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Week 10 Winners Inside!!! Bounceback Week....

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Posted: #101
Keep your head up buddy, we all have losing weeks and I can assure you the little children bashing you have more losing weeks than anyone. 
 
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by bets2win:

Adding One Last Play:

Indianapolis -6.5 (hook) vs the Bungles: The Bengals actually looked pretty good against the Steelers this past Monday Night, but that was to be expected against their AFC North Division Rival who they Swept BOTH Games Last Season, they were @ Home, and the Fate of their Season was Hanging in the Balance... I personally think their REALLY Strong showing against the Pittsburgh Steelers (who A LOT of Analysts consider the "Best Team in Football/the AFC") has them getting a couple Less Pts than they should be getting (should be 9+ In My Opinion).... Palmer has a REAL Chemistry going with Terrell Owens (Who has A LOT left in the Tank!), while Chad OchoCinco plays the Angriest Decoy in the NFL! haha.... After their Loss to Pittsburgh, Cincis Season is inevitably OVER! Palmer looks like he is going to play Sunday but his shoulder is still Ailing. The Steelers were "close to" a Blow-Out Victory but the Bengals showed A LOT of Fight infront of their Amped Up Home Crowd, and they really Battled their way back into this Contest Late to make it a game, but eventually Lost by 6 Pts. The Steelers have Notoriously allowed their Opposition to Sneak back into Games in the 4th Qrtr ALL Season Long! The Colts should be able to mount a similar lead to what the Steelers had (3+ Scores) but the difference between them and Pitt, is that the Colts have Freeney and Mathis to act as their CLOSERS.... Once they Mount this BIG Lead on the Bengals, the "Back-Door" WILL NOT be left Open, their FEROCIOUS Pass-Rush will be ALL OVER Palmer, potentially even knocking him out of this contest with his Ailing Shoulder. If the Bengals could protect Palmer and give him more time, this team "could be atleast" 4-4, but the Ugly Truth is that they CANNOT Protect Palmer and hes taken a Beating all season long and Sunday WONT be any Different! The Colts will go up EARLY and put the Bengals away, just "Teeing Off" on Carson Palmer, possibly Re-Injuring him. Colts BIG!!! Gotta Buy the Hook off of the Key #! (Dropping 2-Units on the Colts!)

 

I am also Raising my New England +4.5 Play to a 2-UNIT Play!

 

Still Not 100% Sure if I wanna play the MNF Total OVER 43, but I am Leaning that way but I guess I have some time to Finalize my Bets... I'm also Leaning towards Philly -3 on that MNF Game... It does worry me that I'm Leaning towards playing BOTH SNF and MNF Games, but Not Only Against the Spreads but I'm also Leaning Towards Betting OVER the Totals aswell... I guess time shall decide my fate. For now my Plays are as Follows:

 

Colts -6.5 (hook):  2-UNITS

New England +4.5:  2-UNITS

Chicago +1: 1-UNIT

Detroit @ Buffalo OVER 44.5: 1-UNIT

Houston +1.5: 1-UNIT

Carolina +7.5 (hook): 1-UNIT

NE @ Pittsburgh OVER 45: 1-UNIT

 

Depending on my Success or Failure during the 1pm and 4pm Games, I may or may not be Adding Additional Units to the SNF and MNF Bets... Stay Tuned and Wish Me Luck!!!!


All is not lost ...
You are 1-4, down 4.8 units ... but you still have NE and the Over.
Hopefully, you hit both to get to 3-4, and lose 1.8 units, which isn't so bad considering how the early games went.

Funny the way gambling works, even when you make a killing on the early games, if you lose on the late games the day feels bad ... and vice-verca is also true.
bigreds daddy
 
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Posted: #103

With you tonight on NE +5 

Hopefully this will be the start of your turn around.  It's gonna happen, you are too good to be kept down. 

 

 
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Posted: #104
BTW ... I also have NE (got mine at +5.5) for a small play, so I am rooting for you to rebound 
bigreds daddy
 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

A few weeks back you mentioned that you don't bet real money anymore because it might impair your judgement (something to that effect). 

Is that still the case? 

In all honesty, I didnt Bet "a lot" until I went on that Epic 15-0 Run... I actually began Betting "BIG" after the 1st Perfect (7-0)0) Week, then I began Betting "BIG".... Obviously the 1st "BIG": Betting Week went GREAT, going 8-0.... But ironically, since then I havent had nearly as much success... Is that bc I'm Betting "more" now? I dunno, maybe... Luckily I'm still "UP" on the Season but definitely NOT where I'd like to be!!!

I'm curious if bc I'm Betting "BIGGER Units", this is why my "judgement" isn't nearly as Solid as it was through those first 6 Weeks??? It's kind of hard to be sure about this.... For example, when the lines come out and I begin "Capping" them, I dont think "How much should I Bet on this Game?".... I do EXACTLY what I was doing before (atleast i think so!)... I dunno Hugh_Jorgan, but this is potentially a VERY Good Point to address... This may or may not be the "Direct Reasoning" for my Recent Decension from 80%+...... all the way Down to 60%ish....

No Matter the Reasoning, I'm DEFINITELY on the Decline!!! I can only Hope to Right this thing and get back to my Winning ways!!!

 
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Posted: #106
The reason you are on the decline is simply law of averages.
Your run was epic ... I've been gambling for 35 years and I don't recall ever seeing a 3 week stretch like that. It was going to end, and it did.

As for your wager size changing your approach ... ABSOLUTELY it can and does. It's kind of like a 18 inch putt, when it means nothing it is easy, when it is to win a tournament, it will knock your knees. Same 18 inch putt, just a different perspective. Gambling is the same way.
bigreds daddy
 
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Posted: #107
Everyone has runs. I will say this, you bet Carolina based on your gut. This almost always leads to trouble. If you have a system use it. I don't think you system includes your gut feeling. 

You have the balls to post your picks and these clowns who are bashing you don't. I will say this to Hey144, why don't you post your picks next week? Let's see how good your are! Or are you a loser who sits back and let others make plays and then comment after the game is over???
 
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Posted: #108
Good luck bets2win - I have loaded up on the over tonight, so let's see some points!
People who can afford to gamble don't need money, and those who need money can't afford to
 
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Posted: #109
I obviously jumped on your money train too late.  My friend told me about this capper that was insanely on fire.  So I checked it out after week 6 and I was amazed so of course I used your picks.  I think I cursed you.
 
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Posted: #110
I am glad you can appreciate making me money.  No point of posting my record here, as it wouldnt be believed, unless I cut and paste every bet I made this season from various sites.. obviously useless.  I would like to use a quote from you several weeks back... which applies now as much as it did then...  "I am on an epic run....  an unprecedented...."
 
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Posted: #111
And go Pats go... hope they win 44-0.. making me win on pats.. you lose on o/u.... 
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by bets2win:

In all honesty, I didnt Bet "a lot" until I went on that Epic 15-0 Run... I actually began Betting "BIG" after the 1st Perfect (7-0)0) Week, then I began Betting "BIG".... Obviously the 1st "BIG": Betting Week went GREAT, going 8-0.... But ironically, since then I havent had nearly as much success... Is that bc I'm Betting "more" now? I dunno, maybe... Luckily I'm still "UP" on the Season but definitely NOT where I'd like to be!!!

I'm curious if bc I'm Betting "BIGGER Units", this is why my "judgement" isn't nearly as Solid as it was through those first 6 Weeks??? It's kind of hard to be sure about this.... For example, when the lines come out and I begin "Capping" them, I dont think "How much should I Bet on this Game?".... I do EXACTLY what I was doing before (atleast i think so!)... I dunno Hugh_Jorgan, but this is potentially a VERY Good Point to address... This may or may not be the "Direct Reasoning" for my Recent Decension from 80%+...... all the way Down to 60%ish....

No Matter the Reasoning, I'm DEFINITELY on the Decline!!! I can only Hope to Right this thing and get back to my Winning ways!!!


No disrespect B2W, but I want to share something similar that happend to me sometime ago. I had decided to really make some money so I stoped gambling, that way I could really save the money I was losing regularly. I was at the casino on a sunday watching some games and some of my freinds that are regular bettors there asked me to pick a couple of plays for them and I went 5 - 0 that day and I also hit a 3 team parlay with two of the picks being moneyline underdogs. So obviously my confidence in play selection was really high as I was able to keep a winning streak ( 78%) for about 3 weeks ( NBA, NFL, NCAAF) these 3 weeks I risked $0 of my own money and I was really enjoying the fact that I could make other people money ( of course they all gave me good tips $$$ ) and that I could brag so much on how good I was at handicapping games. I got real cocky and I was fearless when it came to making my picks ( of course it wasnt my money at risk ) even though alot of them were against all odds wich made it even better for my reputation at the time. When I went back to playing my money holly fucking cow .... It was a disaster, I couldn´t get anything correct and I tried so many different ways of adjusting my play selection but I just couldn´t pull a winning week. I now know for a fact that when I was playing my money the aproach changed 180° I over analyzed games and I ended up chasing games to try to bounce back. My play selection was awfull as I was unconciously trying to make a statement for those who followed me as for my self and I ended up picking all the hard games and more underdogs than what I should have. As time goes on it becomes harder because u presure ur self to succeed because u have a public that is ready to Hi-5 you and share some of their earnings with you when your winning and they are also ready to destroy you when you are down.. I wont make this much longer, I guess what I am trying to say is that earlier in the season you had less presure. 
1- You were not risking huge amounts of your own money!
2- The followers in your thread was nearly half of what they are now or 2-3 weeks ago.
I think you did not know that you were going to have so many hungry sharks breathing down your neck awaiting for your plays. Was it when you went 15-0 that you were the most loved & popular guy here having so many people wanting to be your freind LOL...When you have less presure you really end up making the right plays without trying to force picks. Go back to making plays for yourself and if you are risking good amount of cash you should maybe forget about posting your plays that way the outcome is just for you!!! Less Presure.. Even though we all say "I dont give a fuck what others say or think" its not true we lie to ourselves, if we didnt care at all we wouldnt even post our plays for others!!!

GL and I hope you can come back strong!!! 
   
 
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Posted: #113
By the way....  I will get you slight props for not being a sore loser.
 
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by hey144:

By the way....  I will get you slight props for not being a sore loser.

agreed 
bigreds daddy
 
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Posted: #115
typo... Give you, not Get you
 
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Posted: #116

Quote Originally Posted by hey144:

By the way....  I will get you slight props for not being a sore loser.

I will give you full props for being a complete loser. So your fade of B2W brings "your record" to what?...26-43?  you're awesome. BTW, i just checked out your autobiography 'Advanced Faggotry: A Nippleheads Guide to Douchebagetry"

 
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Posted: #117
hahahaha.. hoggshalf is a sore loser....  if you had my record this year you would retire and do this for a living.  Keep on losing your 20k a year income on gambling... its idiots like you that make vegas profitable, and allow the solid cappers liek myself to win and not let vegas care.
 
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Posted: #118
Quote Originally Posted by hey144:

I am glad you can appreciate making me money.  No point of posting my record here, as it wouldnt be believed, unless I cut and paste every bet I made this season from various sites.. obviously useless.  I would like to use a quote from you several weeks back... which applies now as much as it did then...  "I am on an epic run....  an unprecedented...."

Hey144, these were my week 10 picks I went 7-0 today "I am on an epic run....  an unprecedented...." 

Tampa Bay -7
New York Jets -3.5
Dallas Cowboys M/L
Seattle M/L
Denver pk
Cin +7
Chicago -1

NOW IF U THINK THIS IS STUPID.... TO POST MY PICKS AFTER THE GAMES, WELL LOOK BACK AT UR EPIC RUN, BECAUSE I DONT SEE A SINGLE POST WITH THAT SHOWS YOUR EPIC RUN!!! SO MY RUN IS AS EPIC AS YOURS LOL....

BY THE WAY I WILL LET U KNOW MY SNF PLAY AFTER THE GAME I MIGHT GO 8-0 TODAY
 
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Posted: #119

sounds like a lot of bitter, mindless souls, that lost their life savings this weekend by following a random person that does their thinking for them.

 

Hey Bets2win, tell them to drink the poison koolaid, and they will follow.

 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by hey144:

sounds like a lot of bitter, mindless souls, that lost their life savings this weekend by following a random person that does their thinking for them.

 

Hey Bets2win, tell them to drink the poison koolaid, and they will follow.


Cant u see I went 7-0 today!!!! with two big moneyline underdogs!!! Shit why would I need to follow B2W people should be following me dont u think? 
 
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Posted: #121
And if you want my official posted record, today is the first day I psoted my picks, as the opposite of Bets2win, so there you have it, therefore my posted record is: 4-1, up 3.9 units.  Only didnt fade him on the pats tonight
 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by hey144:

And if you want my official posted record, today is the first day I psoted my picks, as the opposite of Bets2win, so there you have it, therefore my posted record is: 4-1, up 3.9 units.  Only didnt fade him on the pats tonight

Awesome!!!! Its good to be a winner!!! Well what do u know I just won again Pats 1half !!!  
 
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Posted: #123

as you can see:

 

Posted: 11/14/2010 5:47:50 AMI look forward to anotehr terrible week by Bets2win, and I am fading him the whole way.  Thanks for making me some ez $ bets2, I appreciate you assisting my handicapping by going the opposite of you.

 
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Posted: #124

Quote Originally Posted by hey144:

And if you want my official posted record, today is the first day I psoted my picks, as the opposite of Bets2win, so there you have it, therefore my posted record is: 4-1, up 3.9 units.  Only didnt fade him on the pats tonight

Maybe you ought to take the 39 bucks you won todays and invest in some hooked on phonix....IT WERKED FOUR MEESA....well, nevermind, save it for your trailor park rent

 
 
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Posted: #125
the only thing you have ever won is uneducated WT award, that is stuck in poverty.
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