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thursday night football....MUST READ STAT i found! colts vs tenn

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
Hey I have been playing all year and reading up on this message board.I finally decided to create a account and post a blog. It has been one of the most hardest games to decide on. But I am leaning on TENN due to a very intriguing stat that i found. 

NOT A SINGLE TEAM THIS SEASON HAS LOST 6 in a row ATS. The teams that won after losing 5 straight were Minnesota,Dallas,Cincy. No team this season has ever lost 6 straight ats.

so my play would be TENN +3 (2 units)

i hope this helps people out and good luck!!!! to all 
 
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Posted: #2
any thoughts?
 
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Posted: #3
I believe I read that it's only happened a few times in the history of the league....good info
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by byharleyjames:

I believe I read that it's only happened a few times in the history of the league....good info

yeah i dont really like the game to begin with but i think thats good enough to make a small play 
 
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Posted: #5
I think there should be other factors.  Banking against going 6-0 ats losses with a terrible team in disarray, no hf advantage, junk qb, etc.  may mean that they can and will go 6-0 in ats losses.  grass over carpet, injuries,  3rd down efficiency, special teams, etc. should be more of a factor.  Leadership and coaching lean to Colts.  There must be a reason to be favored at the visiting team on a short week.
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by ShadowWarrior:

I think there should be other factors.  Banking against going 6-0 ats losses with a terrible team in disarray, no hf advantage, junk qb, etc.  may mean that they can and will go 6-0 in ats losses.  grass over carpet, injuries,  3rd down efficiency, special teams, etc. should be more of a factor.  Leadership and coaching lean to Colts.  There must be a reason to be favored at the visiting team on a short week.

Yes i agree with that but your telling me the Bengals, Cowboys, and Vikings werent also in disarray? I am from cincinnati and trust me it can be far worse than the titans. im just playing it small. but i also see your points. If cincy can get a win ats then anyone can! Good Luck on your play tonight as well!
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by ShadowWarrior:

I think there should be other factors.  Banking against going 6-0 ats losses with a terrible team in disarray, no hf advantage, junk qb, etc.  may mean that they can and will go 6-0 in ats losses.  grass over carpet, injuries,  3rd down efficiency, special teams, etc. should be more of a factor.  Leadership and coaching lean to Colts.  There must be a reason to be favored at the visiting team on a short week.

I agree with what you are saying Shadow but, the Bengals,Vikings, and Cowboys werent in total disarray??? I am from Cincinnati myself and if the bengals can pick up a win ats against new Orleans then the Titians have just as much as a chance. Good Luck on your play tonight though! Its just a small play for me.
 
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Posted: #8
This is irrelevant.  Cowboys and Vikings have soooooo much more talent then the titans and they also made coaching changes.  Vikings schedule also got much much easier.  If this is your deciding factor, just save your money
 
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Posted: #9
Its a nice stat but I dont think its enough to make a play on solely due to this stat, small or not
 
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Posted: #10
well the line on Cincy is a lot different than Tenn's.  Cincy was at least 1 touchdown or more.
 
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Posted: #11
i looked it up....if u look over the past 6 years it only happend to 4 teams...

1 was the giants...1 was the raiders....1 was the bills and i forget the other.


i might go big on tenn +4 if i can get it.
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by FR3SH-like-UgHH:

i looked it up....if u look over the past 6 years it only happend to 4 teams...

1 was the giants...1 was the raiders....1 was the bills and i forget the other.


i might go big on tenn +4 if i can get it.

gambling is a game of odds and i am liking those odds 
 
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Posted: #13
lol might wanna add Titans to that list of junkyard teams cuz they are gonna lose tonight.
 
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Posted: #14
also too add the last qb to defeat the colts was Kerry Collins himself. With the addition of Kenny Britt they should be able to keep it close. Yes the colts most likely will win but im not so sure they can win by more than 3.Submit
 
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Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by vi3tboi09:

also too add the last qb to defeat the colts was Kerry Collins himself. With the addition of Kenny Britt they should be able to keep it close. Yes the colts most likely will win but im not so sure they can win by more than 3.Submit

 

Are you high? He was certainly not the last to defeat the colts. Just last week Kitna did, and two others before that...

 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by vi3tboi09:

Hey I have been playing all year and reading up on this message board.I finally decided to create a account and post a blog. It has been one of the most hardest games to decide on. But I am leaning on TENN due to a very intriguing stat that i found. 

NOT A SINGLE TEAM THIS SEASON HAS LOST 6 in a row ATS. The teams that won after losing 5 straight were Minnesota,Dallas,Cincy. No team this season has ever lost 6 straight ats.

so my play would be TENN +3 (2 units)

i hope this helps people out and good luck!!!! to all 

 

and all 3 games went over

 
MVP
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Posted: #17

I think he means Tenn qb but cannot speak for him?

good info really is, I do not know if this line reflects how fucked up the Titans are. Usually after 5 ATS lossed the Vegas lines makers have to move it to accomodate the crappy play. The Titans are woeful now and seem to have quit on Fisher, if that is the case, this could be another route.

Crash

 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Saleen99:

 

Are you high? He was certainly not the last to defeat the colts. Just last week Kitna did, and two others before that...


Yes i meant the last Tennessee qb 
 
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Posted: #19
any other insight?
 
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Posted: #20
GL this week!
 
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Posted: #21
vietboy i am with you bro. Go back to couple years ago, no NFL team that have lose more than 6 ATS. So my bet would be TENN
 
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Posted: #22
this is a trap everybody think indy can't lose 3 ats in arow, they will. But next game bet them.
 
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Posted: #23
pretty sure someone actually has a system out there based off exactly what you are talking about, believe they start chasing a team after 3 straight ats losses on the belief they will not get to 6 in a row ats losses....from what ive seen it has been pretty damn successful over the years but this is one tonight i just cant jump on, not playing indy either so BOL.......
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by PGram13:

GL this week!
 good luck to you to brother
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by longstah:

vietboy i am with you bro. Go back to couple years ago, no NFL team that have lose more than 6 ATS. So my bet would be TENN

GOOD LUCK TO YOU TO BRO!!! 
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