Keep in mind that it's impossible to lose in the long period if you are about 50% and you got an average odd of -120/-130 and have a proper money mangement attitude.
I swear this might be the new post of the year.
No kidding.
OMG
I swear this might be the new post of the year.
No kidding.
OMG
I swear this might be the new post of the year.
No kidding.
OMG
And I even gave him the heads up
flat betting 1 unit $100) each game would profit
no juice $1100
-110 + $580
-115 +320
-120 +$60
Thats the basic breakdown since this guy doesnt believe in posting real units just wins and losses.
And I even gave him the heads up
flat betting 1 unit $100) each game would profit
no juice $1100
-110 + $580
-115 +320
-120 +$60
Thats the basic breakdown since this guy doesnt believe in posting real units just wins and losses.
Most of the time the 5's are juiced to the over. In fact almost every time. Before all the rule changes I would take under 5 almost automatic. But since then with all the penalty calls and such no way I would take under 5.
It would be quite easy to backtest from last year. But of course you would be using closing lines. That would probably juice the over more. Considering joe public would more often than not take over.
Most of the time the 5's are juiced to the over. In fact almost every time. Before all the rule changes I would take under 5 almost automatic. But since then with all the penalty calls and such no way I would take under 5.
It would be quite easy to backtest from last year. But of course you would be using closing lines. That would probably juice the over more. Considering joe public would more often than not take over.
Blanket betting all Over 5's is not a - EV play....but it's for sure not a + EV play either.
It's pure zero sum wagering.
And the books work very hard to make sure it's zero sum wagering.
Now if you want to pick your spots, bet some larger than other....fine thats a different story. Not saying I agree with it....but it's a different story.
My whole point is the OP does not include his units.....just a %.
And he claims that betting all these Over is a "winning system".
Never a mention of any other factors other than just blanket betting these wagers Over.
Then he comes back with a cock-a-mamy preach about money management that as explained was pure idiocracy.
I'll discuss money management and the mathematics around the theory of Expected Value with anyone, any time.
But this thread and his claim that this is a "winning system" is hysterical.
Blanket betting all Over 5's is not a - EV play....but it's for sure not a + EV play either.
It's pure zero sum wagering.
And the books work very hard to make sure it's zero sum wagering.
Now if you want to pick your spots, bet some larger than other....fine thats a different story. Not saying I agree with it....but it's a different story.
My whole point is the OP does not include his units.....just a %.
And he claims that betting all these Over is a "winning system".
Never a mention of any other factors other than just blanket betting these wagers Over.
Then he comes back with a cock-a-mamy preach about money management that as explained was pure idiocracy.
I'll discuss money management and the mathematics around the theory of Expected Value with anyone, any time.
But this thread and his claim that this is a "winning system" is hysterical.
My whole point is the OP does not include his units.....just a %.
My whole point is the OP does not include his units.....just a %.
then what is the point of posting these plays if you wont tell is what your betting on each game?
this is pointless
not trying to be a dick but your not sharing your "expert bankroll management"
all your doing is posting plays that we already know will go about 50%
this forum is to share ideas and share information
i want to know what your betting on each game
i want to know what odds you get for each wager
i want to keep track of your units
because i know for a fact you lose money doing this
the end
then what is the point of posting these plays if you wont tell is what your betting on each game?
this is pointless
not trying to be a dick but your not sharing your "expert bankroll management"
all your doing is posting plays that we already know will go about 50%
this forum is to share ideas and share information
i want to know what your betting on each game
i want to know what odds you get for each wager
i want to keep track of your units
because i know for a fact you lose money doing this
the end
That might be the funniest post I have ever seen.
That might be the funniest post I have ever seen.
Enough guys. Just let Pan play his over 5 plays.
We all know what the deal is.......it is what it is.
My whole point is this though.
pana - you need to keep a running bankroll and explain to everyone how this system makes you money
simply posting the % is not enough
each time you need to say how much your betting on a game so people can understand this fantastic way of betting and we can all make money off your system
if you dont explain the full parameters of the system it's pointless to everyone else on the forum
my personal guess to the reason you dont is you dont make money off this
i would love to see you prove me wrong
but if you dont post how much your betting on each game and the net +/- euros your winning or losing there is no point to this thread
Enough guys. Just let Pan play his over 5 plays.
We all know what the deal is.......it is what it is.
My whole point is this though.
pana - you need to keep a running bankroll and explain to everyone how this system makes you money
simply posting the % is not enough
each time you need to say how much your betting on a game so people can understand this fantastic way of betting and we can all make money off your system
if you dont explain the full parameters of the system it's pointless to everyone else on the forum
my personal guess to the reason you dont is you dont make money off this
i would love to see you prove me wrong
but if you dont post how much your betting on each game and the net +/- euros your winning or losing there is no point to this thread
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