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The TRAIN69 Super Bowl Extravaganza

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Posts: 111

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55644

Posted: Jan. 27, 2014 - 11:57 PM ET #51

Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

just to get more clarity on your analysis train,in wat manner does a cheap hooker who got punched in the stomach fall to the ground??

ive led a rather sheltered life and dont believe ive had the pleasure of witnessing such an act.

great write-up anyhow

It happens real fast and isnt a pretty site. Its almost like they know its gonna happen so they start flinching early and often just drop without being touched

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55644

Posted: Jan. 28, 2014 - 12:07 AM ET #52

Quote Originally Posted by ROVIN56:

dont see hags scoring that much...away from hone they are consistently a mediocre scoring offense WITHOUT superbowl pressure...perhaps they get a pick 6 to steal this one...have my doubts

Dont doubt me bro. Its never a good idea.

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55644

Posted: Jan. 28, 2014 - 12:08 AM ET #53

Quote Originally Posted by th23787:

Nice writeup. Worries me bc i have a big future bet on Denver to win SB.

Still trying to decide if I will put $ on Seattle ML or ATS and try to middle.

One question related to Denver's TO ratio. I don't know the stats, but wasn't Denver leading enough in most games... which forced teams to take risks down the field (where I would expect Denver to get more TOs)? Or in those spots did Denver's D play conservative and give up a lot of easy/short passes (where I would expect Denver to get less TOs)?

I agree with all your comments...just wondering if you think their defensive stats could be misleading...or even more important.. given the situation most teams found themselves in vs. Denver....trying to play catchup.

Those stats are more important for turnovers, but less in total yardage. Teams were having to take risks downfield and Denver didnt make many plays on the ball.

HookEmHorns22

Hall of Fame

Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 22266

Posted: Jan. 28, 2014 - 3:48 AM ET #54

Same side. Lets cash bro

hitman99

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2013

Posts: 87

Posted: Jan. 28, 2014 - 8:13 AM ET #55

not one thing about the weather do you think that will not come into play?

hitman99

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2013

Posts: 87

Posted: Jan. 28, 2014 - 8:24 AM ET #56

train ur write up is like reading the comics..all them offense and defensive stats.how about this, how to teams do in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th quater? wait let's throw in, in the first and 4th Denver has a 25 mile an hour wind in their face, while hawks have it in 2nd and third.thats puts us at a 2 degree wind chill. how does all ur stats stack up against that..wait while Seattle has the wind at their back in the forth it's starts snowing hard...seasonal stats mean nothing here

lancer89074

Banned

Joined: Nov, 2006

Posts: 9634

Posted: Jan. 28, 2014 - 9:51 AM ET #57

Toottttttttttttttttttt Toottttttttttttttttttttttttttt...all aboard.

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55644

Posted: Jan. 28, 2014 - 5:20 PM ET #58

Quote Originally Posted by CC12:

percy is definitely an x-factor

No film on him except for half game vs NO.. but Denver still has to prepare for him.. Plus he is a pretty good player.

But he can be a double-edged sword.

He can take away from the team's regular season chemistry. Tate and Baldwin will definitely get less looks... I've watched Tate play very hesitant vs Saints in the div game, dropping several balls in the middle. (But that can be due to the hard hitting saints MLBs... Lol)

Anyways, enjoy the game Train !

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55644

Posted: Jan. 28, 2014 - 9:42 PM ET #59

Quote Originally Posted by howzuck:

Train, with all due respect, I think the game is almost a toss up, but your final score indicates 60 + points will be scored at Metlife in what figures to be windy conditions or worse? Are you really going over the 47 total?

Under is currenlty 46.5 -105

Should keep droppin

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55644

Posted: Jan. 28, 2014 - 9:48 PM ET #60

Quote Originally Posted by hitman99:

train ur write up is like reading the comics..all them offense and defensive stats.how about this, how to teams do in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th quater? wait let's throw in, in the first and 4th Denver has a 25 mile an hour wind in their face, while hawks have it in 2nd and third.thats puts us at a 2 degree wind chill. how does all ur stats stack up against that..wait while Seattle has the wind at their back in the forth it's starts snowing hard...seasonal stats mean nothing here

Well, you were close kid. My statements were facts. The drivel you spewed was "what if scenarios" are indeed comical. Snow and 25 mph winds is all guess work right now. How often are the weather men right? Even so, all that does is make it much harder for Denvers offense. Thanks for proving my point.

The only thing seasonal stats mean is everything, because the team resumes and tendancies are clear.Thanks for the comic relief junior.

What is a volcano erupts and Bane blows up the field at opening kickoff?

Hypnos2004

All-Star

Joined: Sep, 2005

Posts: 12720

Posted: Jan. 29, 2014 - 11:15 AM ET #61

Bol bud. Opposite but may best team cover

avenue

Captain

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 7616

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 6:10 PM ET #62

BOL

Pal

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55644

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 9:32 PM ET #63

Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:

Seriously,TRAIN, what if Hawks "D" doesn't get to Peyton? 5 Time MVP, 13 Pro Bowls, one of the greatest QB's to ever play the game and you want to blow your wad on a 3rd year quality up and coming QB

Given the time AND.... time to ADJUST (in game

) experience should always win in a contest of this ...magnitude...... Manning is a surgeon and I could easily envision him dissecting the "thugs" eventually

Meanwhile, Russell is asking TB for SB advice on podium after game

WILSON is gonna win SB's..... just not yet

Good luck with many of your wagers, but, I have to agree like pointed out above "your argument is trying to convince yourself" Either Hawks get to Manning or don't

A simple question on how this SB goes......

I'll take the team that historically, a 2 time SB winner and 6 time participant, that enters this game CONFIDENT about how they will attack this "vaunted" D that clamped down on the visiting Saints and 49ers

with an extremely strong HFA........Lastly, you best hope Hawks can slow down BRoncos no huddle, because if, if it gets cranked up, points will be flying and you just might hit a few of your props.....

Go ORANGE CRUSH

PS I assure you I know BRONCOS like you know your TIGERS

jackson0780

Rookie

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 611

Posted: Jan. 31, 2014 - 1:09 AM ET #64

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Under is currenlty 46.5 -105

Should keep droppin

It is @48.5 now, I have been thinking that under is the play.. Last three Super Bowls have been over, the last under had Peyton manning losing to the saints, and the Super Bowl that Peyton won it went under the total in miami.. I think under is coming in, just not so ready to pull the trigger on the Seahawks

biggiantkiller

MVP

Joined: Oct, 2005

Posts: 17593

Posted: Jan. 31, 2014 - 1:24 AM ET #65

you read my mind my man

THE-KID

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 4756

Posted: Jan. 31, 2014 - 2:03 PM ET #66

GL Train. I got Denver -2, so we can both win!

djcbulls23

All-Star

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 13323

Posted: Jan. 31, 2014 - 3:28 PM ET #67

Good luck sunday train, i'm on that wilson rush TD prop as well ha

DogHouse

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 545

Posted: Jan. 31, 2014 - 4:10 PM ET #68

weather will be no issue. Here in NJ and its 45 degrees, sunny and mild. little to no wind. Points will be had

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55644

Posted: Jan. 31, 2014 - 5:24 PM ET #69

Settled for O46.5 -115

I didnt see it going lower with the weather report being decent....

Lookin over a few more props.

CalBear

Hall of Fame

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 21426

Posted: Jan. 31, 2014 - 7:18 PM ET #70

Well said. Let's do it, train

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55644

Posted: Jan. 31, 2014 - 10:43 PM ET #71

Add:

Seattle +.5 1st h

Percy Harvin O42.5 receiving yds

lmb4321

All-Star

Joined: Feb, 2014

Posts: 12451

Posted: Feb. 1, 2014 - 1:03 AM ET #72

Train....Been a long time follower....Just don't post at all....but I hope the Seahawks are not gonna be Florida State and not show up..That one hurt....Cuz I believe you are right...that Russell Wilson will lead the Hawks to the promised land.....You have any doubts??

YoungMoolaBaby

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2010

Posts: 1484

Posted: Feb. 1, 2014 - 2:05 AM ET #73

Shocker....another 'sharp' on Seattle. And all your props, ridiculous lol...really calling your shots. Might as well bet the exact final score while you're at it....wouldnt be surprised at all if you lose almost all of your wagers on Sunday.

Cmon train, you're better than this lol

TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55644

Posted: Feb. 1, 2014 - 12:20 PM ET #74

Good luck with your Denver play youngmoola

vanhawk

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 411

Posted: Feb. 1, 2014 - 3:18 PM ET #75

I'm riding the TRAIN69 this superbowl. Love the picks!

Forget Manning, Wilson is going to have the MVP performance of a lifetime!

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