MacKinnon Hurt

That blocked shot does not look good, Will MacKinnon return for the 3rd period, 

Avs in trouble as it was looking like a stress-free victory which they needed.  You cannot blow a 3-0 lead on the road down 2-0 in the series.

He couldn’t move very well. And that is gonna probably gonna get worse tonight. Does he play Tuesday?

McKinnon hurt, Makar can’t wind up, Necas is AWOL, Av’s need to see an optometrist. Add that the knights opportunistic all series and have better net minder and you have a 3-0 series lead albeit basically all 1 goal games

Game 4 line assumes mackinnon is at full strength, reflecting colorado 52% chance to win.  If mackinnon is actually limited avs win probability drops to 38-42% making the vegas line great value. If mackinnon is out avs drop to 28-33% of winning G4. 

This assumes makar same or better than last night as well.

Correct.

NHL teams down 3-0 in a series are left with a 1.5% to 2% chance of coming back to win the series, but given the manner in which the Avalanche got buried last night underneath an avalanche of Golden Knights goals, their chances of advancing to the Cup Final now rest at 0.0%.