Winless Teams off Byes

I rarely post anymore but felt compelled to create a thread. I don’t have updated numbers on winless teams off byes, but historically winless teams off byes hit around 92% ATS. The scenario doesn’t come up that often but it now will be in play this weekend with the Dolphins and next weekend with the. Chargers. 

Jets 3rd home game where they are 1 - 1 lost in OT to Pack and beat the Titans and scored 17 in both,public is pounding them.  

92% isnt even remotely close 

From Chat GPT: 

Yes — there’s a very strong historical ATS angle for winless NFL teams coming off a bye.

Winless teams off a bye

The commonly cited historical trend is:

0-4 or worse straight-up teams coming off a bye: 22-3 ATS (88.0%) since 1995. 

That is an extraordinary +19-unit type trend at standard -110 pricing.

However, I would not blindly call it an 88% current-day system. That 22-3 figure is an older historical sample, and broader research shows that simply betting every team off a bye has produced only about 51% ATS since 1999, so the winless filter is doing the heavy lifting. 

Its not 92 percent but its like close to 60 percent

Play Miami your saying?....... Yikes! 

Post your plays more often 

It’s definitely close to, if not above 90% the last 20 years. I used to post updated numbers every year. Been here for almost 25 years. Whoever said 88% sounds correct. Play or don’t play, but it’s about as good of a system there is…