now! 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 4, 2019 - 10:18 AM ET #5

    4-0 (+4%)

     

    Oilers -1 -137 (1.37%)

    Avalanche +0.5 Reg -130 (1.30%) 

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    4-0 (+4%)

     

    Oilers -1 -137 (1.37%)

    Avalanche +0.5 Reg -130 (1.30%) 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2019 - 4:42 AM ET #6

    I will use custom odds from time to time (certainly today), odds that previously existed at my bookie before disappearing, like -0.75 or -1.25 etc.

    Take -1.25 for ex: I bet to win half the expected profit on -1 and half on -1.5. If it wins by 1 goal, I push the first bet and lose the second one, which is necessarily lower. Less juice and less than half-loss if the team doesn't cover. 

    Other ex., -0.75: bet to win half on ML and half on -1. Win by 1 goal, you get a half-win.

    All combinations are possible, including OT and reg for ex., depending on the odds and my feelings about the risk to assume on the particular game.

    However, custom odds will be recorded as 1 single bet (half-loss recorded as a loss for ex.) but I'll show the details FYI (and for those who'd like to tail...).

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    I will use custom odds from time to time (certainly today), odds that previously existed at my bookie before disappearing, like -0.75 or -1.25 etc.

    Take -1.25 for ex: I bet to win half the expected profit on -1 and half on -1.5. If it wins by 1 goal, I push the first bet and lose the second one, which is necessarily lower. Less juice and less than half-loss if the team doesn't cover. 

    Other ex., -0.75: bet to win half on ML and half on -1. Win by 1 goal, you get a half-win.

    All combinations are possible, including OT and reg for ex., depending on the odds and my feelings about the risk to assume on the particular game.

    However, custom odds will be recorded as 1 single bet (half-loss recorded as a loss for ex.) but I'll show the details FYI (and for those who'd like to tail...).

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2019 - 8:36 AM ET #7

    5-1 (+3.6%)

     

    Bruins -1 -148 (1.38%)

    Bruins -1.5 +113 (0.83%)

     

    Hurricanes -1 -104 (1.04%) 

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    5-1 (+3.6%)

     

    Bruins -1 -148 (1.38%)

    Bruins -1.5 +113 (0.83%)

     

    Hurricanes -1 -104 (1.04%) 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 6, 2019 - 4:11 AM ET #8

    5-2-1 (+1.4%)

     

    Today, all-in Penguins, with a -1.25 on play 1 and single -1 on play 2. 

     

    Play 1:

    Penguins -1 -115 (1.56%)

    Penguins -1.5 +143 (0.95%)

    Play 2: 

    Penguins -1 -115 (1.15%)

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    5-2-1 (+1.4%)

     

    Today, all-in Penguins, with a -1.25 on play 1 and single -1 on play 2. 

     

    Play 1:

    Penguins -1 -115 (1.56%)

    Penguins -1.5 +143 (0.95%)

    Play 2: 

    Penguins -1 -115 (1.15%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2019 - 6:04 AM ET #9

    Tonight, I can't decide between Flyers and Preds. Both opponents are weak but Preds seems more overpriced. If I want a cheap price, I got to go with -1 reg...

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    Tonight, I can't decide between Flyers and Preds. Both opponents are weak but Preds seems more overpriced. If I want a cheap price, I got to go with -1 reg...

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2019 - 6:49 AM ET #10

    7-2-1 (+5.1%)

     

    Play 1:

    Predators -1 Reg -114 (1.14%)

    Play 2:

    Stars -1 +119 (0.84%)

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    7-2-1 (+5.1%)

     

    Play 1:

    Predators -1 Reg -114 (1.14%)

    Play 2:

    Stars -1 +119 (0.84%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2019 - 4:18 AM ET #11

    an_timeout 

    on the right side, this time... 

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    an_timeout 

    on the right side, this time... 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2019 - 8:30 AM ET #12

    9-2-1 (+7.1%)

     

    Tonight, double-bet on Vegas. Check it out:

     

    Play 1:

    Vegas -1 -137 (1.37%)

    Play 2:

    Vegas -1 Reg -101 (1.01%)

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    9-2-1 (+7.1%)

     

    Tonight, double-bet on Vegas. Check it out:

     

    Play 1:

    Vegas -1 -137 (1.37%)

    Play 2:

    Vegas -1 Reg -101 (1.01%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2019 - 10:15 AM ET #13

    Tonight's bets will be recorded as 1 single bet only (for ex.: 1 push+1 loss= 1 loss)

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    Tonight's bets will be recorded as 1 single bet only (for ex.: 1 push+1 loss= 1 loss)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2019 - 1:53 AM ET #14

    Hey, who poisoned Vegas' milk yesterday? 

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    Hey, who poisoned Vegas' milk yesterday? 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2019 - 8:32 AM ET #15

    9-3-1 (+4.8%)

     

    Play 1:

    Capitals Reg -135 (1.14%)

    Capitals -1 reg -103 (0.87%)

     

    Play 2:

    Colorado -1 -102 (1.72%)

     

     

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    9-3-1 (+4.8%)

     

    Play 1:

    Capitals Reg -135 (1.14%)

    Capitals -1 reg -103 (0.87%)

     

    Play 2:

    Colorado -1 -102 (1.72%)

     

     

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2019 - 12:48 PM ET #16

    Avs line moved a lot...too bad, with a -141 ML I would have made a -0.75 instead of -1.

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    Avs line moved a lot...too bad, with a -141 ML I would have made a -0.75 instead of -1.

     
    Lar1212
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2019 - 4:59 PM ET #17

    peace_5

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    peace_5

     
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2019 - 8:35 AM ET #18

    Lar1212 peace_5 (despite the bad night...)

     

    9-5-1 (+1%)

     

    Tonight, one fat double-bet -1.75 on Winnipeg. Why ? Why not?

     

    Jets -1.5 -107 (2.53%)

    Jets -2 +127 (1.86%)

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    Lar1212 peace_5 (despite the bad night...)

     

    9-5-1 (+1%)

     

    Tonight, one fat double-bet -1.75 on Winnipeg. Why ? Why not?

     

    Jets -1.5 -107 (2.53%)

    Jets -2 +127 (1.86%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2019 - 8:58 AM ET #19

    Big line movement just after my bet. -1.5 is now +103 an_arsed

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    Big line movement just after my bet. -1.5 is now +103 an_arsed

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2019 - 2:47 PM ET #20

    10-5-1 (+5.8%)

     

    Another double-bet tonight

    Colorado  -1 +103 (3.28%)

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    10-5-1 (+5.8%)

     

    Another double-bet tonight

    Colorado  -1 +103 (3.28%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2019 - 4:12 AM ET #21

    11-5-1 (+9.1%)

     

    Back to smaller bets, to win 1%

     

    Jets -1 -119 (1.19%)

    Penguins -1 -103 (1.03%)

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    11-5-1 (+9.1%)

     

    Back to smaller bets, to win 1%

     

    Jets -1 -119 (1.19%)

    Penguins -1 -103 (1.03%)

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2019 - 8:47 AM ET #22

    Updated record : 10-5-1

    Counting penguins bets post #8 as a single win. The only guy here who lowers his record (if it doesn't make sense to you, it does for my own maths) 

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    Updated record : 10-5-1

    Counting penguins bets post #8 as a single win. The only guy here who lowers his record (if it doesn't make sense to you, it does for my own maths) 

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2019 - 4:57 AM ET #23

    10-6-2 (+7.9%)

     

    No win yesterday, limited casualties though. Tonight, double-bet on Colorado.

    Avs -1 Reg -123 (1.65%)

    Avs -1.5 +106 (1.27%)

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    10-6-2 (+7.9%)

     

    No win yesterday, limited casualties though. Tonight, double-bet on Colorado.

    Avs -1 Reg -123 (1.65%)

    Avs -1.5 +106 (1.27%)

     
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2019 - 1:24 AM ET #24

    Hit the +10% mark, saved by the empty net an_2drinks

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    Hit the +10% mark, saved by the empty net an_2drinks

     
     
    esposito10304
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2019 - 10:12 AM ET #25

    11-6-2 (+10.6%)

     

    Canadiens -1 reg -125 (1.25%)

    Coyotes -1 -125 (1.25%)

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    11-6-2 (+10.6%)

     

    Canadiens -1 reg -125 (1.25%)

    Coyotes -1 -125 (1.25%)

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