Which of these favorites has the biggest possibility of losing straight up?

Chargers “at” Rams

Chargers after a 6 game losing streak

8-3 ATS

it’s scary but I think it is the right side especially after a bye week it’s a lot of points Rams are beat up and are not scary..

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

Since 2008 in the last 9 games Arizona Cardinals have played Dallas Cowboys .. out of the 9 games the Arizona Cardinals have won 8 times SU !

Arizona Cardinals may have the Dallas cowboys number and the defense hasn’t improved…

Kansas City Chiefs at Broncos

Broncos are the better team at this moment.. the Chiefs are hiding the lack of talent at the skills position behind Kenneth Walker III.. film is out.. you stop the run and they have nothing… Broncos defensive line might eat this game..

I see a chance all three favorites lose SU or a dog cover.. this could be a good teaser in my opinion for you risk takers 

Good Luck all

Good stuff chomp! 

It would not let me pick two that I like (Chargers and Cardinals) so I went with the one that is a very strong stat that you laid out.. Cardinals 

Key players for Chargers/Rams

Chargers 

Joe Alt is back

Lad McConkey is healthy 

Rams

(C) Coleman Shelton is banged up 

I think I picked the chiefs just based on actual likelihood and implied odds, but the weapon Harvey being out is a massive blow to the broncos limited offense… that’s their home run hitter not playing.

I kinda want to take the chargers in this spot, away team playing in their home stadium off a bye, not ready to start making moves before trade deadline… this seems like their last hoorah… I’d be more likely to take the chargers here if the Rams were having a better season - but I’d still take the 6.5 I think 

Wow amazing thread Thank you for this gem!

The Chargers are not going to win.  The Chargers are not going to cover.  The Rams have dramatically underperformed their stats this season.  The Chargers - well, they just suck.  If the Rams are still in the playoff hunt, (I believe they are) then they surely go all out here. 

Chargers are last in Points Scored, last in Point Margin, last in Points per Play, 28th in Yards per Play, 28th in Total Yards, etc. The Rams are 1st in Total Offense with 399 YPG. They are 5th in Total Defense. The Rams just need to not turn the ball over, and they win fairly easily. Rams have some major injuries, but still have enough for a decisive win here.

Chargers have shown me nothing. I'm laying the 6.5.

Good Luck Guys!

Broncos ML 

Denver upset

2nd San Diego 

BOL

@ChOmP

@2goodhahaha

  none of the above jacsonvile jarqua

@2goodhahaha

  none of the above jacsonvile jarqua

@Jimmy_Cats

 You may be right, but I think the chargers are just underperforming - they arent really this bad. On paper the chargers should be just as good as last season. They’ve had a brutal schedule save the first two games of the season. Do you really see this charger team staying at the bottom of the barrel in all of those stat categories you’ve listed? 

chargers are dead last in luck ranking and so far this season has been an extreme outcome in a certain direction… this will move toward the mean, and in my opinion, this is a great spot for that to start happening 

Redskins

The chargers line stinks 

+6.5 on the “road” 

Yet look ahead line week 9 has chargers +4 at home vs Texans 

Begging you to take Rams

Dude every year people think the Chargers are gonna be good and they always underperform and get lots of injuries. It's the battle of LA tho and there is that stat about winless teams off the bye and the Rams as you said aren't scary but the best chance of losing is just as the odds makers have said, the Chiefs. Denver's defense is very good but they don't have a JSN and KC used to always have their number it's only shifted recently but they had at one point beat Denver over and over again.

Can I ask where you find this 'luck ranking'?

They hired the worst offensive coordinator ive ever seen in my life the epitome of these snot nosed boy geniuses who never kick a FG.

@Jimmy_Cats

 Valid points.

But ask yourself why its not 7.5 or more especially for a winless team that stinks in all the metrics you point out.

6.5 is literally asking for Rams money.

Rams will get into the playoffs regardless if they win/lose this game.

Chargers or no bet for me. I’m leaning towards no bet because you are correct. Chargers blow.