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Accuscore system, keeping track

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Prospect
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Posted: #226
Johnny & Sirwin 

Quick look at tomorrow before I head to bed. Liking the looks of the Devils and Hawks. Will probably look over the Canes and Ducks as I like both of those as well. Penguins/Rangers will more than likely be no play. 
 
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Posted: #227
ugly card tomorrow, just like today. can't wait to see what your numbers are tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #228
Quote Originally Posted by TylerSeguin19:


Flyers ML (-125) 2.5 units to win 2 units
---This would be a 3 or 4 unit bet if I didn't hate the Flyers goalies.



I see what you mean.  Almost blew that one; two goals with less than 5 minutes left to tie it up.  Can't get too far come April with that kind of goaltending.

I guess your bud took a beating in the NBA last night.  Bucs quit in the 4th, Dallas didn't show in the 1st half.  NBA is tough to cap.
 
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Posted: #229
Quote Originally Posted by TylerSeguin19:


Those numbers x.x @ x.x are the Accuscore projections, the basis for this system. 

The results I post are different brackets that are based on the difference between the two numbers that Accuscore projects.

In this example  : Accuscore has the Sharks favored by 1.0 goals. Therefore they fit into the 2nd category (0.6-1.0). They are a home favorite so in this case games like this have been (20-10) year to date since I began keeping track.

Hope that helps, good luck.


Ok now I understand. Thanks bro

oh and T-Money came through again last night, cut my loses in more than half!

Wish I had more money to back up the Bruins ML but none the less, they came through with the Leafs and Sharks in my parlays and straight ups.


 
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Posted: #230
Quote Originally Posted by TylerSeguin19:


First off it fit one of the systems best categories. Philly was a vegas favorite and accuscore underdog which has gone (12-3) this year. Secondly, the Hawks are much like the Wings as they are extremely good home teams that don't play quite as well on the road. I don't trust either of these teams goalies and if I played O/U's I definitely would have bet large on the over. Both teams score very well but the Flyers score A LOT at home. I thought it was a real good spot for a Flyers W over a good Hawks team. Now, looking ahead I'm hoping we can get the Hawks coming home vs an Av's team they lost to last time out at a good price. Hopefully -180 or so and then I'll play either the Reg bet which would be -120 ish I assume or the PL which would still get a pretty good return for which should be a very lopsided game. 

thank you.

 
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Posted: #231
Updated results

0 - .5

Home Favorites (38-12)

Home Dogs (25-23)

Away Favorites (23-25)

Away Dogs (12-38)

.6 - 1.0

Home Favorites (25-11)

Home Dogs (5-4)

Away Favorites (4-5)

Away Dogs (11-25)

1.1 - 1.5

Home Favorites (10-3)

Home Dogs (1-0)

Away Favorites (0-1)

Away Dogs (3-10)

1.6 +

Home Favorites (0-0)

Home Dogs (0-0)

Away Favorites (0-0)

Away Dogs (0-0)

Vegas Home Favorites as Accuscore Underdogs (13-3)

Vegas Home Dogs as Accuscore Favorites (4-0)


 
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Posted: #232
Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:



I see what you mean.  Almost blew that one; two goals with less than 5 minutes left to tie it up.  Can't get too far come April with that kind of goaltending.

I guess your bud took a beating in the NBA last night.  Bucs quit in the 4th, Dallas didn't show in the 1st half.  NBA is tough to cap.

Ya the Flyers goaltending is pretty poor. They definitely won't be able to contend unless Bryz can turn it around.

He did go 0-2 ya. Not sure what the Mavs were doing, shot very poorly and the Bucks gave up a 21 point halftime lead. Hope I didn't jinx him by posting his picks haha.
 
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Posted: #233

Great Job at the Books Yesterday.... Hats Off to ya "T". . Todays Hockey Ticket is giving up a bit of a challenge .  I might hold off today and prepare for tomorrows 13 Game Ticket. BOL "T", i'll keep a close eye on your thread today.

 
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Posted: #234
Tonight : 

Rangers @ Penguins -128 2.5 @ 3.2

Panthers @ Devils -134 2.4 @ 2.3

Sabres @ Canes -103 2.5 @ 3.0

Avalanche @ Hawks -196 2.2 @ 3.5

Islanders @ Ducks -120 2.4 @ 2.7

 
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Posted: #235
YTD : 22-16 +16.65 units

Tonight: 

No time for writeups tonight, I'm out the door as I'm writing this.

Devils ML (-145) 2.9 units to win 2 units
Vegas fav as accuscore underdog, best bet.

Hawks PL (+155)  1 unit to win 1.55 units

Canes ML (-105) 2.1 units to win 2 units

Ducks ML (-125) 1.25 units to win 1 unit

Best of luck everyone, will be able to answer questions in about an hour and a half or so.
 
Captain
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Posted: #236
those vegas home dog games have been for you. glad i was on the devils.

 
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Posted: #237
Quote Originally Posted by komot:

those vegas home dog games have been for you. glad i was on the devils.



correction, home dog on your system and fav in vegas
 
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Posted: #238
Quote Originally Posted by komot:

those vegas home dog games have been for you. glad i was on the devils.


Vegas favorites, accuscore dogs have been great. Hurricanes was very close to Vegas dog accuscore favorite. They were listed at -105. Hopefully the hawks or ducks can pull out their bet for a big night 
 
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Posted: #239
Quote Originally Posted by TylerSeguin19:

Hopefully the hawks or ducks can pull out their bet for a big night 


Damn, Hawks looked tired.  You often hear about the letdown of the first game back after a road trip.  They need to regroup now.

Curious what you think about Canucks decision to start Shneider this afternoon. Trying not expose Luongo to the merciless Bruins fans?

I noticed the NHLPA refused the realignment plans.  Increased travel schedule and playoff structure.  I really liked the proposed format; hopefully it will go through.
 
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Posted: #240
Four games on the afternoon card today.  Hoping we see your opinions on them! 
 
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Posted: #241
Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

Four games on the afternoon card today.  Hoping we see your opinions on them! 


Flyers/Senators Over 5.5 (-140) 1.4 units to win 1 unit


As for the rest I don't like them much. A lot of high juice (yes, I know -140 for an over is high) and while the Bruins fall into the first category home favorites I think that the Canucks are really going to want to beat them and come out strong. Bruins are notoriously not good in afternoon games and Schneider in net scares me as a B's fan as well. If the Canucks played Schneider in game 7 last year I think we may have lost. Luongo's mental game against the Bruins is horrible and it was no surprise to me that he's being "rested". I can't bet against how hot the Bruins are but I would say the Canucks are a pretty strong lean for me.

I'll be back with the usual everything later on. It was a rough, long, bad night at the poker tables so I'm going to catch some more z's.

Best of luck to everyone on their afternoon games.
 
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Posted: #242
BOL "T", . Very similar night for me at the Crap Tables. Santa Fe Station got the best of me
 
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Posted: #243
THANKS AND GOOD LUCK TODAY!  
 
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Posted: #244
Quote Originally Posted by sirwinalot:

BOL "T", . Very similar night for me at the Crap Tables. Santa Fe Station got the best of me
  SPEND A FEW BUCKS ON AN ASS LIKE YOUR PIC AND YOU'LL BE SMILING AGAIN!!!!   
 
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Posted: #245
Goaltending duel in Philly.  Whoda thunk it.  It's gonna be tough to cover the Over in this one.

Pissed I don't pick up the Bruins anywhere on the dial.  I have to settle for the snoozefest between Pitt and SMU.  What the hell is a BBVA Compass anyway?
 
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Posted: #246
 I am gonna spend some lootie on that ass again. She is well worth it . Gotta Love Living In Vegas......... whoooo hooooo....
 
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Posted: #247
You guys are crazy in vegas....too many ho's....awesome to look at,but damn.....hitting that gap would be like rolling a hot dog down a hallway!!   Been alot of nails  in that piece of wood? Some poor bastard will marry that piece one day and think he met him a nice clean girl
 
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Posted: #248
Updated results going into today

0 - .5

Home Favorites (40-12)

Home Dogs (26-23)

Away Favorites (23-26)

Away Dogs (12-40)

.6 - 1.0

Home Favorites (25-12)

Home Dogs (5-4)

Away Favorites (4-5)

Away Dogs (12-25)

1.1 - 1.5

Home Favorites (10-4)

Home Dogs (1-0)

Away Favorites (0-1)

Away Dogs (4-10)

Vegas Home Favorites as Accuscore Underdogs (14-3)

Vegas Home Dogs as Accuscore Favorites (4-0)

 
Prospect
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Posted: #249
Damn Collect I never thought of that.... I guess when you're caught up  in the moment that never factors in.
 
 
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Posted: #250
YTD Updated Record : 25-18 +19.25 units

That's what I get for taking an O/U I suppose. Flyers game with some defense and goaltending.

1/7

Canucks @ Bruins -160 2.8 @ 3.0

Senators @ Flyers -162 3.1 @ 4.0

Oilers @ Stars -153 2.5 @ 3.4

Blue Jackets @ Kings -200 2.3 @ 2.5

Sabres @ Jets -128 2.8 @ 2.8

Lightning @ Canadiens -158 2.2 @ 2.9

Wings @ Leafs +136 3.3 @ 2.7

Devils @ Penguins -177 2.2 @ 3.4

Avalanche @ Blues -200 2.1 @ 2.9

Islanders @ Coyotes -160 2.3 @ 2.4

Hurricanes @ Predators -185 2.1 @ 3.2

Wild @ Flames -110 2.5 @ 2.7

Capitals @ Sharks -152 2.9 @ 2.9


In a game absolutely riddled with penalties, the Canucks scored 4 times on the Power Play and the Bruins went 0 for 7 to drop the game. I hate when I'm right about the Bruins losing. Back later with my plays.

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