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🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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Legend
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Posted: #751

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

 

•   When the HOME FAV faces an underdog, that won 4 or fewer games than the home team (reg season), the HOME FAV only covered 8 - 7 ATS...........but won su 13 - 2

 

an_light Both the Chiefs (-495) and Eagles (-375) are in this scenario!

an_lightCorrelated to above, there have been by my count only 5 occasions where a HOME FAV with at least 4+ more wins than the underdog, faced an underdog that had a negative pts differential to end the regular season.

The home team is 3 - 2 to cover......... 5 - 1 su

an_lightThis year that HOME FAV is EAGLES (-375 ML??)  (NYG -6 pt diff)

My bets:

CHIEFS -2.5 -420 *BB ....going heavier $$$ than usual on this one

CHIEFS -495 *BB

Eagles -370 *BB

 

 
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Posted: #752

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

•   When the HOME FAV faces an underdog, that won 4 or fewer games than the home team (reg season), the HOME FAV only covered 8 - 7 ATS...........but won su 13 - 2

 

an_light Both the Chiefs (-495) and Eagles (-375) are in this scenario!

an_lightCorrelated to above, there have been by my count only 5 occasions where a HOME FAV with at least 4+ more wins than the underdog, faced an underdog that had a negative pts differential to end the regular season.

The home team is 3 - 2 to cover......... 5 - 1 su

an_lightThis year that HOME FAV is EAGLES (-375 ML??)  (NYG -6 pt diff)

 

 

 
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Posted: #753

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:   •   When the HOME FAV faces an underdog, that won 4 or fewer games than the home team (reg season), the HOME FAV only covered 8 - 7 ATS...........but won su 13 - 2   Both the Chiefs (-495) and Eagles (-375) are in this scenario! Correlated to above, there have been by my count only 5 occasions where a HOME FAV with at least 4+ more wins than the underdog, faced an underdog that had a negative pts differential to end the regular season. The home team is 3 - 2 to cover......... 5 - 1 su This year that HOME FAV is EAGLES (-375 ML??)  (NYG -6 pt diff) My bets: CHIEFS -2.5 -420 *BB ....going heavier $$$ than usual on this one CHIEFS -495 *BB Eagles -370 *BB

Good luck, Fubah2! clover

 
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Posted: #754

Posted NFL PLAYOFF bets: (buying pts)

 

W   NINERS -470                   *BEST BET
push Bills -3-600           push *BEST BET
W   Bengals -425                   *BEST BET
W   Bengals -1.5-400            *BEST BET
W   Niners -2.5-374              *BEST BET
W   NINERS -438                  *BEST BET
W   NINERS -1.5 -363           *BEST BET
W   BILLS -819                        *BEST BET
W   NYG +3.5-137
W   BUFFALO -1.5-885             *BEST BET
W   Ravens +8.5     Lucky to get my middle!

W  Cowboys -137                   *BEST BET

11 - 0 - 1       (9 - 0 *Best Bets)

 
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Posted: #755

Mahommes hurt.  Kansas' biggest edge is his escapability vs any opponent.  They don't have a strong defense. 

One deep ball or a deep PI call and this game is tied with Jags then having game-changing momentum! 

Didn't forsee this but was aware it could easily happen to any team. 

But of all the teams a hurt Mahommes makes a Jags cover way more likely now

*Halftime bet  Jacksonville +11.5 -200   alternate line   10 units 

 
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Posted: #756

Quote Originally Posted by zircon:

Mahommes hurt.  Kansas' biggest edge is his escapability vs any opponent.  They don't have a strong defense.  One deep ball or a deep PI call and this game is tied with Jags then having game-changing momentum!  Didn't forsee this but was aware it could easily happen to any team.  But of all the teams a hurt Mahommes makes a Jags cover way more likely now *Halftime bet  Jacksonville +11.5 -200   alternate line   10 units

@zircon

 Yeah., I'm leaning that way too but not ready to bail yet.  Gotta see how Patrick does early 3Q first.   If he can't engineer a pts drive in 2 series I probably bail.

 

BoL  on your cover.  thumbs_up

 
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Posted: #757

Quote Originally Posted by zircon:

Mahommes hurt.  Kansas' biggest edge is his escapability vs any opponent.  They don't have a strong defense.  One deep ball or a deep PI call and this game is tied with Jags then having game-changing momentum!

 

I am surprised the Jags keep punting but it's only a matter of time.  I agree.  One big play and this game is tied.  

But if Patrick can drive for  TD  soon  then Chiefs win this.   A fieldgoal would still leave the game wide open.   No score for the third drive spells big trouble

 
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Posted: #758

FCK!   a third consecutive failure to score a TD by Chiefs. an_bomb

 

A 10 pt lead may not be enough to win this with a full Q to go  an_getaway

 

 
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Posted: #759

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

FCK!   a third consecutive failure to score a TD by Chiefs.   A 10 pt lead may not be enough to win this with a full Q to go

It's like a boxer who is way down on every card but just needs one uppercut to change everything in an instant. 

I will not bail and just accept my lumps if KC loses.

Damn

 
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Posted: #760

 13:00 left in game down 10, here comes the anticipated JAGS scoring drive to make this a tossup. an_nailbiter an_getaway

 
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Posted: #761

Hold your butt, this gonna be wild and nail biting for both sides. 

 
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Posted: #762

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Hold your butt, this gonna be wild and nail biting for both sides.

Yeah    an_nailbiter

 
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Posted: #763

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Hold your butt, this gonna be wild and nail biting for both sides. Yeah

This thing seems coming down to one score game or not, 2:00 to go. an_speechless 

 
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Posted: #764

To be fair,  those two late turnovers going to CHIEFS kept the JAGS off the board.

 

  Bad beat  for Jags spread bettors unless sumptin happens inside final 1:04

 

 

 
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Posted: #765

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Hold your butt, this gonna be wild and nail biting for both sides. Yeah This thing seems coming down to one score game or not, 2:00 to go.

Yeah. 

Will you be ok with a CHIEFS win by 7, Europa? 

 
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Posted: #766

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Yeah.  Will you be ok with a CHIEFS win by 7, Europa?
 

I got some KC money line parlays, one JAX +18.5, and one +15.5 teasers with under 46 (a real nail biter), also JAX under 65.5 13-pts 4 teamer teaser. 

Good call on Chiefs money line on your part! an_clap 

 
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Posted: #767

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Yeah.  Will you be ok with a CHIEFS win by 7, Europa?  I got some KC money line parlays, one JAX +18.5, and one +15.5 teasers with under 46 (a real nail biter), also JAX under 65.5 13-pts 4 teamer teaser.  Good call on Chiefs money line on your part!

OK great!  an_cheers

 

I'll check out your thread for what you  have for tonight's game  BoL clover

 

I am  feeling good about the EAGLES here to win..........as long as Jalen plays well and doesn't get "Hurts" 

Not so sure about the cover though.  Giants can score!

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #768

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Good call on Chiefs money line on your part!

Thanks!   Good to see you are banking those teasers! an_cheers

 
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Posted: #769

Quote Originally Posted by zircon:

Mahommes hurt.  Kansas' biggest edge is his escapability vs any opponent.  They don't have a strong defense.  One deep ball or a deep PI call and this game is tied with Jags then having game-changing momentum!  Didn't forsee this but was aware it could easily happen to any team.  But of all the teams a hurt Mahommes makes a Jags cover way more likely now

*Halftime bet  Jacksonville +11.5 -200   alternate line   10 units

Good call!  Congrats Zircon!!  an_2drinks

 

 
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Posted: #770

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

OK great!    I'll check out your thread for what you  have for tonight's game  BoL   I am  feeling good about the EAGLES here to win..........as long as Jalen plays well and doesn't get "Hurts"  Not so sure about the cover though.  Giants can score!

I got one Giants +21 teaser. And owns Eagles spread and ML parlay with KC.

Like i said in this thread before, don't let my actions stand on your ways of capping and betting. GL! 

 
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Posted: #771

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

I got one Giants +21 teaser. And owns Eagles spread and ML parlay with KC. GL!

 

Giants will make this a game despite that quick Eagles TD.  

Your bets should be fine  thumbs_up

 
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Posted: #772

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

GL today Fubah.

peace_5

GL to you today as well  clover  peace_5

 
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Posted: #773

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Eagles -370 *BB

 

 

Checkout the team stats tab on the ESPN game site.  OMG!

 
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Posted: #774

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Eagles -370 *BB

 

 

Checkout the team stats tab on the ESPN game site.  OMG!

 
 
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Posted: #775

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by Europa: I got one Giants +21 teaser. And owns Eagles spread and ML parlay with KC. GL!   Giants will make this a game despite that quick Eagles TD.   Your bets should be fine

Not over yet, but that NYG +21 teaser looks pretty grim now. Philly should run a lot in 2h, not by Hurts but by Sanders.  

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