BARTENDER'S PICKS 4/30-5/6

Thats because you're counting games against Anaheim who he was dominant against in the regular season and was again in the first round...but I'm sure the fact they have an anemic offense was partly why his numbers are up in those instances.

Looks like we are on the same again tonight.  Boston it is.....  G/L

Goodluck NYB. 

It Will Make sense when you have a 60% winning margin at the end of the year playing favorites and find yourself stuck multiple units. When a dog player hits 40% and is up several units. If an experienced sports better takes a dog they clearly see +EV in the bet. You need to come up with your own lines before you look at the posted ones and see what does or doesn't make sense and go from there.  At the end of the day no matter what side your playing the goal is to get the best of the number cause long term that's what separates sharps from squares. Play the number not the team  BOL whatever way you go

TheNewUnderdog  If thats the case then I apologize in advance, lol!

KyleQuick 

Best of luck tonight Brother 

DoubleUp4Life 

VANBUCK 

Maximus1978 

skinnycat17 

BOS -1/2 +115 

BOS -1 ½ +190 *half unit*  

Suck my dcik. Really getting tired of these results.

For an added kick in the dcik (AGAIN) I took NYY -1 1/2 and they blew a 5-0 8th inning lead and will win 6-5 now instead.

Hilarious.

SJS/VGK over 5 ½ -105 

BOS -1/2 +115 Blown 3rd period lead killed this one.

BOS -1 ½ +190 *half unit 

Stupidly let Olop get in my head about the overs and passed on a winner in the BOS/TB game. Don't generally let anyone influence my decisions but add in the shitty week I was having and now I'm annoyed at myself. Should have been a winning day, although just a slight one. Won't happen again.

Today: 1-2 -$50.00

I'm not blaming you. I only have myself to blame...and it won't happen again. I usually know better.

Yes of course, but this isn't a case of that so much. I generally do my due diligience on game factors, numbers and trends THEN post my picks on the forum before I start perusing around because I don't want to be influenced by anyone elses thoughts and ideas as I've learned its always best to trust yourself and whatever process you use to make picks...especially if you're successful doing it in the long term. Yesterday, for whatever reason I started reading some posts and he had mentioned something about not betting all the overs and I let it stick in my head when it came time to actually put the bets in. You know that lil voice in the back of your head kind of thing. Thats all it was. I was annoyed with myself more than anything.

4/30-5/6 6-8 +$7.00

Overall 266-214 +$6290.00

5/5

WASH -125 Probably against the majority here even though The Caps are home ice favorites but their long history of playoff chokes and being owned by Pittsburgh will push more people to the Pens side…can I can’t really blame them. Now that said, this Caps team, has played very well at home this season and despite The Pens road success this far in the playoffs, their long-term success on the road for the year hasn’t been there. They were the only playoff team to come in with a losing road record, in fact. This Caps team has shown resiliency this year, coming back to beat a hot Columbus team after losing their first two on home ice. That was impressive. Prior to last game’s loss, the Caps had really been rolling, having won 9-straight on the road. But, now back on home ice, we should see a very strong effort to not get thrown into an elimination game back in Pittsburgh for game 6.

Pass on the over/under. Coming in to this series I really expected a lot of back-and-forth action. PIT averaged 4.66 GF against PHL in the first round and although its Philly, I still expected them to do better than the 2.50 GF average they have through 4 games here. Same can be said for Washington who averaged 4.00 GF per game against, what I consider a better defensive team with a better goaltender in Columbus, and now only average 2.76 GF per game here against PIT. The other factor coming in was how each goalie had poorly performed against the other team and that hasn’t quite been the case this series so gotta bite the bullet here and back off of a bet that’s just not hitting.

NASH – 153 Another game where I’m probably on the other side of the majority. I’m also on Winnipeg for the Cup from earlier this year so I do have rooting interest in the Jets. However, the average-joe is looking at this series and saying “wow, the Jets beat Nashville 4-1 on the road, they mauled them 7-4 back at home etc etc.” The fact is, Winnipeg should be on their knees thanking the Gods they aren’t down 3-1 in this series. They had no right to win game 1. And in game 3, they were down 0-3. Big comeback to win, no doubt but both their wins are games they could have just as easily lost. Like Washington, I expect a home win here by Nashville and a very strong effort from them to not have to go on the road and face potential elimination. This is a veteran team now with deep playoff experience playing a younger team getting its feet wet still in these types of high-pressure situations.

NASH -1 ½ +195 *half unit*

WIN/NASH over 5 ½ -119 9 goals scored in game 2 and 9 goals (plus 2 EN goals) scored in game 3. Sandwiched around those were an unbelievable performance by Hellebuyck in game 1 which caused the over to fail with a 4-1 score. But it took a 47 save performance wherein just one more goal would have made the over a winning bet, and a nice performance by both goalies in game 4 which was a true under. We’ve had four games and the over/under has split but the over was the correct call in 3 of 4.

Good luck, everyone! 

I decide to back off of the over bet and suddenly the game is exactly what I expected before the series began.

26 combined SOG, 2-1 score for 3 goals and the over looks like a very strong bet now.

All we had to do to get these games to start playing out like I felt they should have been was for me not to bet them! lol smh, thats damn annoying.

71 combined SOG and 9 goals.

dcgmt  Thanks, buddy! Hope you win some $$$ tonight!

WASH -125 

NASH – 153  

NASH -1 ½ +195 *half unit* 

WIN/NASH over 5 ½ -119  

Today: 2-2 -$3.00

Another annoying middling day...13 straight days of this crap

Of course. Sometimes its just a flat out gut call and if it is I'll usually say so in my write-up, but long term you win because of numbers, not your gut, but it doesn't hurt to mix it in from time to time of course.

How'd you do tonight?