Thanksgiving Day NFL Trends - careful betting dogs

- This is the Lions first game as a favorite on Thanksgiving since 2016. Detroit is 8-0 SU as a favorite on Thanksgiving in the past 30 years.

- If the Lions, Cowboys and 49ers all close as 7-pt favorites or higher, it will be the first Thanksgiving slate with three TD favorites since we added a third game back in 2006. TD favorites or higher are 21-2 SU and 17-6 ATS on Thanksgiving since 2006.

- Since 2004, favorites on Thanksgiving are 46-8 straight up (SU) and 36-18 against the spread (ATS). In that span, road favorites are 24-1 SU and 19-6 ATS on Thanksgiving with the only loss coming back in 2009, when the Giants lost to the Broncos, 26-6.

- Favorites of over 10 pts are 8-0 ATS on Thanksgiving since 2005 and 11-0 ATS in the past 30 years 

- Since 2017, Packers are just 2-11 ATS vs. Lions. Lions are LaFleu’s least profitable opponent ATS (2-7 ATS).

- Favorites of over 10 pts are 8-0 ATS on Thanksgiving since 2005 and 11-0 ATS in the past 30 years

- Cowboys have lost 4 straight games ATS on Thanksgiving. They are 1-11 ATS in their past 12 Thanksgiving games dating back to 2011 — failing to cover the spread by 11.8 PPG.

- Cowboys have covered 5 straight home games dating back to last season. Dallas is 10-2 ATS at home in their past 12 games.
Cowboys have won 12 in a row at AT&T Stadium, the longest home winning streak in franchise history and the longest active home winning streak in the NFL.

- Dak Prescott has had success playing against the NFC East. He’s 29-8 SU, 26-11 ATS.

Source - The Action Network

Nice Thanksgiving day trends, good luck! 

Way to break into the forum ESPN

Threads like this are very useful to us handicappers and always welcomed 

Guys,

Alot has changed since legalized gambling took hold over the last 2-3 years - especially on Prime Time games. Trends from 15 years ago mean shit. Go counter to conventional wisdom and you will win more often than not and be a beneficiary of the 'fix' more often than not.

@GreasyFat

 100%

@justliketoplay

@Espn80000

 Trends from 2019 to 2022?????? Short time frame but could be relevant.

The NY Football Giants backdoored the Cowgirls last year. It was awesome.

Good stuff espn .. thanks for posting 

@WilliamMunny

Thanks for the trends. They seem strong but I plan on fading them 

why do ppl quote stats from 5-10 years ago... how is it relevant to the latest team?

Anyways I'm taking +7.5GB vs Lions

@Solarwind

 Because if the same thing keeps happening no matter who's playing on the team that's called a trend....

So what you’re saying is the nfl and sports books gives Johnny public something to be thankful for 3 games a year? Nice ima capitalize on this and take the rest of the season off 

@Solarwind

 - Favorites of over 10 pts are 8-0 ATS on Thanksgiving since 2005 and 11-0 ATS in the past 30 years.

11-0 ATS ................. fuckkkkit imma just go with the cowboys-12 today LOL