Afternoon Unders Trial

Yeah figures the trend ends today lost my weekly balance

Burly,

Nice pickup. I'd love to see how this compares to previous years.
There are trends in every sports, you just have to find them.

as mentioned in post #5 i think i am going to use the Over/Under totals and the 3.00 GAA as filters, the 3.00 filter would have eliminated the Was/Pit game.  Again more wins would be eliminated, but i will back check and post updated records.

 

Burly,

I was looking at a STAT worth watching. Games where the home team is a dog with line of 100 - 103 is 12 - 2.

Now I don't have all the games in yet. I am missing Nov and Dec still, so we'll see if it pans out.

irage so your saying that the home dogs are 12-2 if the line closed at 100-103?

that seems like a small window but like what you got so far

ok got the back checking done with the added filter if either starting goalie has a GAA of 3.00 or over the game becomes a NO PLAY.

filter and including plays when O/U equal: 11-2  

filter and including plays when O/U equal and no GAA above 3.00: 8-1

filter and filtering plays when O/U equal: 7-1

filter and filtering plays when O/U equal and no GAA above 3.00: 4-0

 

 

keep it up, lets see what this pans out to be.

Feb 4

Pit vs Bos 48 overs 52 unders: play under 5.5 if johnson in net no play

Nj vs Phi 52 overs 48 unders no play

No plays at all tmrw :( lame

why no plays, I see johnson is not starting

Pit/Bos

For tomorrow

Bos/Was 55 Overs 46 Unders No Play

Pit/Nj 45 Overs 56 Unders if johnson in net no play

Phi/Nyr 45 Overs 55 Unders Play under 5.5

 

also gonna combine one of my other totals threads into this one so i just have to post on one.

heres the link so you can see the details

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101257737

 

so burly tmrw, we got possibly 2 unders?

yep just make sure to check starting goalies

devils/pens 5 in my book, still going to play it

well looks like when teams play b2b 1pm they will be filtered

Keep going,

Its back to the drawing board as my strategy is a bust. I'd be lucky to hold out for 50% win ratio.

all four 1 pm games are plays

Nas/Bos 57 unders 50 overs

Fla/Nj 58 unders 49 overs

LA/Nyi 71 unders 37 overs

Nyr/Phi 57 unders 49 overs

Play each game under?

sorry everyone this thread is done

ok my anger has subsided....somewhat

going forward i will not include pushes in total overs or unders

with todays plays only LA/NYI would have been a play

hopefully can find a solution so next year is all easy

with new formula tomorrow was/nyr is a play on the under with 49 under 47 over

Just ironing out the kinks, no worries burly