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    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    NHL Thursday

    FirefIy
    Gainsford
    Fields93
    Deejsurge
    Crazy_Train
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 530
    Posts: 11
     
    FirefIy
    FirefIy
    Rookie
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    Joined: Jul, 2024
    Posts: 593
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 9:49 AM ET #1

    1-4 Yesterday -6.2 units paint_help

    YTD 31-19 +22.69 units

     

    Worst night of the year so far.  Researched 4 strong trends and all 4 lost, which happens to a trend eventually.  I just didn't expect them to all end on the same night lol.  Hopefully I can figure out how to limit the eventual bad days after 3 days of winning.

     

    Back on the horse.

     

    Parlay COL/TB ML (+118) 2 units to win 2.36.  Square play but my numbers favor both teams, so I have to keep faith in the numbers I use.

     

    Parlay TOR +1.5/CHI +1.5 (+203) 2 units to win 4.06.  Chicago has been strong covering the +1.5 and LA has been weak covering the -1.5.  And I've written extensively about the Canes inability to cover the -1.5 in Freddy Anderson starts. 

     

    STL/BOS Under 5.5 (-110) 2.2 units to win 2.  The under 5.5 is 7-1 in the Blues last 8 road games.  Both offenses are struggling lately and I don't see a reason that trend won't continue.

     

    BOL on your plays today clover

     

     

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    1-4 Yesterday -6.2 units paint_help

    YTD 31-19 +22.69 units

     

    Worst night of the year so far.  Researched 4 strong trends and all 4 lost, which happens to a trend eventually.  I just didn't expect them to all end on the same night lol.  Hopefully I can figure out how to limit the eventual bad days after 3 days of winning.

     

    Back on the horse.

     

    Parlay COL/TB ML (+118) 2 units to win 2.36.  Square play but my numbers favor both teams, so I have to keep faith in the numbers I use.

     

    Parlay TOR +1.5/CHI +1.5 (+203) 2 units to win 4.06.  Chicago has been strong covering the +1.5 and LA has been weak covering the -1.5.  And I've written extensively about the Canes inability to cover the -1.5 in Freddy Anderson starts. 

     

    STL/BOS Under 5.5 (-110) 2.2 units to win 2.  The under 5.5 is 7-1 in the Blues last 8 road games.  Both offenses are struggling lately and I don't see a reason that trend won't continue.

     

    BOL on your plays today clover

     

     

     
    Gainsford
    Gainsford
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2021
    Posts: 4845
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 10:14 AM ET #2

    clover

    "Goaltending is 90 percent of the game, unless you don't have it. Then it's 100 percent."
    Reply

    clover

     
    Fields93
    Fields93
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2015
    Posts: 131
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 10:54 AM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by FirefIy:

    1-4 Yesterday -6.2 units  YTD 31-19 +22.69 units   Worst night of the year so far.  Researched 4 strong trends and all 4 lost, which happens to a trend eventually.  I just didn't expect them to all end on the same night lol.  Hopefully I can figure out how to limit the eventual bad days after 3 days of winning.   Back on the horse.   Parlay COL/TB ML (+118) 2 units to win 2.36.  Square play but my numbers favor both teams, so I have to keep faith in the numbers I use.   Parlay TOR +1.5/CHI +1.5 (+203) 2 units to win 4.06.  Chicago has been strong covering the +1.5 and LA has been weak covering the -1.5.  And I've written extensively about the Canes inability to cover the -1.5 in Freddy Anderson starts.    STL/BOS Under 5.5 (-110) 2.2 units to win 2.  The under 5.5 is 7-1 in the Blues last 8 road games.  Both offenses are struggling lately and I don't see a reason that trend won't continue.   BOL on your plays today

     

    yeah, the sharks and the ducks gotta obliterated…unfortunate but it happens. Appreciate your insight pal, trust the process an_cheers

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by FirefIy:

    1-4 Yesterday -6.2 units  YTD 31-19 +22.69 units   Worst night of the year so far.  Researched 4 strong trends and all 4 lost, which happens to a trend eventually.  I just didn't expect them to all end on the same night lol.  Hopefully I can figure out how to limit the eventual bad days after 3 days of winning.   Back on the horse.   Parlay COL/TB ML (+118) 2 units to win 2.36.  Square play but my numbers favor both teams, so I have to keep faith in the numbers I use.   Parlay TOR +1.5/CHI +1.5 (+203) 2 units to win 4.06.  Chicago has been strong covering the +1.5 and LA has been weak covering the -1.5.  And I've written extensively about the Canes inability to cover the -1.5 in Freddy Anderson starts.    STL/BOS Under 5.5 (-110) 2.2 units to win 2.  The under 5.5 is 7-1 in the Blues last 8 road games.  Both offenses are struggling lately and I don't see a reason that trend won't continue.   BOL on your plays today

     

    yeah, the sharks and the ducks gotta obliterated…unfortunate but it happens. Appreciate your insight pal, trust the process an_cheers

     
    Deejsurge
    Deejsurge
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2015
    Posts: 1824
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 11:25 AM ET #4

    @FirefIy

     Thank you...why Tampa?

    Reply

    @FirefIy

     Thank you...why Tampa?

     
    Crazy_Train
    Crazy_Train
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    Joined: Feb, 2013
    Posts: 10090
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 12:01 PM ET #5

    GL FF, I see Jonas confirmed, pass for me

    Be the Hammer Not the Nail
    Reply

    GL FF, I see Jonas confirmed, pass for me

     
    FirefIy
    FirefIy
    Rookie
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    Joined: Jul, 2024
    Posts: 593
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 12:23 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Deejsurge:

    @FirefIy  Thank you...why Tampa?

     

    Deej peace_5

    Why I like Tampa:

     

    Last 10 games:

    TB 3.6 goals for, 1.9 goals against

    PIT 2.5 goals for, 2.7 goals against

     

    Tampa is playing better both offensively and defensively than Pittsburgh over their last 10 games.  Also, most people don't realize TB is 15-4 over their last 19 games...after a 1-6 start they have been one of the best teams in the NHL.

     

    TB went 3-0 against the Penguins last season, suggesting they may match up well against them.

     

    Pittsburgh has the #1 power play, but Tampa Bay has the #1 penalty kill so I think that should neutralize the Penguins power play advantage.

     

    Those are the main reasons.  Now does that mean TB is guaranteed to win?  Hell no.  TB has been overachieving lately, and Pittsburgh has been underachieving.  That trend could reverse at any moment.  Pittsburgh is also 8-2 in games that Tristan Jarry starts, and the Penguins do have the #1 power play.  If Pittsburgh can force Tampa Bay into a defensive slugfest like the Islanders just did, I can see a path to victory for the Penguins.

     

    But the bottom line is, trying to guess when the team that's on a 15-4 run will come down to earth against a team that's lost 6 of their last 10 games is very difficult.  And it's been a minute since the Bolts lost back-to-back games.  But play what you want!  I just like to provide info for the forum, whether that's agreeing with my thoughts or being on the other side.  Good luck either way peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Deejsurge:

    @FirefIy  Thank you...why Tampa?

     

    Deej peace_5

    Why I like Tampa:

     

    Last 10 games:

    TB 3.6 goals for, 1.9 goals against

    PIT 2.5 goals for, 2.7 goals against

     

    Tampa is playing better both offensively and defensively than Pittsburgh over their last 10 games.  Also, most people don't realize TB is 15-4 over their last 19 games...after a 1-6 start they have been one of the best teams in the NHL.

     

    TB went 3-0 against the Penguins last season, suggesting they may match up well against them.

     

    Pittsburgh has the #1 power play, but Tampa Bay has the #1 penalty kill so I think that should neutralize the Penguins power play advantage.

     

    Those are the main reasons.  Now does that mean TB is guaranteed to win?  Hell no.  TB has been overachieving lately, and Pittsburgh has been underachieving.  That trend could reverse at any moment.  Pittsburgh is also 8-2 in games that Tristan Jarry starts, and the Penguins do have the #1 power play.  If Pittsburgh can force Tampa Bay into a defensive slugfest like the Islanders just did, I can see a path to victory for the Penguins.

     

    But the bottom line is, trying to guess when the team that's on a 15-4 run will come down to earth against a team that's lost 6 of their last 10 games is very difficult.  And it's been a minute since the Bolts lost back-to-back games.  But play what you want!  I just like to provide info for the forum, whether that's agreeing with my thoughts or being on the other side.  Good luck either way peace_5

     
    FirefIy
    FirefIy
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    Posts: 593
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 12:31 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by Crazy_Train:

    GL FF, I see Jonas confirmed, pass for me

     

    Yuck.  Thanks for the heads up.  I'm going to let the play stand, but Korpisalo makes it a lot spicier.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Crazy_Train:

    GL FF, I see Jonas confirmed, pass for me

     

    Yuck.  Thanks for the heads up.  I'm going to let the play stand, but Korpisalo makes it a lot spicier.

     
    FirefIy
    FirefIy
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    Posts: 593
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 12:38 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by FirefIy:

    Quote Originally Posted by Crazy_Train: GL FF, I see Jonas confirmed, pass for me   Yuck.  Thanks for the heads up.  I'm going to let the play stand, but Korpisalo makes it a lot spicier.

     

    Ohh you meant Jonas on Tampa Bay!  Damn it I need to look into that...

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by FirefIy:

    Quote Originally Posted by Crazy_Train: GL FF, I see Jonas confirmed, pass for me   Yuck.  Thanks for the heads up.  I'm going to let the play stand, but Korpisalo makes it a lot spicier.

     

    Ohh you meant Jonas on Tampa Bay!  Damn it I need to look into that...

     
    KeyMaster
    KeyMaster
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    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 5847
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 12:55 PM ET #9

    Shake it off, your having a good season so far, ups and downs happen win

    Reply

    Shake it off, your having a good season so far, ups and downs happen win

     
    FirefIy
    FirefIy
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    Posts: 593
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 12:57 PM ET #10

    Why would they start Jonas?  It makes no sense to me.  And why would the Bruins start Korpisalo?  From now on I'm waiting for goalies to come out lol

     

    I'm cashing out of everything.  If the Canes start Bussi tonight they have a chance to cover the -1.5 so I'm bailing on that too.

     

    Adding:

     

    Colorado in regulation (-135) 2.7 units to win 2.  That's it.

    Reply

    Why would they start Jonas?  It makes no sense to me.  And why would the Bruins start Korpisalo?  From now on I'm waiting for goalies to come out lol

     

    I'm cashing out of everything.  If the Canes start Bussi tonight they have a chance to cover the -1.5 so I'm bailing on that too.

     

    Adding:

     

    Colorado in regulation (-135) 2.7 units to win 2.  That's it.

     
     
    Raiders22
    Raiders22
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    Joined: Dec, 2010
    Posts: 35331
    Posted: Dec. 4, 2025 - 1:56 PM ET #11

    BOL today an_cheers

    Reply

    BOL today an_cheers

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