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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Tnf discussions.. mia +3.5?

    123 Next Last»
    AGK
    davemsh
    jowchoo
    Pointoforder46
    ChauBathong
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    123 Next Last»
     
    AGK
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 12:18 AM ET #1

    how are the red hot 3-0 dolphins a +3.5 underdog against an underwhelming cincy team.
    Vegas is just begging you to take them?

    maybe Tua not playing due to protocols? Idk but fishy fishy

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    how are the red hot 3-0 dolphins a +3.5 underdog against an underwhelming cincy team.
    Vegas is just begging you to take them?

    maybe Tua not playing due to protocols? Idk but fishy fishy

     
    davemsh
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 12:24 AM ET #2

    Short week...If you are into let down spots this is it...Dolphins had a comeback victory vs the Ravens and just beat Buffalo...Defense was on the field for 90 plays...and now have to travel to Cincy...  Dolphins do have some injuries not sure who is out... Over 47 is the best play.... However..I have rule of never betting against an undefeated team...but TNF home teams have the edge due to a short week....Last 2 TNF games the home team won and covered...Buffalo won in week 1 but that does not count since it was the 1st game and not a short week.

    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    Short week...If you are into let down spots this is it...Dolphins had a comeback victory vs the Ravens and just beat Buffalo...Defense was on the field for 90 plays...and now have to travel to Cincy...  Dolphins do have some injuries not sure who is out... Over 47 is the best play.... However..I have rule of never betting against an undefeated team...but TNF home teams have the edge due to a short week....Last 2 TNF games the home team won and covered...Buffalo won in week 1 but that does not count since it was the 1st game and not a short week.

     
    AGK
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 12:26 AM ET #3

    @davemsh

     Great insight bro thank you! 
    public will be all over miami

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    @davemsh

     Great insight bro thank you! 
    public will be all over miami

     
    davemsh
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 12:27 AM ET #4

    @AGK

     

    Public will be all over Cincy..TNF home teaman_light....

    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    @AGK

     

    Public will be all over Cincy..TNF home teaman_light....

     
    jowchoo
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 12:30 AM ET #5

    very live dog regardless of the situation..tease them to +10 if you are not aware how deep this team is.

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    very live dog regardless of the situation..tease them to +10 if you are not aware how deep this team is.

     
    Pointoforder46
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 12:41 AM ET #6

    @davemsh

     

     Great explanation / write-up Dave thumbs_up

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    @davemsh

     

     Great explanation / write-up Dave thumbs_up

     
    ChauBathong
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 3:13 PM ET #7

    Thursday 29

    car st 

    BYU & over 

    ?? & over 

    anyone with me here?

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    Thursday 29

    car st 

    BYU & over 

    ?? & over 

    anyone with me here?

     
    YanniKos
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 3:24 PM ET #8

    I'll be looking at the Unders market hoping it hits 48

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    I'll be looking at the Unders market hoping it hits 48

     
    worm23
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 3:37 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    @AGK   Public will be all over Cincy..TNF home team....

     

    Wrong, Dolphins are the public team 

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    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    @AGK   Public will be all over Cincy..TNF home team....

     

    Wrong, Dolphins are the public team 

     
    davemsh
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 3:41 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by worm23:

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: @AGK   Public will be all over Cincy..TNF home team....   Wrong, Dolphins are the public team

    If you say so..It is no secret on the TNF home team advantage on short week...I laid it out for u in my post above...

    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    Quote Originally Posted by worm23:

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: @AGK   Public will be all over Cincy..TNF home team....   Wrong, Dolphins are the public team

    If you say so..It is no secret on the TNF home team advantage on short week...I laid it out for u in my post above...

     
    richamp
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 4:08 PM ET #11

    Line opened at -1, so money has been on the Bengals.

    That Dolphin defense should be all over Burrow.  I don't have the injury update though.

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    Line opened at -1, so money has been on the Bengals.

    That Dolphin defense should be all over Burrow.  I don't have the injury update though.

     
    speedy98
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 4:14 PM ET #12

    Dolphins defense was on the field for 90 plays in the Miami heat and humidity traveling to Cincy on a short week. If you like the Dolphins, wait because you'll be able to grab a 4.5/5 at the end of the week possibly. If you start to see some buy back at 4, take it if you want it. I personally grabbed Cinc -2.5 at the open

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    Dolphins defense was on the field for 90 plays in the Miami heat and humidity traveling to Cincy on a short week. If you like the Dolphins, wait because you'll be able to grab a 4.5/5 at the end of the week possibly. If you start to see some buy back at 4, take it if you want it. I personally grabbed Cinc -2.5 at the open

     
    Seahawks14
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 5:14 PM ET #13

    Cincy was sb final 

    Miami was not in the playoffs 

    Cincy at home 

     

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    Cincy was sb final 

    Miami was not in the playoffs 

    Cincy at home 

     

     
    jesron1269
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 5:59 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Short week...If you are into let down spots this is it...Dolphins had a comeback victory vs the Ravens and just beat Buffalo...Defense was on the field for 90 plays...and now have to travel to Cincy...  Dolphins do have some injuries not sure who is out... Over 47 is the best play.... However..I have rule of never betting against an undefeated team...but TNF home teams have the edge due to a short week....Last 2 TNF games the home team won and covered...Buffalo won in week 1 but that does not count since it was the 1st game and not a short week.

    Excellent insight. If you like Cincy make a decision sooner than later as Tua might be out. If he isn't out not sure how effective he can be on a short week with likely concussion and hurt back/ankle. Teddy "Two Glove" Bridgewater looked well below average in the short relief on Sunday.

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    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Short week...If you are into let down spots this is it...Dolphins had a comeback victory vs the Ravens and just beat Buffalo...Defense was on the field for 90 plays...and now have to travel to Cincy...  Dolphins do have some injuries not sure who is out... Over 47 is the best play.... However..I have rule of never betting against an undefeated team...but TNF home teams have the edge due to a short week....Last 2 TNF games the home team won and covered...Buffalo won in week 1 but that does not count since it was the 1st game and not a short week.

    Excellent insight. If you like Cincy make a decision sooner than later as Tua might be out. If he isn't out not sure how effective he can be on a short week with likely concussion and hurt back/ankle. Teddy "Two Glove" Bridgewater looked well below average in the short relief on Sunday.

     
    jesron1269
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 6:00 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by Seahawks14:

    Cincy was sb final  Miami was not in the playoffs  Cincy at home

    No offense but WTF does any of that have to do with this game? A lot has changed in one year.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Seahawks14:

    Cincy was sb final  Miami was not in the playoffs  Cincy at home

    No offense but WTF does any of that have to do with this game? A lot has changed in one year.

     
    Brah
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2022 - 10:43 PM ET #16

    Not fading Mike McDaniel even on a short week. Dolphins ML looks pretty good.

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    Not fading Mike McDaniel even on a short week. Dolphins ML looks pretty good.

     
    Duderonomy
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2022 - 1:47 AM ET #17

    Don't care who the public is on... this is a mismatch. Only way Bengals win this game is if Tua doesn't play. Dolphins defense is going to terrorize Burrow!

    The Dude imbibes
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    Don't care who the public is on... this is a mismatch. Only way Bengals win this game is if Tua doesn't play. Dolphins defense is going to terrorize Burrow!

     
    Duderonomy
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2022 - 1:50 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

    Excellent insight. If you like Cincy make a decision sooner than later as Tua might be out. If he isn't out not sure how effective he can be on a short week with likely concussion and hurt back/ankle. Teddy "Two Glove" Bridgewater looked well below average in the short relief on Sunday.

     

    If they hold Tua out of this game, Teddy will start, just to see if he can play his ass off knowing that his job is on the line. Teddy will be on a VERY short leash with Skylar Thompson on the bench, and it will be the perfect situation to let Skylar play his way into the main backup role. It would still make Miami the legit underdog in this game, but not by much.

    The Dude imbibes
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    Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:

    Excellent insight. If you like Cincy make a decision sooner than later as Tua might be out. If he isn't out not sure how effective he can be on a short week with likely concussion and hurt back/ankle. Teddy "Two Glove" Bridgewater looked well below average in the short relief on Sunday.

     

    If they hold Tua out of this game, Teddy will start, just to see if he can play his ass off knowing that his job is on the line. Teddy will be on a VERY short leash with Skylar Thompson on the bench, and it will be the perfect situation to let Skylar play his way into the main backup role. It would still make Miami the legit underdog in this game, but not by much.

     
    BucksBrowns2001
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2022 - 7:05 AM ET #19

    @davemsh

     Spot on. Could be situational play of the year! Line definitely begging for Dolphins $$$

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    @davemsh

     Spot on. Could be situational play of the year! Line definitely begging for Dolphins $$$

     
    BucksBrowns2001
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2022 - 7:06 AM ET #20

    @BucksBrowns2001

     Dolphins also lack the pass ruse to take advantage of cincys major flaw protecting Burrow! Cincy 27-17

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    @BucksBrowns2001

     Dolphins also lack the pass ruse to take advantage of cincys major flaw protecting Burrow! Cincy 27-17

     
    Duderonomy
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2022 - 8:18 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by BucksBrowns2001:

    @BucksBrowns2001  Dolphins also lack the pass ruse to take advantage of cincys major flaw protecting Burrow! Cincy 27-17

     

    an_popcorn

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    Quote Originally Posted by BucksBrowns2001:

    @BucksBrowns2001  Dolphins also lack the pass ruse to take advantage of cincys major flaw protecting Burrow! Cincy 27-17

     

    an_popcorn

     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2022 - 9:41 AM ET #22

    @davemshpeace_5

    an_lightPost#2

    goodpost

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    @davemshpeace_5

    an_lightPost#2

    goodpost

     
    njsupreme1
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2022 - 10:03 AM ET #23

    @AGK

     Bro...do you really understand how point spreads work? The look ahead line on this game was Cincy -1.5. Pound your chest all you want but the public is not and will not be on the Fins.

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    @AGK

     Bro...do you really understand how point spreads work? The look ahead line on this game was Cincy -1.5. Pound your chest all you want but the public is not and will not be on the Fins.

     
    njsupreme1
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2022 - 10:10 AM ET #24

    @Duderonomy

     Again.....you are overvaluing Miami. This defense doesn't terrorize anyone....Lamar went up and down the field on them and Josh had their defense on the field all day long. Terrorize who??

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    @Duderonomy

     Again.....you are overvaluing Miami. This defense doesn't terrorize anyone....Lamar went up and down the field on them and Josh had their defense on the field all day long. Terrorize who??

     
     
    Jimmy_Cats
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2022 - 11:40 AM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by BucksBrowns2001:

    @BucksBrowns2001  Dolphins also lack the pass ruse to take advantage of cincys major flaw protecting Burrow! Cincy 27-17
      

    The Dolphins had enough of a pass rush to sack Allen 4 times.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by BucksBrowns2001:

    @BucksBrowns2001  Dolphins also lack the pass ruse to take advantage of cincys major flaw protecting Burrow! Cincy 27-17
      

    The Dolphins had enough of a pass rush to sack Allen 4 times.

     

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