Looking ahead thoughts on Thursday. I really like the under 35 in KC, and I think that this line will go down to 33.5-34 before Gametime I also like KC -3. KC at home is normally money preseason or not however I think the toal is more appealing. Thoughts welcome
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Looking ahead thoughts on Thursday. I really like the under 35 in KC, and I think that this line will go down to 33.5-34 before Gametime I also like KC -3. KC at home is normally money preseason or not however I think the toal is more appealing. Thoughts welcome
MLB Thanks actually went 4-1 really forced the side in SF as posted earlier otherwise would be 4-0 really wanted to play Den something kept pulling me away though it just looked too obvious to me. It seems like when something looks too obvious to me I go the other way and simply sometimes if it looks too good it probably is. However it was my only 1 unit play the rest were 2-3 units. How did you do?
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Stang Thanks hope you had a great night as well
MLB Thanks actually went 4-1 really forced the side in SF as posted earlier otherwise would be 4-0 really wanted to play Den something kept pulling me away though it just looked too obvious to me. It seems like when something looks too obvious to me I go the other way and simply sometimes if it looks too good it probably is. However it was my only 1 unit play the rest were 2-3 units. How did you do?
First glance SF is the play. Obviously I think Denver is the better team. However this is preseason and many of these lines that are posted the "public" jumps on a team that did well last season, which is why the books post these low lines. Not knocking anyone by any means but it cracks me up when I hear hey a starter isn't playing so take the other team. Well this is preseason teams aren't that interested in wins, not that they don't want them just that it's not the number one goal. In many cases you still don't have starters ironed out yet.I'm not stating this for many, just the few that don't realize. So I hope I don't offend anyone. Getting on to tomorrow. Denver was knocked out of the playoffs with a loss to SF last season. Will there be a little revenge in mind, well probably not as Shanahan is a more focused coach. I am a Denver fan throughout and they are the better team however I think this will come down to the last 5 minutes in the 4Q. I do like the under as Denver will be focusing on Defense in which they had problems in last season. As far as Phil and Bal well my lean is Bal and over however don't like the 3.5 will see if it moves at all. I haven't looked into this game as much as I would like
Leans
SF and under 35
Phil and over 31
I never post my actual plays until 30 minutes or so before Gametime as I watch the lines 2hrs or so before.
G/L to all will post tomorrow thoughts are welcome
Least totals came in. Good luck this year. Man I just hope you don't rely to much on reading lines. Like Robert Walker says, NO ONE KNOWS WHY LINES MOVE. Trying to read them is 100% guessing.
Think about it, now even after the game, do we still know what those line moves were? Useless time in my opinion. NO SYSTEM WILL EVER CRACK OR DECODE VEGAS. They are to good. ONLY way to beat them is the ole traditional hard work handicapping. Know its boring, but only way
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Quote Originally Posted by unlucky7:
Posted Plays 8-1 +21.15 units
Parleys 1-0 +2.68 units
Sunday 4-0
First glance SF is the play. Obviously I think Denver is the better team. However this is preseason and many of these lines that are posted the "public" jumps on a team that did well last season, which is why the books post these low lines. Not knocking anyone by any means but it cracks me up when I hear hey a starter isn't playing so take the other team. Well this is preseason teams aren't that interested in wins, not that they don't want them just that it's not the number one goal. In many cases you still don't have starters ironed out yet.I'm not stating this for many, just the few that don't realize. So I hope I don't offend anyone. Getting on to tomorrow. Denver was knocked out of the playoffs with a loss to SF last season. Will there be a little revenge in mind, well probably not as Shanahan is a more focused coach. I am a Denver fan throughout and they are the better team however I think this will come down to the last 5 minutes in the 4Q. I do like the under as Denver will be focusing on Defense in which they had problems in last season. As far as Phil and Bal well my lean is Bal and over however don't like the 3.5 will see if it moves at all. I haven't looked into this game as much as I would like
Leans
SF and under 35
Phil and over 31
I never post my actual plays until 30 minutes or so before Gametime as I watch the lines 2hrs or so before.
G/L to all will post tomorrow thoughts are welcome
Least totals came in. Good luck this year. Man I just hope you don't rely to much on reading lines. Like Robert Walker says, NO ONE KNOWS WHY LINES MOVE. Trying to read them is 100% guessing.
Think about it, now even after the game, do we still know what those line moves were? Useless time in my opinion. NO SYSTEM WILL EVER CRACK OR DECODE VEGAS. They are to good. ONLY way to beat them is the ole traditional hard work handicapping. Know its boring, but only way
Least totals came in. Good luck this year. Man I just hope you don't rely to much on reading lines. Like Robert Walker says, NO ONE KNOWS WHY LINES MOVE. Trying to read them is 100% guessing.
Think about it, now even after the game, do we still know what those line moves were? Useless time in my opinion. NO SYSTEM WILL EVER CRACK OR DECODE VEGAS. They are to good. ONLY way to beat them is the ole traditional hard work handicapping. Know its boring, but only way
UNC that was only my leans the night before those weren't my actual plays as I stated above however if you read further down in my post you would have seen my Official plays which were
Bal -3.5
Over 30.5
Under 35
SF -3
Under 16.5 2H
I went 4-1 tonight. To answer your question, no. I do not rely too much on lines. They are a part of it among many other things. However what I was trying to get accross is there is a way to play these lines IN PRESEASON because we don't have all the same info with it being preseason. Right before gametime you know a little more about a teams game plan. So to make my plays in advance in PRESEASON would not be wise. It is really hard to predict the outcome in preseason games. In my opinion lines come into play more so this time of year. For instance Dallas against Indy I noticed many were on Indy for the simple fact they won the SB last season. The line was low to entise Indy action. Anyways too much info to share, I'd be typing all night. The public gets hurt playing preseason games. To me last 2 yrs I have gone and average of 85% in preseason games. There are many Touts that don't pick at that %. Not bragging by any means as in regular season I'm an average of 69% or so. I probably should never have brought it up last night as to explain myself and all that is involved would take too long. I will say this I probably spend 2 hrs or so capping each game. I am 12-2 and should be 14-0 as I forced SF today when as I posted above should play Den, as far as my total play that I lost on Saturday I posted the wrong teams, but rather than get ridiculed on saying that I posted the wrong teams I just wrote it down as a loss so on paper I am 13-1. So my point being if I just went on lines I wouldn't 90% right now. You can do research that will explain to you on what the best angles are in betting pro football as I play NBA, WNBA,MLB, NCAAB, and my favorite NCAAF and they are all different.
So in conclusion I don't just use lines, I cap a game and then wait until closer to GM see the Gameplan and line movements. Good Luck to you in the future
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Quote Originally Posted by uncs22:
Least totals came in. Good luck this year. Man I just hope you don't rely to much on reading lines. Like Robert Walker says, NO ONE KNOWS WHY LINES MOVE. Trying to read them is 100% guessing.
Think about it, now even after the game, do we still know what those line moves were? Useless time in my opinion. NO SYSTEM WILL EVER CRACK OR DECODE VEGAS. They are to good. ONLY way to beat them is the ole traditional hard work handicapping. Know its boring, but only way
UNC that was only my leans the night before those weren't my actual plays as I stated above however if you read further down in my post you would have seen my Official plays which were
Bal -3.5
Over 30.5
Under 35
SF -3
Under 16.5 2H
I went 4-1 tonight. To answer your question, no. I do not rely too much on lines. They are a part of it among many other things. However what I was trying to get accross is there is a way to play these lines IN PRESEASON because we don't have all the same info with it being preseason. Right before gametime you know a little more about a teams game plan. So to make my plays in advance in PRESEASON would not be wise. It is really hard to predict the outcome in preseason games. In my opinion lines come into play more so this time of year. For instance Dallas against Indy I noticed many were on Indy for the simple fact they won the SB last season. The line was low to entise Indy action. Anyways too much info to share, I'd be typing all night. The public gets hurt playing preseason games. To me last 2 yrs I have gone and average of 85% in preseason games. There are many Touts that don't pick at that %. Not bragging by any means as in regular season I'm an average of 69% or so. I probably should never have brought it up last night as to explain myself and all that is involved would take too long. I will say this I probably spend 2 hrs or so capping each game. I am 12-2 and should be 14-0 as I forced SF today when as I posted above should play Den, as far as my total play that I lost on Saturday I posted the wrong teams, but rather than get ridiculed on saying that I posted the wrong teams I just wrote it down as a loss so on paper I am 13-1. So my point being if I just went on lines I wouldn't 90% right now. You can do research that will explain to you on what the best angles are in betting pro football as I play NBA, WNBA,MLB, NCAAB, and my favorite NCAAF and they are all different.
So in conclusion I don't just use lines, I cap a game and then wait until closer to GM see the Gameplan and line movements. Good Luck to you in the future
Kieth Thanks buddy looks like you did well also attack it again on Thursday
Godofgramblers g/l buddy my plays are never in stone until they are in bold and state official plays, so this could change come closer to GMT however this is my 2nd Favorite play this week, my favorite play last week was Clev and got it for 8 units and today it was Under in SF we pulled it out however got lucky 27 1H points. I had written it off as a loss, however felt really good about under 16.5 2H so played it to get a little money back and then only 3 points in 2H so under payed us 5 units luck never hurt anyone, but I will say this I still can't figure out how they scored 27 in 1H, but a win is a win. g/l
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Kieth Thanks buddy looks like you did well also attack it again on Thursday
Godofgramblers g/l buddy my plays are never in stone until they are in bold and state official plays, so this could change come closer to GMT however this is my 2nd Favorite play this week, my favorite play last week was Clev and got it for 8 units and today it was Under in SF we pulled it out however got lucky 27 1H points. I had written it off as a loss, however felt really good about under 16.5 2H so played it to get a little money back and then only 3 points in 2H so under payed us 5 units luck never hurt anyone, but I will say this I still can't figure out how they scored 27 in 1H, but a win is a win. g/l
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Small play really was a toss up 
Thanks hope you had a great night as well
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