Quote Originally Posted by phillipnorris:
I've got Green Bay +1 and Philly +3.5 locked in. Not sure how either of those dogs can keep up with the home teams for a full game.
The next two teams I'm most confident in are the Saints and Chargers, but I don't love the number, +6 for both.
I think the Ravens beat the Jets, but I'd rather be on the other side of 10 instead of +9.5. If I'm playing a total it's going to be NE/OAK o42. I don't like teasing that high of a number, but three TDs from both teams and at least one kick from two pretty reliable kickers sounds doable.
The other two I'd consider are Minnesota +10.5 and St. Louis +15.5. I really like the Vikings on the road against a run defense that surrendered 112 yards to Fred Jackson and 98 to Ryan Mathews. Peterson should feast. It's now or never for the Rams, and even if they lose, I like them to stay within two scores of a Rex Grossman led offense.
Two games just missing the cut are Detroit +15.5 and NY Giants +12. Something tells me Dallas wins this one, and I don't want to lose a Lions letdown. I like Detroit, but they're due for a speed bump. I think the Giants win this one straight up, but I don't love the number on the road.
So I guess in order i'd go:
1) Green Bay +1
2) Philly +3.5
3) Saints +6
4) Ravens +9.5
5) Chargers +6
6) Vikings +10.5
7) NE/OAK o42
8) Giants +12
9) Rams +15.5
10) Lions +15.5
I like your GB pick but I have stayed away from PHI in the early season because I thought with all of the off season hype that their early weeks lines would be inflated...
PHI how ever is 1-2 SU/ATS and 2-1 +13 points ATS losing its last two so you might have value in getting the FG cushion as if they were 3-0 you would be at a pickem situation...I also dont like PHI because of the variability/unpredictability factor which takes away value in + 13 points ATS...
I am with you on MIN, they have played every game close and interesting lead every game at the half... what I dont like is the number... a 0-3 team being a road fav seems kinda scary andI would have liked to get more then 14 points... But i think this one to consider
i like the DET pick with the number, but it almost seems like a repeat of last week..I also do not like the variability in this game with DAL's injuries...
Tell me about the STL... I dont believe in things like, due, big game or situational factors like that... do you see something in the match up or predicatability?