BARTENDER'S PICKS 4/30-5/6

Adding:

Adding:

NASH in-game +140 *two and half units*

WASH/PIT over 6 -108 

NASH/WIN over 6 -112 

NASH in-game +140 *two and half units* 

Today: 1-2 +$130.00

So, take the over tonight is what you're saying?! 

SJS/VGK over 5 1/2 locked in!

4/30-5/6 5-6 +$57.00

Overall 265-212 +$6340.00

5/3

SJS/VGK over 5 ½ -105 Good for Martin Jones getting the shut out last game out on home ice. He had come in with a terrible .875 Save% and 3.68 GAA in 7 appearances this season against Vegas. The first three games of this series saw 7 goals scored in each game and it was mainly the superb game by Jones that kept the over from cashing in game 4. Nothing changed in terms of game flow or scoring chances as the teams racked up a combined 68 SOG again keeping up with the 71 per game combined average we’ve gotten accustomed to throughout this series. Expecting each team to pot a few here and get this over in a pivotal game 5. MAF had a superb opening period to this series and then primarily had the rest of the game off. Since Game 1, he’s seen the Sharks average over 3 goals a game against him. It’s a tough offense to hold in check and with that and Martin Jones going on the road, the over is again the bet to back, imo.

BOS -1/2 +115 So, after going 1-3 against Boston in the regular season and losing both games on home ice, Tampa stormed into TD Garden and took a 2-1 series lead. That puts the B’s at only 5-5 in these playoffs and Tampa at 6-2. The questions that need to be asked here are will Tampa win 3-straight against a very strong Bruins club and will the Bruins drop back-to-back games at TD Garden? So, lets do some research…The Bruins have only lost back-to-back games at home once all season long (that’s pre-season, regular season, these playoffs), and that was back in Mid-December (and in that one singular scenario they still grabbed an OT point in the second loss—although that’s pointless here in the playoffs). That’s a good sign however that this team can regroup, refocus and get things done in front of their home crowd after a loss. Add in similar motivation that I mentioned with Nashville yesterday about not wanting to fall behind 1-3 and I think you have to side with the Bruins here in Boston.

BOS -1 ½ +190 *half unit* Now, since those mid-December b2b home ice losses, they’ve followed up every home ice loss with a puck line win (7-2, 4-1, 3-1, 5-2, 4-2, 5-1, 7-4)

Good luck to the Covers forum! 

Fluery has given up 11 goals in the last 3 games. He seems a little rattle to me since pitching 2 shutouts in a row to LA/SJ. I like the Sharks at + $ and the over.

Definitely leaning the Sharks here myself. Just hard for me to back Martin Jones when, despite yesterday, he's had such a mediocre season overall and really bad numbers against Vegas. Knights def don't want to lose here on home ice and face an elimination game in San Jose. But who knows. I'm sticking with the over here, personally. Good luck with San Jose! 

If you take out the 7-0 game, he has a ~1.5 GAA in his last 7 games, including 2 games that went to OT. He is actually playing pretty well. I think the side is a 50/50, but happy to take + $.  

I don't undertand when people say a game is 50/50 and decide then to just take the dog because they're plus money ... who cares if it's plus money if it doesn't win? Might be just me but that never made any sense to me .. 

Take a quick peak at: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value

Long story short. In the long run all that really matter is having positive EV. Example if you were betting $100 on an actual 50/50 coin flip except you won $110 if you won and only lost $100 if you lost, you wouldn't have to work anymore if you could play the game as many times as you wanted. Since no one has a crystal ball, the goal is to put your money in well as many times as possible.